Free NCAA Football Prediction: North Texas vs. Boise State Odds
Looking for North Texas Mean Green vs. Boise State Broncos free picks? College football betting sees the Mean Green taking on the Broncos on Saturday, December 17th, at Toyota Stadium in Frisco, TX. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football game predictions like this Mean Green Broncos free pick for the 2022 Frisco Bowl.
College Football Handicapping Analysis: North Texas Mean Green vs. Boise State Broncos
2022 Frisco Bowl
North Texas Mean Green 7-6 vs. Boise State Broncos 9-4
Date: Saturday, December 17th
Time: 9:15 PM ET
Venue: Toyota Stadium Frisco
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: Mean Green 10 / Broncos -10 (Bet Now!)
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: Mean Green 288 / Broncos -375
NCAA Betting Total Odds: Total O/U 56.5
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North Texas Mean Green
This season, the Mean Green will hope to continue their strong play against Conference USA opponents, as they went in 6-2 in 2021. Their overall record was 7-6.
In their last game, North Texas entered as the 8.5-point underdogs vs UTSA. The Mean Green ended up losing the game by a score of 48-27.
The Mean Green head into the game with the 37th-ranked scoring offense at 33.92 points per game. Currently, they have scored a majority of their touchdowns through the air, with 32 receiving touchdowns compared to 22 rushing scores.
Heading into the game, the Mean Green will hope for some improved play from their defense, as they are currently 110th at 31.46 points per game allowed.
In their last 10 contests, the Mean Green have a straight-up record of 5-5-0 while covering the spread at a rate of 50.0%. The team averaged 34.1 points in these games while allowing 32.1. Their over-under record was 7-3-0.
Across the Mean Green last 5 road games, the team averaged 29.8 points per game while allowing 35.4. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 3-2-0 while going 1-4-0 straight-up.
Boise State Broncos
So far, the Broncos not only had a strong overall record (9-4), but they also played well in Mountain West play, going 8-0.
In their previous game, the Broncos fell to Fresno State on the road by a score of 28-16. Boise State also picked up an ATS loss, as they were 3.0-point favorites entering the game.
On offense, the Broncos are averaging 29.08 points per game, good for 72nd in the NCAA. So far, a majority of their touchdowns have come on the ground, as they have rushed for 24 while throwing for 19.
The Broncos will look to once again play well defensively, as they are currently 11th in points allowed at 18.54 points per game allowed.
Against the spread, Boise State has gone 6-4-0 in their last 10 games. Over this same period, their straight-up record is 7-3-0. They maintained a positive scoring differential in these games by averaging 30.0 per game and allowing 18.6. Their last 10 over-under record is 5-5-0.
When looking at their past 5 home matchups, Boise State has an ATS record of 3-2-0 while averaging 35.0 per game. The team went 3-2-0 overall in these games.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Mean Green are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mean Green are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
- Broncos are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss.
- Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference game
So far, the Mean Green are averaging 262.15 yards per game through the air, placing them 36th in the country. This week, the Mean Green will be facing a Boise State defense ranked 14th in pass yards allowed per game. So far, they are averaging 181.0 yards per game when facing top 25 pass defenses.
This season, the Broncos have struggled to move the ball through the air, averaging just 194.77 passing yards per game. This week, the Broncos will be facing a North Texas defense that is ranked 162nd in pass yards allowed per game. This year, they are averaging 207.67 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50 in passing defense.
4* 2022 Frisco Bowl North Texas vs. Boise State NCAA Betting Final Analysis:
For this Frisco Bowl matchup, I recommend sticking with the Broncos to win as the heavy favorite at -10. Key to this game will be the fact that Boise State’s defense has been dominant at just 19.5 points per game. Look for the Mean Green to struggle on offense.
4* North Texas Mean Green vs. Boise State Broncos NCAA Betting Pick: Boise State ATS
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