Free NCAA Football Prediction: Beavers vs. Boilermakers Odds
Looking for Oregon State Beavers vs. Purdue Boilermakers free picks? College football betting sees the Beavers taking on the Boilermakers on Saturday, September 4th at Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, IN. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football game Week 1 predictions like this Oregon State Purdue free pick.
College Football Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
Oregon State Beavers (0-0) vs. Purdue Boilermakers (0-0)
Date: Saturday, September 4, 2021
Time: 6:00 pm EST
Venue: Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, Indiana
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: Boilermakers -7 | Beavers + 7
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: Boilermakers -270 Beavers +235
NCAA Betting Total Odds: O/U – 67
Week 1 college football sees the Oregon State Beavers and Purdue Boilermakers meet at Ross-Ade Stadium.
Both sides had successful 2020 moments, but fell below .500 while missing bowl action. Oregon State upset no. 9 Oregon to highlight their 2-5 campaign. Purdue started strong before dropping its last four contests to finish 2-4.
Oddsmakers considered those narratives and made a tight line for Saturday’s matchup.
Purdue advantages include homefield and returning its prolific quarterback tandem. Meanwhile, Oregon lost its best player, running back Jemar Jefferies, to the NFL. Jefferies’ departure creates great offensive need for the ground-oriented Beavers.
The pass-happy Boilermakera are favored by a touchdown vs. Oregon State.
Oregon State Beavers
The Beavers entered last fall riding an upward trend. Under head coach Jonathan Smith OSU rose from one win in 2017 to five wins in 2019, then the pandemic struck. When Oregon State finally made their 2020 march, everything but the run game lagged. Opposing groups added 33.3 ppg & 441 total yards per game vs. the Beavers’ prone defense.
Without much passing help, OSU went as far as the departed Jefferies took them. A backward step might occur this year for Smith and company.
On a positive note, all five Beavers o-linemen return to boost new feature backs Deshaun Fenweck and BJ Baylor. As of Tuesday afternoon, QB Tristan Gebbia remains doubtful for Saturday’s contest while recovering from the hamstring surgery which ended his 2020 campaign. Gebbia notched three touchdowns against three picks in four games. Overall, OSU added 29.8 ppg. Chase Nolan & respected Colorado transfer Sam Noyer wait in the wings to perhaps replace Gebbia this weekend.
Lacking any key defensive acquisition to boost a leaky group, OSU will surrender points Saturday. However, with capable offensive pieces, the Beavers will also enjoy end-zone success.
After losing four straight to close a hopeful 2020 season, Purdue turns to Jack Plummer and Aidan O’Connell for winning edge. The QB duo split time last year with Plummer tossing eight scores and 937 yds and O’Connell adding seven touchdowns and 916 yards. The Boilermakers averaged 29.8 ppg with 309 passing yards per game. With their top recievers back, Purdue should gain major aerial ground vs. the prone Oregon State secondary.
The Boilermakers have an excellent dual threat RB in Alex Horvath, but generally opt to press defenses downfield. Horvath should prove valuable either as a runner or reciever Saturday.
Much like OSU, Purdue lacks defensive verve. The 2020 Boilermakers allowed 29.8 ppg, but new coordinator Brad Lambert has experience fixing leaks after transforming the Marshall point stoppers.
Expect uptempo passing offense this weekend from the Boilermakers as their strength expoits Oregon State’s main weakness.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Oregon State are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.
- Oregon State are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games played in September.
- Oregon State are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games played in week 1.
- Oregon State are 2-7 SU in their last 9 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Purdue’s last 7 games against an opponent in the Pac-12 conference.
- Purdue are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games played in September.
Free Week 1 NCAA Football Pick
Saturday’s line is right where it should be given each team’s defensive shortcomings.
4* Free Week 1 NCAA Betting Pick:
Following a deflating late miscue vs. Northwestern, the wheels came off for 2020 Purdue. The Boilermakers dropped four straight, including a 37-30 home loss vs. Rutgers. There is cerainly no guarantee Purdue will cover on Saturday. That stated, OSU is no world beater, and has a lot to prove. With the known quantities in place, take the Boilermakers to cover in what should become the game of the week.
Beavers vs. Boilermakers Free Score Prediction: Purdue Boilermakers Cover -7
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