Free NCAAF Pick: Sooners vs. Longhorns Odds
Looking for Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Longhorns Free NCAA Week 7 picks & NCAA odds? NCAAF betting sees the Sooners taking on the Longhorns on 10/11 at Cotton Bowl, in Texas. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NCAA football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NCAAF predictions like this Sooners Longhorns free pick.
2025 NCAAF Handicapping – Oklahoma Sooners vs Texas Longhorns
(5-0) Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Longhorns (3-2)
Date: Oct 11, 2025
Time: 3:30 PM ET
Venue: Cotton Bowl in Texas, TX
NCAAF Moneyline Odds: Sooners +117 | Longhorns -140 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAF Spread Betting Odds: Sooners +2.5 | Longhorns -2.5
NCAAF Football Gambling Total: O/U: 42.5
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Sooners vs. Longhorns Gameday
The Allstate Red River Rivalry lights up Week 7 as the Oklahoma Sooners meet the Texas Longhorns at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas. Kickoff is set for 3:30 PM on Saturday, October 11, 2025, on ABC.
Oklahoma enters ranked #6 in both the AP and Coaches Polls with a spotless 5-0 record.
Their latest outing — a 44-0 blowout of Kent State — showed how dominant this group can be on both sides of the ball.
Texas, meanwhile, comes in at 3-2 and ranked #19 in the Coaches Poll. They’re unbeaten at home (3-0) but 0-2 away from Austin. Last week’s 29-21 loss to Florida exposed some cracks in their secondary that Oklahoma’s offense could exploit.
These two have traded punches the last few years. Texas routed Oklahoma 34-3 last season, but the Sooners won 34-30 in 2023. The stage is set for another heavyweight brawl in Dallas.
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It’s Week 7, Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Longhorns — and this one always delivers fireworks.
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Longhorns Odds & Last 5
Oddsmakers expect a tight one. Texas sits as a slight favorite at -141 on the moneyline, while Oklahoma sits at +118. The spread is just 2.5 points, with the total pegged at 42.5 — low for these two programs.
Oklahoma is red-hot. They’ve opened the year with five straight wins and haven’t allowed a single opponent to crack 20 points. Their defense continues to create pressure and short fields for their offense.
Texas needs a response after that Florida loss. They’ve been great at home, averaging 38 points per game in Austin.
Still, their turnovers and red-zone inefficiency remain a concern heading into this rivalry game.
Longhorns Stats
Texas has flashed plenty of talent but hasn’t found consistency. They’ve scored 148 points this season, ranking 51st nationally, while their passing and rushing yards both hover near the middle of the pack (64th and 65th).
Quarterback Arch Manning has taken command of the offense. Through five games, he’s thrown for 1,151 yards and 11 touchdowns. The flip side? He’s also tossed five interceptions — the kind of mistakes that swing big games.
The Longhorns have been up and down lately. They destroyed Sam Houston 55-0, then sputtered in losses to Ohio State and Florida, scoring just 7 and 21 points in those games. That inconsistency defines their season so far.
Defensively, the Longhorns are still solid. They rank 13th in sacks and 6th in interceptions, allowing just 60 total points (26th).
However, injuries to CJ Baxter Jr. and Malik Muhammad could test their depth this weekend.
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Sooners Stats
Oklahoma has looked every bit the contender their record suggests. They’ve scored 169 points, ranking 38th, while putting up 1,390 passing yards — also 38th nationally. Their offensive balance keeps defenses guessing.
The Sooners’ defense might be the best in the Big 12. They’ve given up just 36 total points (10th) and lead nearly every major category in pressure rate. Their 22 sacks rank 2nd in the country — pure dominance up front.
Recent performances have been all business. The Sooners shut out Kent State 44-0 and took down Auburn 24-17 in a gritty win. They’ve shown they can both blow teams out and grind out tight games when needed.
Injuries are worth watching. Quarterback John Mateer remains out, which could force adjustments to their offensive rhythm.
Still, the Sooners’ confidence and depth make them a dangerous opponent for anyone.
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Sooners vs. Longhorns QB Matchup
Arch Manning continues to headline for Texas. Through five games, he’s thrown for 1,151 yards and 11 touchdowns but also five interceptions. When he’s hot, he looks elite — when he’s off, the turnovers pile up fast.
Backup Matthew Caldwell has appeared in four games but hasn’t made a major impact. With only 75 yards and no touchdowns, he’s more of a safety net than a threat.
For Oklahoma, John Mateer leads the way with 1,215 passing yards and six touchdowns across four games. He’s been accurate and poised but still takes risks downfield, evidenced by three interceptions.
Michael Hawkins Jr. has been sharp in limited duty. In just two appearances, he’s thrown for 167 yards and three touchdowns with zero turnovers.
That efficiency makes him a viable weapon in red-zone packages.
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Longhorns bottom line: The rivalry energy always makes this one unpredictable, but Oklahoma’s defense gives them the edge. I’m sure there will be a few heart-stopping moments in Dallas.
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Longhorns Football Betting Trends
- The Sooners are 4-0 straight up in their last 4 games after a win.
- Also, the Sooners are 12-1 straight up as favorites in their last 13.
- The Sooners have a 3-1 record against the spread in their last 4 games after a win.
- The Longhorns are 8-1 straight up in their last 9 games after a loss.
- Additionally, the Longhorns are 17-2 straight up in their last 19 at home.
- The Longhorns are 5-4 against the spread in their last 9 games after a loss.
Sooners vs Longhorns Prediction: Under 42.5
Here is my Sooners Longhorns free pick. Oklahoma’s defense has been exceptional so far, giving up only 36 total points this season. Because they’ve been so disciplined and effective at shutting down opponents, the Sooners have turned most of their games into grind-it-out defensive battles.
Their ability to control tempo makes the under very appealing here.
Meanwhile, Texas has been nearly as stout, allowing just 60 points and ranking 26th nationally in points against. Moreover, their defensive front has been excellent at pressuring quarterbacks and limiting explosive plays. When two top-tier defenses like these collide, offensive fireworks are usually hard to come by.
Historically, this rivalry has produced its share of defensive slugfests, and this matchup fits that profile perfectly. Consequently, with both teams boasting elite stop units and conservative game plans, the total of 42.5 looks generous.
With both defenses in top form, the Under 42.5 feels like the sharp side in this Red River showdown.
All in all, expect a hard-hitting, field-position-driven contest where touchdowns are rare and every point matters.
Therefore, back the under as both defenses take center stage in this classic Big 12 battle.
Today’s NCAAF Free Pick
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NCAAF Betting Tweet Of The Day
happy Red River Rivalry week to all who celebrate 🤘#HookEm pic.twitter.com/dqtdMw930b
— Texas Longhorns (@TexasLonghorns) October 7, 2025
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