Free NCAAF Pick: Rebels vs. Sooners Odds
Looking for Ole Miss Rebels vs. Oklahoma Sooners Free NCAA Week 9 picks & NCAA odds? NCAAF betting sees the Rebels taking on the Sooners on 10/25 at Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK), in Oklahoma. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NCAA football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NCAAF predictions like this Rebels Sooners free pick.
2025 NCAAF Handicapping – Ole Miss Rebels vs Oklahoma Sooners
(6-1) Ole Miss Rebels vs. Oklahoma Sooners (6-1)
Date: Oct 25, 2025
Time: 12:00 PM ET
Venue: Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK) in Oklahoma, OK
NCAAF Moneyline Odds: Rebels +167 | Sooners -203 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAF Spread Betting Odds: Rebels +4.5 | Sooners -4.5
NCAAF Football Gambling Total: O/U: 54.5
Here’s why I’m backing the OVER bet below in my Rebels Sooners free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Rebels vs. Sooners Gameday
Saturday afternoon brings a heavyweight SEC vs. Big 12 showdown as the 8th-ranked Ole Miss Rebels travel to Norman to face the 13th-ranked Oklahoma Sooners.
Kickoff is set for 12:00 PM ET at Memorial Stadium, and you can catch every snap on ABC.
Ole Miss enters Week 9 at 6-1, but their perfect home record (5-0) masks some inconsistency on the road (1-1). The Rebels are coming off a 43-35 loss to Georgia — a shootout that showed off their firepower but also exposed a few defensive holes.
Meanwhile, Oklahoma is also 6-1, ranked 13th in the AP and 11th in the Coaches Poll. The Sooners are undefeated at home and riding high after a 26-7 win over South Carolina.
With both teams ranked and postseason aspirations on the line, this matchup feels like a playoff preview.
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It’s Week 9 — Ole Miss Rebels vs. Oklahoma Sooners — and this one has “instant classic” written all over it.
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Ole Miss Rebels vs. Oklahoma Sooners Odds & Last 5
Oddsmakers are giving a slight edge to the home team. Oklahoma sits at -204 on the moneyline, while Ole Miss is listed at +170.
The Sooners are favored by 4.5 points, and the total sits at 54.5 — a line that suggests we could be in for a high-octane afternoon.
Ole Miss enters after that hard-fought loss to Georgia but showed plenty of life offensively with 263 passing yards. Their previous 24-21 win over Washington State displayed their ability to grind out close games.
Oklahoma, on the other hand, took care of South Carolina 26-7 last week, controlling both sides of the ball.
However, their earlier 23-6 loss to Texas exposed a few offensive inconsistencies — something they can’t afford against an Ole Miss team that thrives in shootouts.
Sooners Stats
The Oklahoma Sooners’ offense has found rhythm as the season has progressed. They’ve scored 201 total points (46th nationally), powered by 1,748 passing yards (48th). The balance between the air attack and a steady run game keeps defenses guessing.
Defensively, Oklahoma has been outstanding — allowing just 66 points all year, ranking 26th in the country. Their front seven has been relentless, leading the nation with 30 sacks.
If that pass rush gets going early, it could disrupt Ole Miss’s tempo.
Quarterback John Mateer has been the steady hand, throwing for 1,567 yards and seven touchdowns.
Running back Tory Blaylock has chipped in 393 rushing yards and four touchdowns, while the Sooners’ defense continues to fuel short fields and scoring opportunities.
Rebels Stats
Ole Miss brings serious firepower into Norman. The Rebels rank 9th in the nation in passing yards (2,129) and 14th in scoring (262 total points).
Their offense can hit in waves, with quick drives that stretch defenses sideline to sideline.
Defensively, it’s been more of a mixed bag. The Rebels have allowed 158 points (82nd nationally), and while they’ve racked up 10 sacks and three interceptions — both top-20 marks — they’ve been prone to giving up chunk plays.
Quarterback Trinidad Chambliss has been the driving force with 1,549 yards and eight touchdowns, throwing just one interception. Meanwhile, Kewan Lacy has been their workhorse back, rushing for 618 yards and a team-high 10 touchdowns.
When those two are locked in, Ole Miss can light up the scoreboard against anyone.
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Rebels vs. Sooners QB Matchup
John Mateer continues to guide the Sooners with composure. Across six games, he’s thrown for 1,567 yards and seven touchdowns — but those six interceptions raise a red flag against a turnover-hungry Ole Miss secondary.
Freshman backup Michael Hawkins Jr. has impressed in limited action, throwing for 167 yards and three touchdowns without a single pick.
For Ole Miss, Trinidad Chambliss has been surgical this season. Through seven games, he’s racked up 1,549 yards and eight TDs with just one interception.
His accuracy under pressure has been elite, and his chemistry with Lacy in the play-action game gives defenses nightmares.
Backup Austin Simmons has flashed upside with 580 yards and four scores in relief, but his four interceptions show he’s still a work in progress.
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Oklahoma Sooners bottom line: Both teams are loaded, but Oklahoma’s defense could be the difference-maker at home. If the Sooners’ pass rush rattles Chambliss early, they’ll control the tempo.
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Oklahoma Sooners Football Betting Trends
- Ole Miss is 6-0 straight up after a loss in their last 6.
- Ole Miss is 3-1 on the over/under in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Ole Miss is 3-1 on the over/under in their last 4 away games.
- Oklahoma is 13-1 straight up as a favorite in their last 14.
- Additionally, Oklahoma is 17-3 straight up in their last 20 home games.
- Oklahoma is 4-1 against the spread as a favorite in their last 5.
Rebels Sooners Free Pick: Over 54.5
Here is my Rebels Sooners free pick. The total for this matchup sits at 54.5, and it’s hard to ignore how much offensive potential is packed into this one.
Ole Miss ranks 14th nationally in points scored, and when they’re underdogs, they tend to shine — hitting the over in 3 of their last 4 games in that role.
Meanwhile, Oklahoma’s defense may hold its own, but their games rarely stay quiet. The Sooners rank 46th in scoring and tend to thrive in up-tempo environments, especially at home where the energy fuels their offense. That combination creates the perfect setup for a total that could climb fast.
Moreover, both programs feature quarterbacks capable of extending plays and turning short gains into big moments. When you mix Ole Miss’s explosive offensive style with Oklahoma’s home dominance, the fireworks potential is undeniable.
Given both teams’ scoring ability and recent over trends, taking the Over 54.5 looks like the smartest way to play this matchup.
Ultimately, expect touchdowns early and often, with momentum swinging back and forth all night.
This one feels tailor-made for bettors who love fast-paced football and plenty of points on the board.
Today’s NCAAF Free Pick
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NCAAF Betting Tweet Of The Day
Afternoon or evening kick in Knoxville 🗓️
📺 ESPN or ABC pic.twitter.com/FTpKKfHR1W
— Oklahoma Football (@OU_Football) October 20, 2025
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