Free NCAA Pick: Oregon State vs. Notre Dame Odds
Looking for Oregon State Beavers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish free NCAA 2023 Tony The Tiger Sun Bowl picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Beavers taking on the Fighting Irish on Friday, December 29th at the Sun Bowl. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Bowl games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Oregon State Notre Dame matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Tony The Tiger Sun Bowl
2023 Tony The Tiger Sun Bowl
(8-4) Oregon State Beavers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (9-3)
Date: Friday, December 29th
Time: 2:00 ET
Venue: Sun Bowl, El Paso, TX
Tony The Tiger Sun Bowl ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Oregon State +8.5 | Notre Dame -8.5
Sun Bowl Moneyline Odds: Oregon State +236 | Notre Dame -299
College Football Betting Total: O/U 44.5
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Lots at stake in the Tony The Tiger Sun Bowl on Friday. The Irish are looking to take down the Beavers for the first time, ever, plus, they’re after a 10-win-season.
The Sun Bowl presents an enticing matchup on paper, featuring two Top 20 teams in Oregon State and Notre Dame.
In an ideal scenario, this game would feature Sam Hartman, against DJ Uiagalelei. Hartman’s opted out for the NFL draft, and Uiagalelei’s in the transfer portal. Still, it promises an intriguing matchup with player uncertainties.
Oregon State and Notre Dame are meeting for the third time in history. The Beavers emerged victorious in the first two encounters, with a convincing 41-9 triumph in the Fiesta Bowl to conclude the 2000 season and a 38-21 win in the 2004 Insight Bowl.
Oregon State and Notre Dame did not have any head-to-head matchups last season.
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Oregon State Beavers
Oregon State will be looking to rebound from a 31-7 loss to Oregon. Heading into the fourth quarter, Oregon State trailed by a score of 17-7.
Heading into this week’s matchup with Notre Dame, the Beavers have been favored in 10 games and the underdog in one. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 5-6.
So far this season, Oregon State boasts an over/under record of 5-6.
On average, their matchups have resulted in a combined score of 55.3 points, while the average over/under line has been 54.9 points.
Oregon State Beavers Stats
The Beavers are currently ranked 56th in college football with 421 rushing attempts per game.
In terms of rush yards, they are at 185 rushing yards per game, which is 37th in the nation. Looking at their production in the passing game, they are averaging 29.3 attempts per game and gain an average of 246.1 passing yards.
Overall, they hold the 28th spot with 33.8 points per game.
Oregon State’s defense ranks 75th in points allowed, with 21.5 points given up per game. Teams have been averaging 235.4 passing yards against them (110th nationally). On the ground, they’ve conceded 104.7 rushing yards, putting them 21st in college football.
The Beavers’ offense accumulated 274 yards of offense against Oregon, with 54 on the ground and 220 through the air.
On third down, they converted 3 out of 11 attempts and scored one passing touchdown.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Notre Dame is hoping to cruise to another easy win, as in their most recent game they took down Stanford by a score of 56-23.
Against the spread, Notre Dame has gone 7-3-1 this season. The Fighting Irish have been favored 10 times compared to one game as the underdog.
After 12 games, the average over/under line in Notre Dame’s matches stands at 51 points.
The collective score in their games has averaged 55.7 points, resulting in an OU record of 7-4.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish Stats
As they prepare to face the Oregon State, the Fighting Irish’s offense is averaging 182.2 rushing yards per game and 5 yards per attempt. Nationally, they are 39th in rushing yards and 53rd in passing yards, on an average of 247.8 yards per matchup.
Notre Dame has averaged 39.1 points per game so far. This figure places them 13th in the nation.
Through the air, the Fighting Irish’s attempted 15 passes against Stanford, gaining 140 yards and securing two scores.
On the ground, they maintained an average of 8.1 yards per carry, resulting in five rushing touchdowns.
Defensively, the Fighting Irish enter the game with 27 sacks and ranked 1st in QB hurries. They’ve allowed 16.6 points per game thus far this season (53rd). In terms of pass defense, they’re 16th in the NCAA, giving up 154.2 passing yards per game.
Against the run, Notre Dame has allowed 129.9 rushing yards per contest thus far.
Oregon State Beavers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Beavers are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Beavers are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Fighting Irish have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Beavers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Fighting Irish’s have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Oregon State vs. Notre Dame Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Beavers | +268 | +236 | +9 | +8.5 |
Fighting Irish | -358 | -299 | -9 | -8.5 |
4* Free 2023 Tony The Tiger Sun Bowl NCAA Betting Prediction: Oregon State +8.5
Notre Dame lost 12 November starters, including nine on offense due to injuries, the transfer portal, or NFL opt-outs.
Weather won’t be a factor, low 50’s light winds, no rain.
Oregon State boasts a strong 15-5 SU record in their last 20 games. Additionally, they’ve performed well as underdogs with a 13-6 ATS record in their last 19 matchups.
For a moneyline bet, I like Notre Dame to pick up the win. However, my recommendation is to stick to the moneyline, as our model gives Oregon State a decent chance at covering.
My choice is for Oregon State +8.5.
Our model sees the over/under line for this matchup being to low and like the outlook of this game surpassing 44.5 points.
The betting model spit out this game finishing with a combined 47 points.
I’m confident in my top choice and ready to invest extra, favoring the OVER bet.
Notre Dame supports this with an 11 out of 12 OVER trend after wins by 20+ points. They consistently have high-scoring games, going OVER in their last 5 matches and 5 of 6 as favorites.
Despite limited pass attempts, expect Ben Gulbranson (Oregon State) and Steve Angeli (Notre Dame) at QB to perform well. I think they’ll both be better than advertised.
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Oregon State Beavers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Having fun in the Sun City 🤩#GoIrish☘️ pic.twitter.com/ORTtVjn7cT
— Notre Dame Football (@NDFootball) December 27, 2023
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