Ray “The Razor” Monohan – Last Updated on December 21, 2022 7:12 pm
Free NCAA Football Prediction: Pittsburgh vs. UCLA Odds
Looking for Pittsburgh Panthers vs. UCLA Bruins free picks? College football betting sees the Panthers taking on the Bruins on Friday, December 30th, at Sun Bowl Stadium Stadium in El Paso, Texas. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football game predictions like this Panthers Bruins free pick for the 2022 Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl.
College Football Handicapping Analysis: Pittsburgh Panthers vs. UCLA Bruins
2022 Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl
Pittsburgh Panthers 8-4 vs. UCLA Bruins 9-3
Date: Friday, December 30th
Time: 2:00 PM ET
Venue: Sun Bowl Stadium Stadium, El Paso
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: Panthers +205 / Bruins -250 (Bet Now!)
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: Panthers +6 / Bruins -6
NCAA Betting Total Odds: Total O/U 57.5
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This will be Pittsburgh’s 37th Bowl game all-time. Last season they played in the Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl, falling to the then-ranked No. 10 Michigan State Spartans, 31-21 and failing to cover at +3.5.
UCLA is also set to participate in its 37th Bowl game all-time. Last season they accepted an invitation to the Holiday Bowl; however, the game was cancelled due to health and safety concerns regarding Covid-19.
Pittsburgh Panthers
Pitt comes into this one having won four games in a row straight up after starting the year 4-4. They also finished fourth in the ACC and have been to Sun Bowl four times in program history.
Offensive Season Stats
On the season, Pittsburgh is scoring 30.8 points per game. That number ranks 48th in the country.
Through the air, this team collects 221.3 yards per contest, which ranks 79th.
On the ground, they average 181.3 yards per game—a number that puts them in the No. 44 spot on the year.
Defensive Season Stats
On the season, Pittsburgh is giving up 23.4 points per game and 319.7 total yards per contest.
Through the air, this team allows 224.2 yards per game.
On the ground, they give up and average of 95.5 yards per outing—a number that puts them in the No. 7 spot on the year.
Notable Stats
The Panthers are 8-1 SU since 2021 when they avoid throwing any interceptions. (Consider this against UCLA’s Notable Stat below.)
Injury Report
OUT: Calijah Kancey (DL), Nick Patti (QB), Nate Temple (DL)
UCLA Bruins
UCLA enters this one 6-6 against the spread during the season. That number changes to 4-4 ATS when they’re favored by at least six points, as they are here.
Offensive Season Stats
UCLA comes into this one owning the seventh best yards-per-play average (6.8) in the nation vs. FBS. They hit at least 30 points in every game but one in 2022—a 34-28. home loss to the Arizona Wildcats on Nov. 12.
On the season, UCLA scores 39.6 points per game. That number ranks 10th in the country.
Through the air, this team collects 261.5 yards per contest, which ranks 39th.
On the ground, they average 246.3 yards per game—a number good enough for No. 3 across FBS.
Defensive Season Stats
On the season, UCLA gives up 28.3 points per game and just under 400 total yards per contest.
Through the air, this team allows 257.7 yards per contest—a number that is nearly bottom-10 across FBS.
On the ground, they give up and average of 124.2 yards per game.
Notable Stats
Zach Charbonnet and Dorian Thompson-Robinson have both hit the Over rushing yards in 10 of their last 13 games. That’s going to be a theme to watch against an elite Pitt run defense.
The Bruins are 8-2 SU since 2021 when recording at least one interception. (Consider this against Pitt’s Notable Stat above.)
Injury Report
OUT: Martin Andrus Jr. (DL)
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Panthers are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Panthers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Bowl games.
- Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on turf.
- Bruins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
- Bruins are 2-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Bruins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in December.
4* 2022 Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl Pittsburgh vs. UCLA NCAA Betting Final Analysis:
The big storyline here is whether or not Dorian Thompson-Robinson and Zach Charbonnett will suit up.
As of this writing, the two are practicing but have not made their decisions clear.
Those decisions will impact how you pick this one. Pittsburgh has enough momentum (and looks genuinely good enough) to make this a grind-it-out game late in the contest, and that’s especially true if the Bruins are without their guys.
If the two suit up, my money’s on UCLA both straight up and against the spread. But if they sit, Pitt against the spread becomes a strong underdog pick.
Happy bowling.
4* Pittsburgh Panthers vs. UCLA Bruins NCAA Betting Pick: UCLA -6
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