Free NCAA Football Prediction: North Carolina vs. Georgia Tech Odds
Looking for North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets free picks? College football betting sees the Tar Heels taking on the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, November 19th, 2022, at Kenan Stadium in Chapel Hill, NC. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football game predictions like this Tar Heels Yellow Jackets free pick.
College Football Handicapping Analysis: North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
North Carolina Tar Heels (9-1) vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (4-6)
Date: Saturday, November 19th, 2022
Time: 5:30 PM EST
Venue: Kenan Stadium in Chapel Hill, NC
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: North Carolina -21 (-110) / Georgia Tech +21 (-110) (Bet Now!)
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: North Carolina -1475 / Georgia Tech +925
NCAA Betting Total Odds: 62.5
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Carolina will look to boost their claim to a CFP spot while GT is looking for a moral victory to close out their schedule.
Not many people expected this out of Chapel Hill. Hell, they hadn’t even solidified their QB position until late into the summer. The fact that they’re 9-1 with an atrocious defense is truly an astonishing feat.
Georgia Tech fired Geoff Collins mid-season and received their interim bump for a few weeks but have since fallen back to Earth. They’ve lost 3 of their last 4 and have two games remaining against teams with a combined 19-1 record. At this point, they’re just looking for positives heading into a transition year.
North Carolina Tar Heels
Drake Maye has officially crashed the party where they talk about Heisman candidates. Like Michael Scott, he just wouldn’t take the lack of an invitation to the house party for a no.
In their 6 game winning streak, Maye has averaged 363.5 passing yards per game, logged 22 total touchdowns and led the offense to 35.8 ppg. They also rank 14th in offensive success rate, indicating it’s incredibly sustainable (over 6 games you could assume as well).
Josh Downs is the go-to option in the receiving corps, posting 11 touchdowns and 44 more receptions than anyone else. He deserves a lot of credit for their top-25 passing explosiveness mark.
We know the Tar Heel offense can score, but the defense generates skeptics. While they rank 125th in defensive success rate and generate almost no havoc, they’ve been able to outscore everyone to 9 wins.
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Georgia Tech recently abandoned their longtime triple option offense for a more traditional, pro-style offense. They’ve really struggled to run the ball this season, coming in at 127th in offensive rushing success rate.
In their last 4 they’ve only averaged 16.8 ppg. It will be a tall task to keep up with the Carolina offense. QB Jeff Sims was benched earlier this season and GT has made it all the way to their third stringer. Based on box scores it seems like they’re rotating QB’s now which is usually not a successful formula.
Georgia Tech has allowed a lot of havoc this season, indicating that even the Tar Heel defense could find success.
The Yellow Jackets have similarly struggled on the defensive side of the ball; they’re 97th in defensive success rate, though they’ve done a decent job limiting explosiveness.
They’ll need to stop Drake Maye and the passing attack to have a chance but they’re just average in defensive passing success rate.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia Tech’s last 5 games when playing on the road against North Carolina
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Georgia Tech’s last 7 games when playing North Carolina
- North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Carolina’s last 5 games when playing at home against Georgia Tech
4* Free North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets NCAA Betting Final Analysis:
Carolina has been prolific on offense this season and have overcome a putrid defensive unit. Drake Maye deserves a ton of credit and will undoubtedly open 2023 as a top two Heisman candidate with Caleb Williams.
Georgia Tech hasn’t had the season they’d hoped for and they’ve gone through a multitude of changes. They’ll get beat in this matchup but the question is can they cover the spread?
GT is 3-1 ATS as a road underdog, covering by an average of +8.5 points this year. Carolina has been just average in holding up their end of the bargain as a home favorite and that defense is just a scary thought.
The data is telling me to back GT.
4* Free North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets NCAA Betting Pick: GT +21
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