Free NCAAF Pick: Rebels vs. Bulldogs Odds
Looking for Ole Miss Rebels vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs Free NCAA Week 14 picks & NCAA odds? NCAAF betting sees the Rebels taking on the Bulldogs on 11/28 at Davis Wade Stadium, in Starkville, MS. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NCAA football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NCAAF predictions like this Rebels Bulldogs free pick.
2025 NCAAF Handicapping – Ole Miss Rebels vs Mississippi State Bulldogs
(10-1) Ole Miss Rebels vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-6)
Date: Nov 28, 2025
Time: 12:00 PM ET
Venue: Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, MS
NCAAF Moneyline Odds: Rebels -270 | Bulldogs +218 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAF Spread Betting Odds: Rebels -7.0 | Bulldogs +7.0
NCAAF Football Gambling Total: O/U: 62.5
Here’s why I’m backing an OVER bet below in my Rebels Bulldogs free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Rebels vs. Bulldogs Gameday
This Week 14 matchup in the 2025 season features Ole Miss visiting Mississippi State at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, MS. Fans can tune in at noon on ABC.
In their last five games against Mississippi State, Ole Miss has won four times.
Ole Miss enters with a 10-1 record and sits sixth in both the AP and Coaches Poll. They hold a 6-1 conference mark and arrive with a four-game winning streak.
Mississippi State carries a 5-6 record into this matchup and owns a 1-6 mark in conference play. They are on a two-game losing streak after recent setbacks.
The rivalry history leans toward Ole Miss based on recent trends, and the matchup adds intrigue to the closing week of the season.
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It’s Week 14, Ole Miss Rebels vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs, hopefully we get a great matchup.
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs Odds & Last 5
The odds list Ole Miss as a -270 favorite, with Mississippi State sitting at +219. The spread is set at Rebels -7 with both sides priced at -110.
In comparison, Ole Miss brings strong form after a win over Florida and a dominant stretch of four straight victories. Mississippi State has struggled lately and dropped its last two games, including a 49-27 loss to Missouri.
Overall, the rivalry matchup last season ended with a 26-14 Ole Miss win, adding context to their recent edge.
Bulldogs Stats
Mississippi State has produced 347 total points this season to rank 37th. Their passing attack has delivered 2,666 yards for a 53rd-place mark, while their rushing game sits 70th with 1,706 yards.
Likewise, the defense has created key turnovers with 20 sacks and 12 interceptions, placing them near the national top 20 in both categories. They have also allowed 312 points, which shows the challenges they face on that side of the ball.
Their recent results include losses to Missouri and Georgia, though the offense showed flashes with a strong passing performance against Missouri. Their win over Arkansas highlighted balance with 282 passing yards and 117 rushing yards.
As a result, Mississippi State continues to manage injuries, with Brennan Smith and Blake Steen among the absences. Blake Shapen remains the leader at quarterback and brings stability to the offense.
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Rebels Stats
Ole Miss has scored 409 points this season, ranking 14th nationally. Their passing offense has produced 3,356 yards, placing them sixth in the country.
For that reason, the defense has contributed with six interceptions to rank seventh and 22 sacks to place 17th. They have allowed 222 points, which puts them 73rd and provides room for improvement.
Recent games have showcased their offensive firepower with a strong outing against The Citadel and a balanced attack in the win over Florida. Their passing game exploded for 452 yards in one matchup, while the ground attack delivered 241 rushing yards in another.
Key players include quarterback Trinidad Chambliss with 2,657 passing yards and running back Kewan Lacy with 1,136 rushing yards. Harrison Wallace III has emerged as a reliable target with 647 receiving yards.
We want to hear from you below! Comments are welcome! Give us your picks for this Ole Miss Rebels vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs NCAAF matchup.
Rebels vs. Bulldogs QB Matchup
Blake Shapen leads Mississippi State with 2,436 passing yards, 15 touchdowns, and eight interceptions across 11 games. His experience gives the Bulldogs a steady presence under center.
Even so, Kamario Taylor has appeared in nine games and contributed 210 yards and four touchdowns. His careful play has kept mistakes to a minimum when called upon.
Trinidad Chambliss anchors the Ole Miss offense with 2,657 passing yards, 14 touchdowns, and only three interceptions. His consistency has helped sustain the team’s high-powered attack.
At the same time, Austin Simmons has added depth with 680 passing yards and four touchdowns over six appearances. His development gives Ole Miss another capable option in the quarterback room.
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs bottom line: Ole Miss enters with more stability on both sides of the ball, while Mississippi State’s recent struggles make the Rebels the more reliable side in this rivalry matchup.
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs Football Betting Trends
- The Rebels are 26-3 straight up in their last 29 games as favorites.
- In the last 25 games after a win, the Rebels are 20-5 straight up.
- Additionally, the Rebels have gone over the total in their last 3 away games.
- The Bulldogs have hit the over in their last 4 games as underdogs.
- Also, the Bulldogs are 9-4 against the spread after a loss in their last 13 games.
- The Bulldogs have gone over the total in their last 4 games overall.
Rebels Bulldogs Free Pick: Over 62.5
Here is my Rebels Bulldogs free pick. Ole Miss brings one of the more explosive offenses in the country into this matchup, ranking high in both passing and rushing production, and they’ve consistently cashed tickets as favorites because they can score in bunches.
Their tempo and vertical threats make almost any total live when they’re on the field.
Mississippi State’s defense has struggled, sitting near the bottom nationally in points allowed, and that usually forces them into higher-scoring games.
They’ve also hit the over in four straight as underdogs, showing they give up plenty but also score just enough to help push totals across.
My system tells me both defenses are too leaky for 62.5 to hold.
With Ole Miss attacking from all angles and the Bulldogs’ recent over trend aligning perfectly, this matchup sets up for steady scoring on both sides. Over 62.5 is the pick.
Today’s NCAAF Free Pick
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NCAAF Betting Tweet Of The Day
The last 38 seconds of the 1999 Egg Bowl was chaos 🤯🤯🤯 pic.twitter.com/5nHid43ttv
— Mississippi State Football (@HailStateFB) November 25, 2025
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