Free Week 4 Prediction: Bulldogs vs Tigers Odds
Week 4 College football betting sees the Mississippi State Bulldogs taking on the Auburn Tigers on Saturday September 26th at Jordan Hare Stadium in Auburn, Alabama. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions.
Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-1) vs. Auburn Tigers (2-1)
Date: Saturday September 26th
Time: 7:30 PM
Venue: Jordan Hare Stadium in Auburn, Alabama
NCAA Football Spread: Auburn -2.5
NCAA Betting Total: 58
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These teams have one think in common, they have both lost to LSU this season.
As a result they are both looking to use this game to get back into the SEC West race, two losses and you are definitely done.
There is more pressure on Auburn who came into the year with big expectations and is playing at home.
Based on what we have seen so far it is not a stretch to say that Dak Prescott is the best quarterback in the SEC. Unfortunately that is likely not enough for the Bulldogs to come close to competing at the level they did a year ago.
Dak is putting up good numbers and was near perfect last week but he is not surrounded by playmakers on offense or defense for the Bulldogs to be more than a spoiler.
The Bulldogs may benefit from catching the Tigers at a good time though as they are looking for some answers at the position.
Mississippi State is capable of playing mistake free football which is, in some cases case, enough to win, even in the SEC. Especially if you are playing a mistake prone opponent.
These programs have split the last four contests with the home team winning each time.
Given the state of their quarterback play to date the Tigers are lucky to be 2-1 this season.
The only saving grace is that first time starter Jeremy Johnson might be getting better as he has gone from 3 to 2 to 1 in interceptions, though you will have to go to the tape to see if that is improvement or not.
Auburn wants to be a running team but you need the threat of the pass, especially when you play against defenses you can’t physically dominate, which will be the case on Saturday.
The defense has gotten a bit of a free pass thanks to Johnson’s shaky start but they have not been good either. They have been getting torched on the ground – 124th in the nation giving up 270ypg.
This game is a pivotal one in terms of the overall meaning of their season. It could be over before October.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Under is 5-0 in Bulldogs last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Bulldogs last 5 conference games.
- Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
Free Week 4 NCAA Football Prediction
I want to fade the Tigers here but I am not sure Dak is going to be enough on the road. I really want to though.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Auburn -2.5
If they play a clean game Auburn should win by 10. I will settle for them winning by a touchdown.
Week 4 Free Score Prediction: Auburn 35 – Mississippi State 24
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