Free Week 11 Prediction: Boilermakers vs Golden Gophers Odds
Looking for Purdue Boilermakers vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers free picks? Week 11 betting sees the Boilermakers taking on the Golden Gophers on Saturday November 10 at TCF Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Purdue, Minnesota free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 11
(5-4) Purdue Boilermakers vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-5)
Date: Saturday, November 10 2018
Time: 3:30 pm EST
Venue: TCF Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, Minnesota
NCAA Football Spread: Purdue -12
NCAA Betting Total: 58
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Purdue has some big wins for sure this season but they are still one win short of a bowl season. This is probably their best chance to get among their final three.
Minnesota got hammered by Illinois on the road last week and with that loss any realistic hope of a bowl appearance. The Gophers are simply not going to win 2 of three down the stretch against good competition.
Purdue is on the come, at least as long as they can keep Jeff Brohm happy. They got the huge upset win over Ohio State but couldn’t follow it up against MSU two weeks ago. They held off Iowa last week at home to have some momentum coming into this one.
The Boilermakers have more playmakers than you realize and are good at getting them into good spots to make plays. Rondale Moors is a super exciting freshman who can score any time he touches the ball. Defenses are taking notice though so his impact goes up and down, even though the threat is always there.
Brohm is an offense guy and always will be but the upset against the Buckeyes and their overall success this season is largely in part to defensive strides. They are a top 50 defense giving up just 24ppg. Against Minnesota they do not have a ton to fear on defense. This group can be stout once again.
Minnesota Golden Gophers
Minnesota used to be a pretty consistent program. They would win 7 or 8 games, play in a bowl and crank out a 1000 yard rusher in the process. They never really challenged in the older, smaller Big Ten, but they seemed to at least be in the mix. Times have changed.
This season the offense has been below average and the defense even worse than that. In games against real opponents it is difficult to find where they have the advantages and the coach and no amount of enthusiasm for the coach is going to make a huge difference.
Per the scheduling note in the intro this looks a lot like their last stand…if the Gophers want to go to a bowl. They are at home and games against Northwestern and Wisconsin do not look like good opportunities. The Gophers only have one conference win this season.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Under is 8-1 in Boilermakers last 9 road games.
- Under is 7-1 in Boilermakers last 8 games on fieldturf.
- Boilermakers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Golden Gophers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in Golden Gophers last 6 games on fieldturf.
- Over is 5-1 in Golden Gophers last 6 conference games.
Free Week 11 NCAA Football Pick
Purdue is getting lots of respect in this spot as a double-digit favourite on the road. They deserve it but it is also reason to look at this one a little closer
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Purdue -12
I am looking at this one this way. The Boilermakers are at least a TD better than Minnesota on offense and defense and when you put it together that gets us a winner.
I can see this one being a shootout if Minnesota is fired up and that probably favours the Boilermakers too. They are better equipped to play a game like that.
Week 11 Free Score Prediction: Purdue 38 – Minnesota 21
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