Free NCAA Football Prediction: Aggies vs. Crimson Tide Odds
Looking for New Mexico State Aggies vs. Alabama Crimson Tide free picks? College football betting sees the Aggies taking on the Crimson Tide on Saturday, November 13th, 2021 at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, AL Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football games Week 11 predictions like this New Mexico State-Alabama free pick.
College Football Handicapping Analysis: Week 11
New Mexico State Aggies (1-8) vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (8-1)
Date: Saturday, November 13th, 2021
Time: 12:00 PM EST
Venue: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: New Mexico State +51.5 / Alabama -51.5 (Bet Now!)
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: Aggies +2000 / Crimson Tide -10,000
NCAA Betting Total Odds: O/U 67.5
We have reached the backend of the college football season when many Power Five programs host low-level opponents for their homecoming games. The #2 Alabama Crimson Tide will host the New Mexico State Aggies this Saturday from Bryant-Denny Stadium.
New Mexico State Aggies
New Mexico State does not come into this game with any hope of pulling off an upset. The Aggies have lost 8 of their 9 games this season, with the lone win coming against FCS South Carolina State in September in a close 43-35 game.
They have not faced a ranked opponent this season, with their toughest task coming against San Diego State on Sept. 4. New Mexico State was able to remain somewhat competitive in that game, covering the 31.5-point spread in a 28-10 loss.
In fact, the Aggies have been competitive in most of their games, at least according to Vegas expectations. They have covered the spread in 6 of their 9 games, including all 5 of their road games.
New Mexico State’s offense has been right in the middle of the pack in the FBS, ranked No. 88 in yards per game (377.6). Quarterback Jonah Johnson has completed 57.5% of his passes for 1,975 yards and 8 touchdowns.
Wide receivers Jared Wyatt (480 yards) and Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda (478 yards) have been Johnson’s top targets. Running back Juwaun Price leads the rushing attack with 92 carries for 487 yards and 6 touchdowns.
Alabama Crimson Tide
Alabama is once again having a very good season. Their one blemish on the year is the loss to Texas A&M. Even with that, they will likely still make the playoff.
This team beat Tennessee two weeks ago by a score of 52-24. They let the Vols hang around for a little bit, but they eventually just took over the game. I would not be surprised if they slowly take over the game when going against the Aggies on Saturday.
Alabama’s offense ranks No. 13 nationally, putting up 473.3 yards per game. They are led by Heisman Trophy frontrunner Bryce Young, who has completed 69.4% of his passes for 2,755 yards and 28 touchdowns. He has only thrown three interceptions in 304 pass attempts.
Running back Brian Robinson Jr. has rushed 155 times for 724 yards and 12 touchdowns, averaging 4.7 yards per carry. Ohio State transfer Jameson Williams has caught 45 passes for a team-high 870 yards and 7 touchdowns, while John Metchie III has added 61 receptions for 674 yards and 6 scores.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- New Mexico State Aggies are 6-3 ATS
- New Mexico State is 5-0 ATS on the road
- Alabama is 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.
- Alabama is 20-1 SU in their last 21 games.
- The total has gone over in 6 of Alabama’s last 9 games played in November.
4* Free Week 11 NCAA Betting Pick:
There are some obvious factors in this game, such as the disparity in speed, talent and size. The key to handicapping a game like this is the motivation for the big school. Alabama’s close call against LSU at home last week is the only thing I needed to make a wager on the Crimson Tide to cover the largest college football spread of the week.
They were disappointed with their effort against LSU and now they have a chance to take that frustration out on one of the worst 10 teams in the FBS.
Take the Crimson Tide at home.
4* Free Week 11 NCAA Betting Pick: Alabama -51.5
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