Free NCAA Pick: Ohio State vs. Texas Odds
Looking for Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Texas Longhorns free NCAA College Football Playoff Semifinal at the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Buckeyes taking on the Longhorns on Friday, January 10th at the AT&T Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all CFP Playoff games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Ohio State Texas Cotton Bowl matchup.
2025 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: College Football Playoff Semifinal at the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic
2025 Cotton Bowl
(12-2) Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Texas Longhorns (13-2)
Date: Friday, January 10th
Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
CFP – Cotton Bowl ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Ohio State -6 | Texas +6
CFP – Cotton Bowl Moneyline Odds: Ohio State -231 | Texas +193
College Football Betting Total: O/U 53.5
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Get ready for an electrifying showdown in the 2025 Cotton Bowl as two college football powerhouses collide—Ohio State (-6 point favorites) and Texas!
This isn’t just a game; it’s a clash steeped in history and tradition.
With eight national titles to Ohio State’s name and four for Texas, these programs boast rich legacies but have only faced off three times before—none in the postseason.
The last meeting? A thriller in the 2009 Fiesta Bowl where Colt McCoy’s Texas edged out Ohio State 24-21.
Now, these squads are back under the spotlight with championship aspirations on the line.
ESPN will be covering this College Football Playoff Semifinal matchup between the Ohio State Buckeyes and Texas Longhorns at 7:30 ET from AT&T Stadium in Arlington.
The Over/Under total is set at 53.5, and we’re seeing moneyline odds at Buckeyes -231, and Texas +193 to win straight up.
Ohio State Buckeyes
Ohio State enters the College Football Playoff Semifinal – Cotton Bowl with a 12-2 record, facing Texas. The Buckeyes are 8-1 at home and 4-1 on the road this season. They’ve been favored in all 14 games and have a +24.3 average scoring margin.
Against the spread, Ohio State is 8-6, going 5-4 at home and 3-2 on the road. As the favorite, they’ve covered the spread in eight of 14 games.
The over/under line for this week is set at 53.5 points. Ohio State’s games have averaged an over/under line of 50.4 points, with their over/under record at 7-7 and an average combined score of 48.4 points per game.
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Ohio State Buckeyes Stats
Ohio State’s offense ranks 9th in scoring, averaging 36.4 points per game, but they are 2nd in our offensive power rankings heading into the College Football Playoff. Will Howard has thrown for 3,490 yards, boasting a passer rating of 120 and completing 72.6% of his passes. Ohio State ranks 3rd nationally in passer rating and 4th in completion percentage.
Howard has 32 touchdown passes this season. Quinshon Judkins leads the rushing attack with 924 yards and 10 touchdowns. Jeremiah Smith has 1,224 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns on 70 catches.
Ohio State’s defense has been a standout unit this season, leading the nation by allowing just 12.1 points per game. They rank 6th in passing yards allowed, giving up only 152.4 yards per game, and 10th in rushing yards, allowing 96.1 yards per contest.
In their last game, Ohio State’s defense held Oregon to 21 points and allowed just 15 first downs. They gave up 299 passing yards but limited Oregon to -23 rushing yards on 28 attempts.
Texas Longhorns
Texas enters the College Football Playoff Semifinal – Cotton Bowl with a 13-2 record. They are 7-1 at home and 5-0 on the road this season. The Longhorns have been favored in 13 of their 15 games, going 12-1 as the favorite.
Texas has an 8-5 record against the spread, with a +19.8 average scoring margin. At home, they are 5-3 ATS, while their road ATS record stands at 3-2.
This week’s over/under line is set at 53.5 points. Texas games have averaged 48.7 points, and their average over/under line this season has been 52.3 points, with a 5-7-1 over/under record.
Texas Longhorns Stats
Texas has relied on their passing game this season, ranking 6th in passing yards, with 278.4 yards per game. They are also 6th in passing completions and 10th in attempts. Overall, they are 17th in scoring, with 34.3 points per game, and we have them 11th in our offensive power rankings heading into the College Football Playoff Semifinal.
Quinn Ewers has thrown for 3,189 yards, completing 66.5% of his passes, with 29 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. He has a passer rating of 102. Matthew Golden leads the receiving corps with 936 yards and nine touchdowns. On the ground, Texas averages 166.7 rushing yards per game.
Texas’ defense has been strong this season, ranking sixth nationally by allowing just 14.5 points per game. They’ve held opponents to 112.9 rushing yards per game (22nd) and 166 passing yards per game, which ranks ninth. Quarterbacks have managed a passer rating of only 58.8 against Texas, the third-lowest in the country.
In their recent game against Arizona State, Texas gave up 31 points but still secured a win in overtime. The defense allowed 510 total yards, including 214 rushing yards on 49 attempts and 296 passing yards, while also forcing one interception.
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Texas Longhorns NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Ohio State Buckeyes are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Texas Longhorns are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Ohio State Buckeyes are 4-4-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Texas Longhorns have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Ohio State Buckeyes’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Texas Longhorns’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free College Football Playoff Semifinal at the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic NCAA Betting Prediction: Ohio State -6
The Buckeyes (-6) are red-hot, coming off dominant playoff performances, crushing Tennessee and Oregon to cover both spreads with ease.
Ohio State is 4-1 ATS against ranked opponents this season and riding a 7-1 SU streak. Meanwhile, Texas has struggled against the spread, going just 3-6 ATS in their last nine.
Our projections have Ohio State coming out on top 28-20 in their Cotton Bowl matchup against Texas. With Ohio State being the -6 point spread favorite, we would go with them to cover.
For the over/under, with the line set at 53.5 points, our model is projecting a combined 48 points, so the under looks to be the best play here.
Will the Buckeyes roll again, or does Texas have one more fight in them?
My money is on the Buckeyes this week!
Buckle up—this one’s got fireworks written all over it!
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Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Texas Longhorns NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Cleared for takeoff 🤘#HookEm | #CFBPlayoff pic.twitter.com/xPAyhFIumM
— Texas Football (@TexasFootball) January 8, 2025
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