Free Week 5 Prediction: Midshipmen vs Falcons Odds
Looking for Navy Midshipmen vs. Air Force Falcons free picks? Week 5 betting sees the Midshipmen taking on the Falcons on Saturday, October 3rd at Falcon Stadium in Colorado Springs, Colorado. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this WKU MTSU Week 5 free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 5
(1-1) Navy Midshipmen vs. Air Force Falcons (0-0)
Date: Saturday, October 3rd 2020
Time: 6:00 pm EST
Venue: Falcon Stadium, Colorado Springs, Colorado
NCAA Football Spread: Navy -7
NCAA Betting Total: 48
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The Navy Midshipmen travel to Colorado Springs hoping to defend the Commander-In-Chief Trophy in the year’s first battle of service academy teams. It will also be Air Force’s first game of the 2020 campaign.
Navy comes heads into Falcon Stadium with a 1-1 record after pulling off the biggest comeback in school history against Tulane. It was a needed rebound win after dropping a 55-3 week 1 blowout to BYU.
The Navy offense finally got things going in the second half at Tulane. Their triple-option offense has mustered only 15 points and 249.5 yards per game. The Midshipmen scored only 3 points in their first 6 quarters of the season. Quarterback Dalen Morris was able to provide the spark after coming in off the bench. Morris was benched to begin the game after making the start against BYU in week 1. He will likely get the start against the Falcons.
While the Midshipmen defense has stumbled to horrendous start, they tightened up to hold Tulane scoreless in the second half to make the comeback possible. They hope to carry that momentum on the defensive side of the ball into Saturday’s matchup with Air Force.
Air Force Falcons
Air Force looks to make a run at a Mountain West Conference title after winning 11 games a year ago. They return plenty of key pieces from last years squad, including Junior quarterback Donald Hammond III.
Hammond led the Falcon’s triple option offense that finished 2nd in rushing and scored 34.1 points per game in 2019. He was able to generate big plays in the passing game when they did throw the ball. If Air Force is able to have success on the ground early it will open things up through the air against the Midshipmen.
The Falcons defense was stingy last year, holding opponents to 20.9 points per game and ranking 7th in the country against the run. They return some talented players on the defensive side of the ball and should be solid up front and at linebacker.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- The UNDER is 8-2 in AFA last 10 non-conference games.
- The UNDER is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings.
- The UNDER is 35-9-1 in games between service academy teams since 2005
Free Week 5 NCAA Football Pick
Navy’s offense has struggled to start the year. Despite some success in the 2nd half against Tulane, it’s hard to trust that they have turned things around after scoring 3 points over the previous 6 quarters. They are facing an Air Force team that was great against the run last year, and the Midshipmen offense is not equipped to sit back and throw the ball.
The Falcon offense was good last year, but it’s hard to trust them in their first game action of the year. It may take them a few series to get their timing figured out. Both of these teams feature run heavy offenses that will keep the clock ticking. Games between service academies tend to trend towards the under, as both defenses face option-heavy offenses in practice. I will back the under.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Under 48
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