Free Week 10 Prediction: Midshipmen vs Bearcats Odds
Looking for Navy Midshipmen vs. Cincinnati Bearcats free picks? Week 10 betting sees the Midshipmen taking on the Bearcats on Saturday, November 3, 2018 at Nippert Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Navy Cincinnati free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 10
(2-6) Navy Midshipmen vs. Cincinnati Bearcats (7-1)
Date: Saturday, November 3rd 2018
Time: 3:30 pm EST
Venue: Nippert Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio
NCAA Football Spread: Cincinnati -13
NCAA Betting Total: 50
Live CFB Odds
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Navy enters this contest having lost seven straight road games. The Midshipmen are looking for their first road win of the season.
Cincinnati comes into Saturday’s matchup having won four straight home games dating back to last year’s season-finale.
These two squads kick off at 3:30 p.m. ET in Cincinnati, Ohio.
With nine weeks of college football behind us, the Navy Midshipmen are 87th in the country in total yards gained on the season.
Breaking it down, Navy is averaging 75 yards per game through the air—the second-to-worst number in the country—and 307.9 yards per gam through the air—the third best.
If you’re just looking at the numbers, you might be inclined to say that Navy needs to find a better balance. You might think the Midshipmen need to tweak their approach considering their 2-6 record.
That’s just not going to happen.
At this point, you can count on Navy, year after year, establishing a ground game that will be near the top of the rankings in terms of per-game production and near the bottom of the nation in the passing game. It’s just that simple.
What the Midshipmen can do, however, is use the occasional dink and dunk to keep the defense honest. This will further open up the ground game, even if the passes are mostly decoys.
Cincinnati enters this game with the 11th-best defense in the country in terms of total yards allowed. On the year, the Bearcats have given up just 2,298 yards, which equates to 287 yards per game—the No. 8 per-game number in the nation.
The question here, though, isn’t about how many total yards do the Bearcats give up, but how do they fare against the ground game? After all, we know what Navy’s attack is going to look like.
So far this season, Cincinnati has allowed a total of 807 yards to opposing ground attacks.
That equates to 100.9 yards per contest, which is good enough for the Bearcats to be a top-10 team in the country.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Over is 16-5 in NAVY last 21 games in November.
- Under is 6-2 in NAVY last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 7-3 in NAVY last 10 road games.
- CIN are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 home games.
- CIN are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
- Under is 19-8 in CIN last 27 games in November.
Free Week 10 NCAA Football Pick
Navy is going to get yards on the ground. It’s just going to, regardless of how good a defense it’s facing.
The question is: Will they be able to convert on third downs, and will the Midshipmen defense have enough juice to make up for any lost possessions. (After all, it’s tough to convert on third and long when you have zero passing game to turn to.)
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Cincinnati ATS
The Bearcats will be challenged for stretches in this one, but when it’s all said and done, their run defense is good enough to keep a potent ground game off the score board.
Give this one to the Bearcats, and give it to them by a wide margin.
Week 10 Free Score Prediction: Cincinnati Bearcats 40 – Navy Midshipmen 20
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