Free NCAAF Pick: Midshipmen vs. Fighting Irish Odds
Looking for Navy Midshipmen vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish Free NCAA Week 11 picks & NCAA odds? NCAAF betting sees the Midshipmen taking on the Fighting Irish on 11/8 at Notre Dame Stadium, in Notre Dame. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NCAA football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NCAAF predictions like this Midshipmen Fighting Irish free pick.
2025 NCAAF Handicapping – Navy Midshipmen vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish
(7-1) Navy Midshipmen vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (6-2)
Date: Nov 08, 2025
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Venue: Notre Dame Stadium in Notre Dame, IN
NCAAF Moneyline Odds: Midshipmen +1380 | Fighting Irish -3864 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAF Spread Betting Odds: Midshipmen +26.5 | Fighting Irish -26.5
NCAAF Football Gambling Total: O/U: 56
Here’s why I’m backing a NAVY ATS bet below in my Midshipmen Fighting Irish free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Midshipmen vs. Fighting Irish Gameday
Week 11 brings a classic rivalry to South Bend as the Navy Midshipmen visit the No. 10 Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Notre Dame Stadium. Kickoff is set for 7:30 PM ET on NBC, with plenty of national attention on this annual matchup steeped in tradition and pride.
Navy enters the contest at 7-1, boasting a strong American Conference record of 5-1. Their powerful triple-option attack has been the story once again, though their 31-17 loss to North Texas last week exposed some cracks — especially when they’re forced to throw the football.
Notre Dame, meanwhile, is rolling. The Fighting Irish are 6-2 and riding a six-game winning streak that’s vaulted them back into the playoff conversation.
They dominated Boston College last week behind a balanced offense and a defense that’s starting to look elite under Marcus Freeman’s system.
Historically, this rivalry has been one-sided. Notre Dame has won 11 straight meetings, including a commanding 51-14 victory in their last encounter. Still, Navy’s disciplined style always forces opponents to play mistake-free football — something the Irish can’t afford to overlook.
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It’s Week 11, Navy Midshipmen vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish — a historic clash of styles, tradition, and willpower under the lights in South Bend.
Navy Midshipmen vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish Odds & Last 5
Oddsmakers see this one as a heavy mismatch. Notre Dame is listed at -3845 on the moneyline, while Navy sits at +1397. The spread favors the Irish at -26.5, suggesting a lopsided matchup on paper.
Navy’s last five games have been a mixed bag. They rattled off wins against Florida Atlantic and Memphis before stumbling against North Texas last week. Despite running for 311 yards in that loss, two costly interceptions derailed their momentum.
Notre Dame, on the other hand, continues to look sharper each week. They’ve won six straight, including a 25-10 victory over Boston College. The Irish offense put up 299 passing yards in that one, while their defense didn’t allow a single touchdown.
That kind of balance has been the key to their recent dominance.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish Stats
Notre Dame’s offensive balance makes them a tough matchup for any defense. They’ve scored 299 points this season (19th nationally) with 2,192 passing yards (35th) and 1,527 rushing yards (41st). Their 187 first downs rank 23rd in the country, showcasing their ability to sustain drives.
Defensively, the Irish have been just as solid. They’ve allowed only 159 points (65th), racked up 22 sacks (10th), and lead the FBS in interceptions with 16. Their front seven brings pressure, while the secondary consistently capitalizes on mistakes.
Quarterback CJ Carr has been in command, throwing for 2,057 yards and 16 touchdowns with just four interceptions. Meanwhile, Jeremiyah Love powers the ground game with 894 yards and 11 touchdowns.
With both offensive lines clicking, this unit looks built to control tempo and wear teams down late.
Notre Dame’s recent hot streak is no accident — this team is firing on all cylinders and hasn’t been beaten at home all season.
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Navy Midshipmen Stats
As usual, Navy lives and dies by its running game — and this year, it’s been elite. The Midshipmen lead the nation in rushing yards (2,564), averaging over 320 yards per contest.
Their passing attack ranks just 124th (1,192 yards), but that’s by design — their triple-option scheme keeps defenses guessing and the clock running.
On defense, Navy has been opportunistic. They’ve forced turnovers at a high rate, ranking 5th in interceptions and 6th in fumbles recovered. Still, the overall unit has given up 192 points (84th), showing some vulnerability when opponents find rhythm through the air.
Quarterback Blake Horvath has been efficient when called upon, throwing for 1,143 yards and seven touchdowns, though his five interceptions have hurt in tight spots.
Navy’s success depends on staying ahead of the chains — if they fall behind early, their limited passing game makes comebacks difficult.
The Midshipmen’s resilience is their hallmark, but they’ll need a near-flawless performance to hang with a well-rounded Irish team in South Bend.
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Midshipmen vs. Fighting Irish QB Matchup
**CJ Carr** has been everything Notre Dame fans hoped for — calm, confident, and accurate. Through eight games, he’s totaled 2,057 yards (29th nationally) with 16 touchdowns and four interceptions.
His poise under pressure has been a major reason for Notre Dame’s offensive surge.
Backup Kenny Minchey has seen limited action but provides depth, completing short, efficient passes in relief appearances.
For Navy, Blake Horvath has done what’s been asked of him in a run-first offense. He’s thrown for 1,143 yards and seven touchdowns, but his five interceptions have proven costly. Backup Braxton Woodson has appeared in a few games, throwing for 49 yards, but remains largely untested.
Navy Midshipmen vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish bottom line: This matchup pits Navy’s grind-it-out ground game against Notre Dame’s polished balance and top-tier defense.
While the Midshipmen can control time of possession, the Irish likely have too much firepower.
Navy Midshipmen vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish Football Betting Trends
- Navy is 19-11 against the spread as an underdog in their last 30 games.
- Additionally, Navy is 14-7 against the spread in their last 21 away games.
- Navy is 3-1 straight up after a loss in their last 4 games.
- Notre Dame is 14-1 straight up after a win in their last 15 games.
- Also, Notre Dame is 20-10 against the spread as a favorite in their last 30 games.
- Notre Dame is 19-11 on the over/under after a win in their last 30 games.
Midshipmen Fighting Irish Free Pick: Navy +26.5
Here is my Midshipmen Fighting Irish free pick. Navy has been a dependable bet as an underdog, covering in 19 of their last 30 games when getting points. Their disciplined, run-heavy style allows them to control tempo and shorten games, a key factor when facing a powerhouse like Notre Dame.
The Midshipmen have been impressive on the road, covering 14 of their last 21 away contests. Their ability to stay competitive in hostile environments comes from strong fundamentals and an offensive scheme that limits possessions for opponents.
Notre Dame, on the other hand, has been dominant following victories, boasting a 14-1 straight-up record in their last 15 such games. Still, a 26.5-point spread is a hefty number to cover, especially against a Navy team built to grind out long, clock-chewing drives.
With Navy’s ball-control offense and history of covering large spreads, this matchup sets up perfectly for them to stay within the number.
Navy’s top-tier rushing attack could keep Notre Dame’s explosive offense on the sidelines for extended stretches. That clock management advantage, combined with their ATS consistency, gives the underdog plenty of value here.
Considering the trends and Navy’s ability to frustrate high-powered opponents, grabbing the +26.5 looks like the smart play. My system says we’ll see the Midshipmen compete hard, drain the clock, and cover comfortably against the Irish in South Bend.
Today’s NCAAF Free Pick
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NCAAF Betting Tweet Of The Day
🔟 in the College Football Playoff Rankings#GoIrish☘️ pic.twitter.com/wzvemBGzQy
— Notre Dame Football (@NDFootball) November 5, 2025
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