Free NCAAF Pick: Bearkats vs. Longhorns Odds
Looking for Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Texas Longhorns Free NCAA Week 4 picks & NCAA odds? NCAAF betting sees the Bearkats taking on the Longhorns on 9/20 at Darrell K. Royal Texas Memorial Stadium, in Texas. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NCAA football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NCAAF predictions like this Bearkats Longhorns free pick.
2025 NCAAF Handicapping – Sam Houston Bearkats vs Texas Longhorns
(0-3) Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Texas Longhorns (2-1)
Date: Sep 20, 2025
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Darrell K. Royal Texas Memorial Stadium in Texas, TX
NCAAF Moneyline Odds: Bearkats N/A | Longhorns N/A (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAF Spread Betting Odds: Bearkats +41.5 | Longhorns -41.5
NCAAF Football Gambling Total: O/U: 51.5
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Bearkats vs. Longhorns Gameday
As Week 4 of the 2025 regular season arrives, the Texas Longhorns host the Sam Houston Bearkats. This game takes place at the Darrell K. Royal Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, TX. Fans can catch the action on the SEC channel this Saturday night at 8:00 PM.
The Sam Houston Bearkats face a challenging start to their season with an 0-3 record. They have struggled both at home and on the road. Their recent losses include games against Hawaii and UNLV.
Meanwhile, the Texas Longhorns have had a better season so far. With a 2-1 record, they have shown strength in their home games. Their recent wins against UTEP and San Jose State highlight their solid performance.
Both teams aim to improve their standing in this game. Texas, ranked 8th in the AP Poll, looks to extend their winning streak. Sam Houston will try to bounce back from their current loss streak.
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It’s Week 4, Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Texas Longhorns, hopefully we get a great matchup.
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Texas Longhorns Odds & Last 5
Next, let’s dive into the odds. Texas is heavily favored with a spread of -40.5. Meanwhile, Sam Houston’s moneyline sits at +8000, signaling a tough challenge ahead.
Previously, Sam Houston faced difficulties in their early games. They fell to Hawaii with a score of 37-20 and struggled against UNLV, losing 38-21. Their opening game against Western Kentucky ended in a 41-24 defeat.
On the other hand, Texas showed strength in their recent performances. They secured a 27-10 victory over UTEP and a commanding 38-7 win against San Jose State. Their only setback came against Ohio State, where they lost 14-7 on the road.
Longhorns Stats
To begin, the Texas Longhorns have shown mixed results on offense this season. They have scored 72 points, ranking 56th, and recorded 601 passing yards, placing them at 79th. However, their rushing game is stronger, with 548 yards ranking 45th.
On defense, the Longhorns have been more impressive. They have allowed 31 points, which ranks them 17th, and have a strong pass rush with 6 sacks, ranking 9th. Additionally, their secondary has been effective with 3 interceptions, ranking 4th.
In recent games, the Longhorns have built momentum with two home wins. They defeated UTEP Miners 27-10 and San Jose State Spartans 38-7. Despite a narrow loss to Ohio State, they have shown resilience at home.
Looking at individual players, Arch Manning leads the team with 579 passing yards and 6 touchdowns. Parker Livingstone has been a key target with 198 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns. However, injuries to key players like CJ Baxter Jr. and DeAndre Moore Jr. could impact their performance.
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Bearkats Stats
The Sam Houston Bearkats have had a rough start to their season. They scored 65 points, ranking 60th overall. Their passing game has been weak, with only 555 yards, placing them 92nd in the league.
Next, their defense has struggled, allowing 116 points, which ranks 90th. However, they have been strong in sacks and turnovers. With 6 sacks, 2 interceptions, and 3 fumbles recovered, they rank in the top 10 for each category.
In recent games, the Bearkats have faced tough opponents. They lost to Hawaii, UNLV, and Western Kentucky, with their closest game being a 38-21 loss to UNLV. Despite these losses, they have managed to keep their turnovers low.
Finally, the Bearkats are dealing with several injuries. Key players like Hunter Watson and Alton McCaskill are uncertain to play. This could impact their performance in upcoming games.
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Bearkats vs. Longhorns QB Matchup
Arch Manning has been impressive in his three games this season. He has thrown for 579 yards, ranking 77th in the league, but he is first on his team. Manning has also tossed six touchdowns and three interceptions, which places him 29th and 165th in the league, respectively.
In terms of fantasy performance, Manning is doing well. He has accumulated 70.4 fantasy points, ranking 36th overall and first on his team. His ability to lead the Texas Longhorns offense effectively is evident in these numbers.
Hunter Watson, on the other hand, has played three games for Sam Houston. He has 310 passing yards, ranking 128th in the league and first on his team. However, he has not thrown any touchdowns but has one interception, ranking him first in interceptions on his team.
Watson’s fantasy performance is not as strong as Manning’s. He has 33.2 fantasy points, ranking 268th in the league. Despite the lower numbers, Watson remains a key player for Sam Houston’s offense.
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Texas Longhorns Football Betting Trends
- Sam Houston is 10-7 ATS as an underdog in their last 17 games.
- They are 5-2 straight up after a loss in their last 7 games.
- Also, the total has gone over in 4 of Sam Houston’s last 6 away games.
- Texas is 25-2 straight up as a favorite in their last 27 games.
- Additionally, Texas is 15-1 straight up in their last 16 home games.
- Texas is 13-8 ATS after a win in their last 21 games.
Bearkats vs Longhorns Prediction: Over 51.5
Sam Houston has leaned toward high totals on the road, hitting the over in four of their last six away games. Their defense has struggled, which often leads to shootouts when they’re outside of Huntsville.
Meanwhile, Texas has been nearly unbeatable at home, winning 15 of their last 16 in Austin. Their offense has already racked up 72 points this season, and with Arch Manning still finding his rhythm, this matchup sets up as a chance to open things up through the air.
With Sam Houston averaging 21.7 points per game—11.4 more than Texas typically allows—the total of 51.5 looks very reachable.
Additionally, Sam Houston’s defense has given opponents plenty of opportunities, and Texas has the talent to take full advantage. Manning should benefit from facing a poor pass defense, giving the Longhorns a chance to build confidence offensively.
All told, the mix of Sam Houston’s road scoring tendencies and Texas’s offensive power makes the over 51.5 a strong pick.
Both sides should have enough firepower to push the score past the number.
Today’s NCAAF Free Pick
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NCAAF Betting Tweet Of The Day
Night game 🔜 pic.twitter.com/pfs9WSLM9z
— Texas Football (@TexasFootball) September 15, 2025
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