Free NCAA Pick: Missouri vs. Ohio State Odds
Looking for Missouri Tigers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes free NCAA Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Tigers taking on the Buckeyes on Friday, December 29th at the AT&T Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Missouri Ohio State matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic
2023 Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic
(10-2) Missouri Tigers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes (11-1)
Date: Friday, December 29th
Time: 8:00 ET
Venue: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Missouri -1 | Ohio State +1
Cotton Bowl Moneyline Odds: Missouri -123 | Ohio State +101
College Football Betting Total: O/U 49.5
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Missouri returns to the New Year’s Six stage after a hiatus since 2014, while Ohio State has been a fixture since the four-team playoff began in 2013.
Series History: Ohio State holds a dominant 10-1-1 advantage over Missouri in a rivalry that began in 1939.
The Buckeyes won the initial 5 meetings, with a noteworthy 13-13 tie in 1946. Missouri’s lone triumph came in 1976, edging Ohio State 22-21 at Ohio Stadium.
Subsequently, the teams clashed only twice, in 1997 and 1998, both resulting in Ohio St. victories.
Missouri and Ohio State did not have any head-to-head matchups last season.
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Missouri Tigers
Missouri is coming off a 48-14 win over Arkansas. The Tigers set the tone early in the game, leading by a score of 10-0 after the first quarter.
Missouri’s average scoring differential for the season is +11.8 leading to an ATS mark of 8-3. The Tigers have been favored six times and the underdog in five games
After 12 games, the average over/under line in Missouri’s matches stands at 54.4 points.
The collective score in their games has averaged 56.4 points, resulting in an OU record of 7-4.
Missouri Tigers Stats
Missouri comes into the game with an offense averaging 34.1, which places them at 27th in the NCAA rankings.
Their passing game has them ranked 32nd nationally, with an average of 273.5 passing yards. In the rushing department, they’re 59th in the nation, with 436 rushing attempts per game for the season.
So far this season, the Tigers’ defense has given up 124.8 rushing yards per game against the run (171st). Opponents are averaging 222.4 passing yards and opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 94.2 against Missouri.
In terms of points allowed, they are 73rd in the NCAA.
Through the air, the Tigers’ attempted 21 passes against Arkansas, gaining 112 yards and securing two scores.
On the ground, they maintained an average of 6.2 yards per carry, resulting in three rushing touchdowns.
Ohio State Buckeyes
Ohio State is coming off a 30-24 loss to Michigan and were unable to pull out a win in the 4th quarter as Michigan outscored Ohio State by one in the final period.
Heading into this week’s matchup with Missouri, the Buckeyes have been favored in 10 games and the underdog in one. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 6-3-2.
This season, Ohio State has an over/under record of 3-8.
Their games have, on average, produced a combined total of 43.8 points, with the typical over/under line being 52 points.
Ohio State Buckeyes Stats
As they prepare to face the Missouri, the Buckeyes’ offense is averaging 143.2 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt. Nationally, they are 83rd in rushing yards and 26th in passing yards, on an average of 282.7 yards per matchup.
Ohio State has averaged 32.8 points per game so far. This figure places them 33rd in the nation.
The Buckeyes’ ended with 30 pass attempts vs Michigan, racking up 271 yards and two scores. In the rushing department, they averaged 3.8 yards per carry, resulting in one rushing touchdown.
Ohio State’s defense sits at 49th for points allowed, allowing 11 points per game. So far, teams have been averaging 147.5 passing yards per game against them (11th nationally).
On the ground, they’re yielding 112.7 rushing yards, ranking them 31st in college football.
Missouri Tigers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Tigers are 4-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Buckeyes are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Tigers are 8-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Buckeyes have gone 2-6-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Tigers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Buckeyes’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Missouri vs. Ohio State Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tigers | +200 | -123 | +7 | -1 |
Buckeyes | -250 | +101 | -7 | +1 |
4* Free 2023 Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic NCAA Betting Prediction: Missouri -1
Missouri is on fire with a 5-1 ATS and 5-1 SU record in their last six games. They’ve dominated the Big Ten with a 10-3 SU record in their last 13 matchups.
Meanwhile, Ohio State has struggled against SEC opponents, holding a 2-7 SU record in their last nine games. These trends showcase Missouri’s recent success and Ohio State’s challenges against SEC teams.
This matchup features two exceptional coaching staffs. So, if I start there you can tell both teams will come ready to play, of this I have no doubts. Ryan Day at Ohio State holds a 56-7 record in five seasons, with a 2-3 postseason record. Eli Drinkwitz is 27-21 at Missouri.
When it comes to the moneyline, my recommendation is to roll with Missouri. They should not only take take down Ohio State but also to cover the spread.
Mizzou holds an advantage in the trends department for this matchup. When it comes to facing SEC teams in bowls, Ohio State’s record, including national championship games, stands at just 2 wins and 12 losses.
Missouri at -1 is my spread pick for this game. Their defense performed well against Arkansas and is poised for another strong showing. I believe Missouri will not only come out on top, but also cover the spread against Ohio State.
After crunching the numbers, our model is pointing to this game finishing with a combined 54 points. This projection has me feeling good about taking the over at 49.5.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Mizzou’s last 10.
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Missouri Tigers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐓𝐫𝐚𝐢𝐥𝐞𝐫 𝐕𝐨𝐥. 𝟏𝟑 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐒𝐡𝐨𝐰𝐝𝐨𝐰𝐧 🍿🔥🎥 pic.twitter.com/FFRqnbT7XA
— Ohio State Football (@OhioStateFB) December 28, 2023
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