Free NCAA Football Prediction: Tar Heels vs. Panthers Odds
Looking for North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Pitt Panthers free picks? College football betting sees the Tar Heels taking on the Panthers on Thursday, November 11th, 2021 at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, PA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football games Week 11 predictions like this Pitt -North Carolina free pick.
College Football Handicapping Analysis: Week 11
North Carolina Tar Heels (5-4) vs. Pitt Panthers (7-2)
Date: Thursday, November 11th, 2021
Time: 7:30 PM EST
Venue: Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: North Carolina +6.5 / Pitt -6.5 (Bet Now!)
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: Tar Heels +200 / Panthers -240
NCAA Betting Total Odds: O/U 73.5
Two teams from the ACC will be squaring off when the North Carolina Tar Heels visit the Pitt Panthers.
Both of these squads are coming off of wins in the previous week.
The Panthers opened up as 6.5 point favorites and that number is still the same. I have seen the total go from 71 to 73.5.
North Carolina Tar Heels
North Carolina had very high expectations heading into this season and they really have not lived up to them. A lot of people thought they would be a better team than 5-4.
The Tar Heels covered as 2.5 point favorites against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons on Saturday as they beat them by a score of 58-55. Forget covering, it looked like for a while this team was not going to win the game, but they stormed back and got the W.
On Saturday, Sam Howell was 16/26 for 216 yards with 1 touchdown pass. He will be challenged a little more on Thursday when he has to go against a solid Pitt defense.
Running back Ty Chandler had a big day on Saturday. He ran the ball 22 times for 213 yards with 4 touchdown passes. The leading receiver was Antoine Green who had 6 receptions for 83 yards.
For as good as the offense looked against Wake Forest, the defense really struggled and it has the whole year. I really am not sure how this team is going to stop the Pitt offense. It would really surprise me if they were able to contain the Panthers.
Pitt may not be getting a lot of attention, but they have had a very good season so far. They are one of the best teams in the ACC. For a while, it was automatic that Clemson was the best team in the conference, but that is not the case this year.
The Panthers took care of a very bad Duke Blue Devils team on Saturday by beating them 54-29. They will be in for a much bigger challenge on Thursday.
Kenny Pickett looked sharp against Duke. He was 28/43 for 416 yards with 3 touchdown passes. I look for him to have a very productive day against a bad defense in UNC.
The offense for this team was very balanced on Saturday. Rodney Hammond Jr. had 16 carries for 81 yards. The leading receiver was Jordan Addison who had 7 catches for 171 yards. There is no excuse for this unit to not have a big day against the Tar Heels.
The defense has been up-and-down this year. Since the Clemson game, they have allowed a lot of points to teams that really are not that great. If they are not locked in on Thursday, they will give up a lot of points to North Carolina.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- The total has gone over in 6 of North Carolina’s last 8 games.
- North Carolina is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against Pitt.
- North Carolina is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on the road against Pitt.
- The total has gone over in 4 of North Carolina’s last 5 games on the road.
- Pitt is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
- The total has gone over in 6 of Pitt’s last 7 games against North Carolina.
- Pitt is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against North Carolina.
- The total has gone over in 4 of Pitt’s last 5 games played in November.
Free Week 10 NCAA Football Pick
I am just happy that there is at least a decent college football game that is on during the week. I am really looking forward to this one.
I like the over of 73.5 in this matchup.
4* Free Week 10 NCAA Betting Pick:
I did consider taking the Tar Heels getting 6.5 points here, but I am going with the total instead. I expect there to be lots of scoring in this one.
Both of these teams have been very profitable to the over and it makes a lot of sense.
They both have very good offenses, but their defenses are both questionable. That combination often makes for lots of points being scored. I can definitely see this one being a high-scoring affair on Thursday.
Give me the over of 73.5 here.
4* Free Week 11 NCAA Betting Pick: OVER 73.5
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