Free NCAAF Pick: Sooners vs. Volunteers Odds
Looking for Oklahoma Sooners vs. Tennessee Volunteers Free NCAA Week 10 picks & NCAA odds? NCAAF betting sees the Sooners taking on the Volunteers on 11/1 at Neyland Stadium, in Tennessee. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NCAA football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NCAAF predictions like this Sooners Volunteers free pick.
2025 NCAAF Handicapping – Oklahoma Sooners vs Tennessee Volunteers
(6-2) Oklahoma Sooners vs. Tennessee Volunteers (6-2)
Date: Nov 01, 2025
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Venue: Neyland Stadium in Tennessee, TN
NCAAF Moneyline Odds: Sooners +128 | Volunteers -154 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAF Spread Betting Odds: Sooners +3.0 | Volunteers -3.0
NCAAF Football Gambling Total: O/U: 56.5
Here’s why I’m backing a Tennessee ATS bet below in my Sooners Volunteers free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Sooners vs. Volunteers Gameday
Week 10 brings a high-stakes SEC clash under the lights as the Oklahoma Sooners head to Knoxville to battle the Tennessee Volunteers at Neyland Stadium.
Kickoff is set for 7:30 PM ET on NBC, and both teams enter with matching 6-2 records — though they’ve taken very different routes to get here.
Oklahoma, ranked 18th, stumbled in its last road outing, falling 34-26 to Ole Miss before rebounding with a 26-7 win over South Carolina. The Sooners have struggled to find consistent offensive rhythm, but their defense continues to generate pressure at an elite level.
Tennessee, sitting at No. 14 in both major polls, has leaned heavily on its offense all season.
The Vols dropped 56 points on Kentucky last week, bouncing back from a 37-20 loss to Alabama. Their passing attack has been one of the most explosive in the country, though defensive lapses have cost them against top-tier opponents.
The last time these two teams met, Tennessee took a 25-15 win in Norman.
With both offenses capable of striking fast, this rematch should come down to who wins the line-of-scrimmage battle — and who can avoid the backbreaking turnover.
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It’s Week 10: Oklahoma Sooners vs. Tennessee Volunteers — and this one could have massive implications for the SEC standings.
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Tennessee Volunteers Odds & Last 5
Tennessee opens as a -154 favorite on the moneyline, while Oklahoma sits at +129. The Volunteers are favored by a field goal (-3), with a total of 63 points — an over/under that reflects both teams’ offensive upside and defensive volatility.
Oklahoma’s last five games have been a rollercoaster. They posted dominant wins over South Carolina and Arkansas but faltered against Ole Miss and Alabama. Despite flashes of brilliance, turnovers and inconsistent red-zone efficiency have limited their ceiling.
Tennessee, meanwhile, continues to live and die by its passing game. They’ve scored at least 34 points in six of eight games but have allowed 30 or more in four of those contests.
If Oklahoma’s defense can generate early stops, this could easily turn into a slower-paced battle than oddsmakers expect.
Volunteers Stats
Tennessee’s offense has been electric, ranking 2nd in both points scored (365) and passing yards (2,571). Quarterback Joey Aguilar has been exceptional, ranking 4th nationally in passing with 2,344 yards and 18 touchdowns.
On the ground, the Vols are solid but not elite — 1,561 rushing yards (28th nationally) — enough to keep defenses honest. Defensively, however, it’s been another story. Tennessee ranks 123rd in points allowed (247) but compensates with big plays, including 26 sacks (5th nationally) and 9 fumble recoveries (2nd).
Recent form shows the good and bad of Tennessee football. They’ve averaged 45 points in their last two wins but surrendered 37 to Alabama and 31 to Arkansas.
If they can’t control the tempo, their defense could once again be under siege.
Sooners Stats
Oklahoma’s offense has been more modest, ranking 50th in points scored (227). Their passing game ranks 43rd with 1,971 yards, while the run game sits at 90th with 1,046 yards.
Quarterback John Mateer leads the charge with 1,790 passing yards, eight touchdowns, and six interceptions — a stat line that mirrors the team’s up-and-down rhythm.
Defensively, though, the Sooners shine. They rank 2nd nationally in sacks (30) and 4th in interceptions. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed just 100 total points (46th nationally), showcasing their ability to pressure opposing quarterbacks and generate takeaways.
Running back Tory Blaylock anchors the ground attack with 403 yards and four touchdowns, while the Sooners’ receiving corps remains deep but inconsistent.
If they can avoid turnovers and control the clock, Oklahoma’s defense might be able to dictate the game.
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Sooners vs. Volunteers QB Matchup
Tennessee’s Joey Aguilar has been among the most productive quarterbacks in the SEC. Through eight games, he’s thrown for 2,344 yards and 18 touchdowns, ranking near the top nationally. Backup Jake Merklinger has added 175 yards and two touchdowns in limited action without an interception.
For Oklahoma, John Mateer continues to develop as a steady presence. Across seven starts, he’s tallied 1,790 passing yards, eight touchdowns, and six picks.
Freshman Michael Hawkins Jr. has provided a spark in relief duty, tossing three touchdowns and no interceptions in limited appearances.
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Tennessee Volunteers bottom line: This matchup pits Oklahoma’s physical, opportunistic defense against Tennessee’s high-octane offense.
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Tennessee Volunteers Football Betting Trends
- The Sooners have gone 4-0 straight up after a loss in their last 4.
- In their last 11 games after a loss, the Sooners are 8-3 against the spread.
- The Sooners have a 14-11 straight up record in their last 25 away games.
- Meanwhile, the Volunteers have a 25-2 straight up record in their last 27 home games.
- Also, the Volunteers are 20-2 straight up as favorites in their last 22.
- In their last 25 home games, the Volunteers are 16-9 ATS.
Sooners Volunteers Free Pick: Tennessee -3
Here is my Volunteers Sooners free pick. To start, Tennessee have been nearly unbeatable at home, going 25-2 in their last 27 games inside Neyland Stadium.
That kind of dominance, paired with a 20-2 straight-up record as favorites, shows just how reliable this team is when playing in front of their home crowd.
Meanwhile, Oklahoma has been competitive after losses but faces a tall task in Knoxville.
With Tennessee ranking second nationally in both points scored and passing yards, the Sooners’ defense will be under relentless pressure all afternoon.
Additionally, the Sooners’ 14-11 road record over their last 25 away contests highlights some inconsistency away from Norman. Tennessee, on the other hand, has covered the spread in 16 of their last 25 home games — another sign of how well they perform in familiar territory.
Given Tennessee’s elite offensive production and proven home-field edge, laying the -3 looks like the sharp play.
The Vols will control tempo, and light up the scoreboard, it’ll lead to a statement win and a cover.
Today’s NCAAF Free Pick
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NCAAF Betting Tweet Of The Day
triple threat#GBO 🍊 pic.twitter.com/GD1uzmr75G
— Tennessee Football (@Vol_Football) October 28, 2025
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