Free NCAAF Pick: Mean Green vs. Owls Odds
Looking for North Texas Mean Green vs. Rice Owls Free NCAA Week 13 picks & NCAA odds? NCAAF betting sees the Mean Green taking on the Owls on 11/22 at Rice Stadium, in Rice. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NCAA football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NCAAF predictions like this Mean Green Owls free pick.
2025 NCAAF Handicapping – North Texas Mean Green vs Rice Owls
(9-1) North Texas Mean Green vs. Rice Owls (5-5)
Date: Nov 22, 2025
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Venue: Rice Stadium in Rice, TX
NCAAF Moneyline Odds: Mean Green -1086 | Owls +665 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAF Spread Betting Odds: Mean Green -18.0 | Owls +18.0
NCAAF Football Gambling Total: O/U: 55.5
Here’s why I’m backing an OVER bet below in my Mean Green Owls free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Mean Green vs. Owls Gameday
North Texas heads into Houston looking to keep its dominant season rolling, while Rice tries to protect home turf and stay afloat in the AAC race at Rice Stadium under the Saturday night lights.
This matchup sets up like a measuring-stick game — one team hunting rankings, the other hunting stability.
North Texas enters Week 13 at 9-1 with a perfect 4-0 road record and top-25 status in both polls. Their 53-24 blowout over UAB last week showed just how explosive this team can be when everything clicks.
Rice sits at 5-5 with balanced home and road splits, but their 2-4 conference record tells the real story — they haven’t solved the upper-tier AAC teams yet. Consistency remains their largest hurdle.
North Texas has taken the last two meetings between these programs, winning in both 2022 and 2020. With conference standings in play, this one carries real stakes.
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It’s Week 13, North Texas Mean Green vs. Rice Owls — let’s see who brings the punch.
North Texas Mean Green vs. Rice Owls Odds & Last 5
North Texas comes in as a massive favorite at -1122 on the moneyline, while Rice sits at +689. The books clearly expect the Mean Green to control this matchup.
North Texas has been rolling, highlighted by the 53-24 victory over UAB and a perfect road record. Their balance and explosiveness make them one of the toughest outs in the AAC right now.
Rice has been more up-and-down. They beat UAB 24-17 but suffered a heavy 38-14 loss to Memphis, reinforcing how much their performance varies based on opponent strength.
Owls Stats
Rice’s offense has generated 211 points (87th) with only 970 passing yards (127th) — one of the lowest totals in the nation. Their rushing attack, however, has been elite, racking up 2,122 yards to rank 18th.
Defensively, Rice has allowed 279 points (108th), though their 22 sacks rank 14th, showing their pass rush can disrupt opponents. Their five total takeaways (three interceptions, two fumbles) haven’t been enough to offset their inconsistencies.
Recent results show the volatility: a 24-17 win over UAB and a 38-14 loss to Memphis. Injuries continue to thin out their depth chart, and several starters remain questionable or out.
Quinton Jackson powers the ground game with 758 yards and six touchdowns, giving Rice a true workhorse.
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Mean Green Stats
North Texas has one of the most dangerous offenses in the country, ranking 3rd nationally with 453 points. Their passing game sits at 3rd with 3,063 yards, and their rushing attack adds another 1,838 yards (40th).
QB Drew Mestemaker ranks 6th in the nation with 2,990 passing yards, adding 23 touchdowns with just four interceptions — elite efficiency and decision-making.
RB Caleb Hawkins adds balance with 923 rushing yards and 16 touchdowns, making North Texas lethal both through the air and on the ground.
The Mean Green come in riding wins over UAB, Navy, and Charlotte, scoring over 50 points twice during that stretch. Injuries to Shane Whitter and Jayden Becks may factor in, but their depth has held strong.
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Mean Green vs. Owls QB Matchup
Chase Jenkins leads Rice with 885 passing yards, eight touchdowns, and only two interceptions. His efficiency is strong, but the overall passing production lags behind the conference elite.
Drew Devillier has contributed 58 passing yards and one touchdown across six games, offering limited impact behind Jenkins.
North Texas rolls with Drew Mestemaker, who sits 6th in the nation with 2,990 passing yards, 23 touchdowns, and just four interceptions — a true centerpiece of their offense.
Chris Jimerson Jr. has played in three games with 37 yards and one touchdown. His role remains limited but mistake-free.
North Texas Mean Green vs. Rice Owls bottom line: North Texas’ firepower and road consistency make them the clear side — Rice needs turnovers and a fast start to keep this close.
North Texas Mean Green vs. Rice Owls Football Betting Trends
- North Texas is 27-3 straight up in their last 30 games as favorites.
- North Texas is 5-0 straight up in their last 5 away games.
- Additionally, North Texas has a 4-0 record against the spread in their last 4 games as favorites.
- Rice is 18-10 against the spread in their last 28 games as underdogs.
- Also, Rice has hit the over in 19 of their last 27 home games.
- Rice is 12-5 against the spread in games with totals of 50 or more in their last 17 games.
Mean Green Owls Free Pick: Over 55.5
Here is my Mean Green Owls free pick. North Texas brings one of the most dangerous offenses in the country into this matchup, ranking third nationally in points scored.
They’ve been lighting up scoreboards all season, and their explosive style makes any total in the mid-50s immediately live. When the Mean Green get rolling, they force opponents into shootouts.
Rice has been an over machine at home, cashing the over in 19 of their last 27 games in Houston. Their home environment consistently leads to higher-scoring matchups, and their offense usually does enough to contribute meaningfully to the total.
That trend pairs well with a North Texas team that rarely slows down its own pace.
My system tells me both teams’ scoring patterns make 55.5 a very reachable number.
North Texas also tends to deliver offensively when favored, and their recent games have pushed well past the number. With Rice’s home-over profile and the Mean Green’s elite scoring, this matchup sets up perfectly for points.
Over 55.5 is the pick.
Today’s NCAAF Free Pick
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NCAAF Betting Tweet Of The Day
Shout out to all our seniors!! 👐 https://t.co/yju4hShkEZ
— Rice University (@RiceUniversity) November 19, 2025
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