Free NCAA Pick: Northwestern vs. Penn State Odds
Looking for Northwestern Wildcats vs. Penn State Nittany Lions free NCAA Week 7 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Wildcats taking on the Nittany Lions on Saturday, October 11 at Beaver Stadium (MI). Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 5 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Northwestern Penn State matchup.
2025 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Northwestern Wildcats vs. Penn State Nittany Lions Week 7
(3-2) Northwestern Wildcats vs. Penn State Nittany Lions (3-2)
Date: Saturday, October 11, 2025
Time: 3:30PM
Venue: Beaver Stadium, Happy Valley, Pennsylvania
Week 7 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Northwestern +21.5 | Penn State -21.5
Week 7 CFB Moneyline Odds: Northwestern +900| Penn State -1600
College Football Betting Total: O/U 48.5
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Wildcats vs. Nittany Lions Gameday
Penn State’s loss last weekend was the worst of any all season according to most. That makes it hard to bet them in any situations going forward.
Of course, that could mean they are badly undervalued at this moment in time too.
This is an interesting setup with that large spread to cover but relatively low total. You really want to make sure you understand that game script.
If only the Nittany Lions were playing a more reliable foe, this would be so much easier.
Northwestern Wildcats
Northwestern has a three-point win over UCLA, the team that just beat Penn State. I never believe in transitive properties when it comes to sports, but that could be something.
The Wildcats are 3-2 SUATS on the season, primarily because of a defense only giving up 17ppg. To keep this one close they are going to have to keep PSU in that range which seems unlikely.
Quarterback Preston Stone has a lot of experience, though not much talent to work with. He has six interceptions on the season, which is already a career high.
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Northwestern Wildcats Stats
The team’s strength appears to be its run game and defense. Offensively, Northwestern averages 196.0 rushing yards per game and 185.0 passing yards per game, totaling 381.0 yards of offense per game.
The defense has been positive, holding opponents to an average of 17.0 points per game.
However, the team has struggled with turnovers, holding a -6 turnover margin through five games.
Quarterback Preston Stone has thrown for 918 yards and 7 touchdowns, while his top receiver, Griffin Wilde, has accumulated 375 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns.
On the ground, Caleb Komolafe is the leading rusher with 344 yards and 4 rushing touchdowns.
Robert Fitzgerald has been a tackling machine with 41 total tackles, while Aidan Hubbard is leading the team with 2.5 sacks.
Penn State Nittany Lions
Losing to Oregon was acceptable, but losing to UCLA, especially the way they did, has Penn State in jeopardy of blowing what was supposed to be a special season.
The Nittany Lions are supposed to have the best backfield in the nation. A quarterback with experience and two running backs that have NFL potential. Yet the offense never seems to click unless the competition is light.
On defense, they are heavily invested in coaching and players (I assume). Which is what makes flat efforts like last week so disappointing.
If they run the table impressively, they might be able to get back into the playoff picture. There is no more margin for error.
Penn State Nittany Lions Stats
Last week was a disappointment, however, PSU is averaging a formidable 38.6 points per game while boasting a solid defense that holds opponents to just 17.8 points per game.
The Nittany Lions’ offense averages 389.0 total yards per game, split between 214 passing yards and 175 rushing yards.
A key statistical advantage is Penn State’s positive turnover margin of +4 and a strong red zone performance, with a scoring rate of 94%.
Quarterback Drew Allar has thrown for 963 yards and 8 touchdowns, maintaining a completion percentage of 65%. The rushing attack is a two-pronged threat, with Kaytron Allen leading the team with 377 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns, followed closely by Nicholas Singleton with 239 yards and 5 touchdowns.
In the receiving corps, Kyron Ware-Hudson leads with 208 receiving yards, and Devonte Ross has hauled in a team-high 3 receiving touchdowns.
On defense, the team is anchored by linebacker Amare Campbell, who has tallied 47 total tackles, while defensive end Dani Dennis-Sutton has registered 2.0 sacks.
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Penn State Nittany Lions Football Trends
- Northwestern is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games against Penn State.
- Northwestern is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games against Penn State.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northwestern’s last 5 games on the road.
- Northwestern is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Penn State.
- Penn State is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Penn State’s last 6 games.
- Penn State is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games.
- Penn State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home.
4* Free Northwestern Wildcats vs. Penn State Nittany Lions 2025 Week 7 NCAA Betting Prediction: Penn State 21-.5
Penn State has enough talent to cover this one and then some. I am hoping that last week was a wake up call.
The offense just isn’t there and I would expect lots of bettors are putting this game into their teasers given that we are on the key number right now.
Even if they are still a little sleepy the Northwestern offense is so anemic they could cover this one without being awesome.
Back home, they are probably not going to take their foot off the gas either. They need style points and wins at this point.
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Northwestern Wildcats vs. Penn State Nittany Lions NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
— Penn State Football (@PennStateFball) October 4, 2025
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