Free NCAA Pick: Ole Miss vs. Penn State Odds
Looking for Ole Miss Rebels vs. Penn State Nittany Lions free NCAA 2023 Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Rebels taking on the Nittany Lions on Saturday, December 30th at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Bowl games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Ole Miss Penn State matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl
(10-2) Ole Miss Rebels vs. Penn State Nittany Lions (10-2)
2023 Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl
Date: Saturday, December 30th
Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Ole Miss +3.5 | Penn State -3.5
Peach Bowl Moneyline Odds: Ole Miss +135 | Penn State -163
College Football Betting Total: O/U 49.5
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In their first ever meeting, Penn State (10-2) enters the Peach Bowl, aiming to bolster their New Year’s Six bowl victories under Coach James Franklin. A triumph here would make them the first team to conquer all New Year’s Six bowls.
Ole Miss (10-2) seeks its maiden 11-win season.
The matchup features Penn State’s staunch defense against Ole Miss’s potent offense, promising an exhilarating game.
Ole Miss last played in a New Year’s Six bowl in a 21-7 loss to Baylor on January 1, 2022. Both teams finished their 2023 campaigns at 10-2, competing in formidable conferences.
I think PSU is the school with more motivation in this one, but that’s just my two cents.
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Ole Miss Rebels
The Rebels’ most recent game came against Mississippi State and led to them picking up a 17-7 win.
Against the spread, Ole Miss has gone 5-4-2 this season. The Rebels have been favored eight times compared to three games as the underdog.
Ole Miss has an over/under record of 4-7 so far this season. On average their games have combined for 57.2 points with the average over/under line being 59.4 points.
Ole Miss Rebels Stats
The Rebels are currently ranked 22nd in college football with 483 rushing attempts per game. In terms of rush yards, they are at 179.6 rushing yards per game, which is 44th in the nation. Looking at their production in the passing game, they are averaging 29.5 attempts per game and gain an average of 276.6 passing yards.
Overall, they hold the 23rd spot with 34.8 points per game.
Ole Miss’ defense is ranked 123rd in passing yards allowed per game as they prepare for this matchup. Opponents have attempted an average of 31.2 passing attempts against the Rebels.
They have given up 22.3 points per game so far, placing them 81st in college football. In the NCAA’s rush defense category, they are 86th.
Offensively, the Rebels finished with one score on the ground against Mississippi State while running for 215 rushing yards. In the passing attack, Ole Miss scored one time and threw the ball 26 times for 96 yards.
Penn State Nittany Lions
Penn State’s most recent game ended in a 42-0 win over Michigan State. This week, the Nittany Lions will once again look to get off to a strong start, as they took a 10-point leading into halftime vs. Michigan State.
Penn State’s average scoring differential for the season is +25.8 leading to an ATS mark of 8-3. The Nittany Lions have been favored nine times and the underdog in two games
Penn State has put together an over/under record of 5-6 throughout this season.
The average combined score in their games has been 48.6 points, and the standard over/under line has stood at 46 points.
Penn State Nittany Lions Stats
Penn State’s rushing attack is ranked 21st in college football with 484 rushing attempts per game.
This has translated into an average of 188 rushing yards per game, placing them 32nd nationally. On average, they are attempting 31 passes per game leading to 204.3 passing yards per contest. In terms of scoring, they hold the 17th position, averaging 37.2 points per game.
Through the air, the Nittany Lions’ attempted 28 passes against Michigan State, gaining 303 yards and securing three scores.
On the ground, they maintained an average of 7.3 yards per carry, resulting in two rushing touchdowns.
Penn State comes into the game 50th in points allowed, allowing 11.4 points per game.
Teams have been gaining 153.6 passing yards on average against them (15th). Against the run, they’re giving up 71.9 yards, placing them 6th in college football.
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Penn State Nittany Lions NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Rebels are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Rebels are 4-4-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Nittany Lions have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Rebels’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Nittany Lions’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Ole Miss vs. Penn State Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Rebels | +114 | +135 | +2.5 | +3.5 |
Nittany Lions | -139 | -163 | -2.5 | -3.5 |
4* Free 2023 Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl NCAA Betting Prediction: Ole Miss +3.5
Tough to bet against Penn State in the 2023 Peach Bowl. They excel as favorites, going 13-1-1 ATS in their last 15, with their only two losses this season as underdogs to Ohio State and Michigan.
Though I anticipate Penn State winning outright, I suggest sticking to the moneyline. We do have Ole Miss covering the spread but Penn State is the way to go straight-up.
Mississippi has won 7 of their last 8 games. On Saturdays, they have a strong record, winning 6 out of their last 7 games.
Penn State has struggled with turnovers in their passing game lately.
As the underdogs, I’m leaning towards Ole Miss to cover the spread at +3.5.
Not only does our model have a projected total of 45 points in this matchup, but the eye test has me feeling this line of 49.5 is high. I like Ole Miss and Penn State to stay UNDER 49.5 points.
Huge fan of the UNDER in this matchup. In fact, it’s my bigger bet.
Mississippi has gone UNDER in 4 of their last 5 December games, 5 of their last 7 overall, and 9 of 11 as underdogs. Conversely, Penn State has seen the total go UNDER in 4 of their last 6 games and in 10 of their last 13 against SEC opponents.
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Ole Miss Rebels vs. Penn State Nittany Lions NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
see you tomorrow. pic.twitter.com/kxgGZNjhvc
— Penn State Athletics (@GoPSUsports) December 29, 2023
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