Free NCAA Pick: Notre Dame vs. Ohio State Odds
Looking for Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Ohio State Buckeyes free NCAA College Football Playoff National Championship picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Buckeyes taking on the Fighting Irish on Monday, January 20th at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all Bowl games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Ohio State Notre Dame matchup.
2025 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: College Football Playoff National Championship
(13-2) Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Ohio State Buckeyes (14-1)
2025 CFP National Championship Game
Date: Monday, January 20th
Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
CFP National Championship ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Ohio State -8.5 | Notre Dame +8.5
CFB Moneyline Odds: Ohio State -370 | Notre Dame +292
College Football Betting Total: O/U 45.5
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When it comes to Bowl season, college football fans and bettors alike know the excitement is unmatched, and the 2025 CFP National Championship promises to deliver in spades.
This year’s showdown features the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the Ohio State Buckeyes, two storied programs with plenty of history and plenty to play for. The #7 Fighting Irish are gearing up to compete for their 12th national title and first since 1988.
ESPN is handling the television broadcast as the Buckeyes and Irish face off in the College Football Playoff National Championship.
Kick-off is set for 7:30 ET from Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, with Ohio State coming in as the -8.5 point favorite.
The over/under line is currently at 45.5 points. Notre Dame has a 14-1 record this season, while Ohio State is 13-2. The money line odds are +292 for Notre Dame and -370 for Ohio State.
Ohio State has dominated this matchup, winning the last six meetings, including a nail-biter in 2023—a 17-14 victory in South Bend.
This thrilling showdown features Ohio State’s quarterback Will Howard going head-to-head with Notre Dame’s Riley Leonard, setting the stage for a must-watch matchup.
Ohio State Buckeyes
Ohio State enters the CFP Championship game against Notre Dame with a 13-2 record. They’ve been strong at home, going 8-1, and have a 5-1 mark on the road. The Buckeyes have been favored in all 15 games this season.
Ohio State’s ATS record stands at 9-6, with a +23.6 average scoring margin. They are 5-4 against the spread at home and 4-2 on the road.
Their over/under record is 7-8, with an average line of 50.5 points. This week’s line is 45.5 points, and their games have averaged 48 points per contest.
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Ohio State Buckeyes Stats
Ohio State’s offense ranks 2nd in our power rankings heading into the National Championship game, and they are 10th in scoring, with 35.8 points per game. Will Howard has thrown for 3,779 yards and has a passer rating of 118. Ohio State is 10th in passing yards per game and 4th in completion percentage, completing 71% of their passes.
Howard has thrown 33 touchdowns and 10 interceptions this season. TreVeyon Henderson leads the rushing attack with 964 yards, averaging 7 yards per carry and scoring 10 touchdowns. Jeremiah Smith, the leading receiver, has 1,227 yards and 14 touchdowns on 71 catches.
Ohio State’s defense has been impressive this season, ranking first in the nation by allowing just 12.2 points per game. They’ve also held opponents to 93.5 rushing yards per game, which ranks ninth, and 161.1 passing yards per game, the seventh-lowest in the country. Quarterbacks have managed a passer rating of only 68.7 against Ohio State, the eighth-lowest figure nationally.
In their recent game against Texas, Ohio State’s defense gave up 14 points but allowed just 58 rushing yards on 29 attempts. Texas threw the ball 39 times, completing 23 passes for 283 yards, but Ohio State’s defense also came up with an interception.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Notre Dame enters the College Football Playoff National Championship game against Ohio State with a 14-1 record. They’ve gone 7-0 on the road and 7-1 at home this season. The Fighting Irish have been favored in 13 of their 15 games, posting a 12-1 record as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +22.7 points per game, and they’ve covered the spread in 13 of 15 games, going 7-0 ATS on the road and 6-2 at home.
Notre Dame’s over/under record is 8-7, with their games averaging 51.3 points. The average over/under line this season has been 47.2 points, and this week’s line is set at 45.5 points. They’ve played eight games with higher lines than this week’s total and five with lower lines.
As the favorite, Notre Dame is 11-2 ATS, and they’ve gone 2-0 against the spread as the underdog. At home, they are 6-2 ATS as the favorite, while on the road, they’ve covered all seven games, going 5-0 as the favorite and 2-0 as the underdog.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish Stats
Notre Dame’s offense has been driven by their rushing attack, ranking 7th nationally with 211.8 yards per game. They are 6th in scoring, averaging 37 points per game, and are ranked 14th in our offensive power rankings heading into the national championship game.
Jeremiyah Love leads the ground game with 1,121 rushing yards and 17 touchdowns, averaging 7 yards per carry. Quarterback Riley Leonard has thrown for 2,606 yards with a passer rating of 94, and he has 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions this season.
Notre Dame’s defense has been impressive this season, ranking 5th nationally by allowing just 14.3 points per game. They also rank 8th in passing yards allowed, giving up only 165.3 yards per game, with opposing quarterbacks managing a passer rating of just 58, the 2nd-lowest in the country.
In their recent game against Penn State, Notre Dame’s defense allowed 24 points but also forced an interception. They gave up 204 rushing yards on 42 attempts, while limiting Penn State’s passing attack to 135 yards.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Ohio State Buckeyes NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Ohio State Buckeyes are 4-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Ohio State Buckeyes are 5-4-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Ohio State Buckeyes’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Notre Dame Fighting Irish’s have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free CFP Championship NCAA Betting Prediction: Notre Dame +8.5
The Irish boast a 12-3 record, including 4-1 against AP Top 25 teams, while Ohio State comes in at 11-2 with a 3-1 mark against ranked opponents.
Notre Dame is the +8.5 point underdog in the CFP National Championship matchup against Ohio State. Our projections have Ohio State winning 27-26, but we like Notre Dame to cover the spread as the underdog.
Notre Dame is scorching hot against the spread (ATS), covering their last 10 games and going 7-0-1 ATS against Big Ten foes. Meanwhile, Ohio State is a shaky 2-5 straight up (SU) in their last seven Monday games. Expect Notre Dame to keep this game tight for the majority of the contest.
With the over/under line set at 45.5 points, our model projects a total of 53, making the over the best play for this game.
Add to that the trend of totals going over in four of Ohio State’s last five January contests and six of Notre Dame’s last nine as underdogs, and you’ve got the makings of an electrifying matchup where every point counts.
Buckle up—it’s going to be a thriller!
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Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Ohio State Buckeyes NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Buckeyes Twitter
A thing of beauty. pic.twitter.com/DuSQDaBZNr
— Ohio State Football (@OhioStateFB) January 11, 2025
Irish Twitter
HIT THE MUSIC ☘️
We’re headed to the NATTY #GoIrish pic.twitter.com/S7vefFnlC4
— Notre Dame Football (@NDFootball) January 10, 2025
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