Ray “The Razor” Monohan – Last Updated on December 28, 2022 7:51 am
Free NCAA Football Prediction: North Carolina vs. Oregon Odds
Looking for North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Oregon Ducks free picks? College football betting sees the Tar Heels taking on the Ducks on Wednesday, December 28th, at Petco Park in San Diego, California. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football game predictions like this Tar Heels Ducks free pick for the 2022 SDCCU Holiday Bowl.
College Football Handicapping Analysis: North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Oregon Ducks
2022 SDCCU Holiday Bowl
North Carolina Tar Heels 9-4 vs. Oregon Ducks 9-3
Date: Wednesday, December 28th
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Petco Park Park, San Diego
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: Tar Heels +14 / Ducks -14 (Bet Now!)
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: Tar Heels +400 / Ducks -550
NCAA Betting Total Odds: Total O/U 70
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North Carolina Tar Heels
This will be the 38th Bowl game all-time for the North Carolina Tar Heels. Last season they played in the Duke’s Mayo Bowl—a 38-21 loss to the South Carolina Gamecocks.
Offensive Season Stats
On the season, North Carolina is scoring 35 points per game. That number ranks 22nd in the country.
Through the air, this team collects 317.2 yards per contest, which ranks 9th.
On the ground, they average 156.4 yards per game—a number that ranks them 63rd on the year.
Defensive Season Stats
On the season, North Carolina is giving up 31 points per game. That number ranks 105th in the country.
Through the air, this team allows 276.4 yards per contest—a number just outside the bottom-10 across all FBS.
On the ground, they give up an average of 161.8 yards per game.
Notable Stats
The Tar Heels have averaged one sack every 31.2 attempts from their opponents during the 2022 campaign, a number that is the third-worst across FBS this season.
If they can somehow flip the script and exploit the Oregon offensive line, they could flip the script on their own narrative in the final game of the year.
Injury Report
OUT: Noah Taylor (LB), Sebastian Cheeks (LB), Tylee Craft (WR), British Brooks (RB)
Questionable: CalebHood (RB)
Oregon Ducks
For the Oregon Ducks, this will be their 36th Bowl game all-time. Last year they played in the Valero Alamo Bowl—a 47-32 loss to the then-ranked No. 16 Oklahoma Sooners.
Offensive Season Stats
On the season, Oregon is scoring 39.7 points per game. That number ranks No. 9 in the country.
Through the air, this team collects 291.5 yards per contest, which ranks 15th in the nation. On the ground, they average 216.3 yards per game—a number that puts them in the No. 14 spot on the year.
In total, the Ducks are averaging 507.8 yards per game—a number that puts them in a tie with the UCLA Bruins for third in the nation behind only the No. 2 Washington Huskies and No. 1 Tennessee Volunteers.
Defensive Season Stats
On the season, Oregon is giving up 27.4 points per game. That number ranks 55th in the country—a tie with the Michigan State Spartans.
Through the air, this team allows 260.6 yards per contest.
On the ground, they give up an average of 125.5 yards per game.
Notable Stats
The Ducks’ skill guys haven’t scored across 28 catches in close- and crunch-time scenarios during the 2022 campaign. That number puts them in a tie for dead last across FBS.
Keep this in mind if you anticipate a close game late or one where Oregon is playing catch-up in the fourth quarter.
Injury Report
OUT: Byron Cardwell (RB)
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Ducks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Ducks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- Tar Heels are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
- Tar Heels are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
4* 2022 Holiday Bowl North Carolina vs. Oregon NCAA Betting Final Analysis:
The big question for Oregon the moment the Ducks fell to rival Oregon State was whether standout transfer quarterback Bo Nix would play in the postseason, or if he’d sit to begin his preparation for an NFL future.
All signals at this point are a go that Nix will play in the Holiday Bowl—and that will be the biggest difference maker.
As long as this stands, Oregon will have the best player on the field. He’s seemed motivated to prove doubters wrong and fans right all year, and this is his last shot after what was, ultimately, and impressive but disappointing year.
“Disappointing” comes with an asterisk, of course. Oregon was very good. Nix and the Ducks just have high expectations.
That doesn’t change now.
Nix and the Ducks get a big win against the Tar Heels, and the West Coast fan base will, likely, be out in full force.
4* North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Oregon Ducks NCAA Betting Pick: OREGON -14
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