Free NCAAF Pick: Tigers vs. Sooners Odds
Looking for Missouri Tigers vs. Oklahoma Sooners Free NCAA Week 13 picks & NCAA odds? NCAAF betting sees the Tigers taking on the Sooners on 11/22 at Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK), in Oklahoma. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NCAA football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NCAAF predictions like this Tigers Sooners free pick.
2025 NCAAF Handicapping – Missouri Tigers vs Oklahoma Sooners
(7-3) Missouri Tigers vs. Oklahoma Sooners (8-2)
Date: Nov 22, 2025
Time: 12:00 PM ET
Venue: Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK) in Oklahoma, OK
NCAAF Moneyline Odds: Tigers +243 | Sooners -304 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAF Spread Betting Odds: Tigers +7.5 | Sooners -7.5
NCAAF Football Gambling Total: O/U: 42.5
Here’s why I’m backing an OVER bet below in my Tigers Sooners free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Tigers vs. Sooners Gameday
To start, the Missouri Tigers head to Norman for a Week 13 SEC showdown against the Oklahoma Sooners at Memorial Stadium, with kickoff set for 12:00 PM ET on ABC.
This matchup carries that classic late-season SEC feel where momentum, injuries, and one busted coverage can swing the whole afternoon.
Next, the Tigers enter at 7-3 and sit 23rd in the AP poll with a 3-3 conference mark. They’ve been strong at home but only 1-1 on the road, giving this a true test-of-resolve vibe. Meanwhile, the Sooners come in ranked 8th with an 8-2 record and a 4-2 SEC resume, riding a two-game winning streak that includes a grind-it-out victory over Alabama.
Previously, Missouri took the 2024 meeting 30-23, and both teams come off strong wins — Missouri over Mississippi State and Oklahoma over Alabama. With stakes rising in late November, both offenses should come out swinging.
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It’s Week 13 — Missouri Tigers vs. Oklahoma Sooners — and hopefully we get a heavyweight SEC battle.
Missouri Tigers vs. Oklahoma Sooners Odds & Last 5
In this week’s SEC slate, Oklahoma opens as a home favorite at -304 on the moneyline, with Missouri listed at +244. The spread sits at Sooners -7.5, and the total is 42.5, hinting at a controlled, physical contest.
Previously, Missouri hammered Mississippi State 49-27 with a dominant rushing performance. Meanwhile, Oklahoma slipped past Alabama 23-21 in a tight, high-leverage win that boosted their playoff positioning.
Looking back at their 2024 meeting, Missouri prevailed 30-23, adding intrigue to a rematch where both teams have improved in different areas.
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Sooners Stats
To start, Oklahoma’s offense has been consistent this season with 283 points scored, ranking 51st. Their passing game sits 72nd nationally with 2,268 yards, while their 1,320 rushing yards rank 95th.
Defensively, the Sooners’ calling card has been relentless pressure — they lead the nation with 38 sacks. They also own six interceptions (7th) and four fumble recoveries (9th), creating constant headaches for opposing quarterbacks.
Recently, Oklahoma built momentum with back-to-back wins over Alabama and Tennessee after a stumble against Ole Miss. Their physicality and defensive disruption have kept them in every game.
Individually, quarterback John Mateer has thrown for 2,087 yards and eight touchdowns, while running back Tory Blaylock has contributed 404 rushing yards and four scores.
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Tigers Stats
To begin, Missouri has leaned heavily on its offense, scoring 349 points (21st nationally). Their rushing attack has been elite, racking up 2,424 yards — good for 7th in the nation — behind standout Ahmad Hardy’s 1,346 yards and 15 touchdowns.
On defense, Missouri has allowed 199 points (70th), but their pass rush ranks 7th with 30 sacks. They also carry top-10 marks in both interceptions (7) and fumble recoveries (4).
Recently, Missouri’s form has been mixed, with a loss to Texas A&M and Vanderbilt offset by a resilient win over Auburn and their blowout win over Mississippi State. They’ve shown they can respond after setbacks.
Injury-wise, quarterback Beau Pribula is day-to-day with an ankle issue, Sam Horn is out for the season, and kicker Blake Craig remains unavailable — all factors that could impact game script.
Tigers vs. Sooners QB Matchup
John Mateer has been steady for Oklahoma with 2,087 yards, eight touchdowns, and seven interceptions across nine games. Michael Hawkins Jr. has flashed efficiency in limited work with 167 yards and three touchdowns.
For Missouri, Beau Pribula remains the key with 1,690 passing yards and 11 touchdowns but seven costly interceptions. Matt Zollers adds 402 yards and four touchdowns with only one interception, offering a steadier but less explosive option.
Missouri Tigers vs. Oklahoma Sooners bottom line: Missouri’s run game travels well, but Oklahoma’s pressure and home crowd make the Sooners the safer side late.
Missouri Tigers vs. Oklahoma Sooners Football Betting Trends
- Missouri is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 away games.
- Missouri is 15-8 ATS as an underdog in their last 23 games.
- Missouri is 20-7 SU after a win in their last 27 games.
- Oklahoma is 19-4 SU as a favorite in their last 23 games.
- Additionally, Oklahoma is 17-4 SU in home games over their last 21 matchups.
- Oklahoma is 6-3 ATS in all games in 2025.
Tigers Sooners Free Pick: Over 42.5
Here is my Tigers Sooners free pick. With the total sitting at just 42.5, this number feels a bit too light given how both offenses have performed. Missouri ranks 21st nationally in points scored, and Oklahoma’s attack isn’t far behind, giving this matchup real shootout potential.
Both teams have consistently shown the ability to strike quickly and finish drives.
Oklahoma’s defense has been respectable, but Missouri’s ground game — ranked 7th in the nation — presents a real challenge.
Their rushing attack can stress the Sooners’ front and create scoring chances throughout the night. Last season’s meeting between these two also produced a high-scoring affair, reinforcing the idea that this matchup naturally leans toward points.
My system tells me both offenses are too efficient and too explosive for a total this low to hold up.
With proven scoring on both sides and mismatches that favor offensive production, the Over 42.5 is the pick. Expect both teams to find the end zone repeatedly.
Today’s NCAAF Free Pick
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