Ray “The Razor” Monohan – Last Updated on December 21, 2022 7:10 pm
Free NCAA Football Prediction: Middle Tennessee vs. San Diego State Odds
Looking for Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. San Diego State Aztecs free picks? College football betting sees the Blue Raiders taking on the Aztecs on Saturday, December 24th, at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex in Honolulu, HI. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football game predictions like this Blue Raiders Aztecs free pick.
College Football Handicapping Analysis: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. San Diego State Aztecs
2022 Easypost Hawai’i Bowl
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 7-5 vs. San Diego State Aztecs 7-5
Date: Saturday, December 24th
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex Honolulu
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: Blue Raiders 7 / Aztecs -7 (Bet Now!)
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: Blue Raiders 209 / Aztecs -267
NCAA Betting Total Odds: Total O/U 49.5
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Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
In Conference USA play, the Blue Raiders have a record of 4-4. the team’s overall record is 7-5.
The Blue Raiders are going for another win, as in their last game, they defeated Florida International, despite entering as the betting underdog.
On offense, the Blue Raiders are averaging 29.17 points per game, good for 70th in the NCAA. So far, a majority of their touchdowns have come on the ground, as they have rushed for 20, while throwing for 19.
Heading into the game, the Blue Raiders will hope for some improved play from their defense, as they are currently 82nd at 28.08 points per game allowed.
Over their last 10 games, the Blue Raiders have covered the spread at a rate of 60.0%. In these games, they posted a straight-up mark of 6-4-0. The team’s average scoring differential was 3.5, as they averaged 30.9 points per game. Defensively, they allowed an average of 27.4. Their last 10 over-under record is 7-3-0.
Through their last 5 road contests, the Blue Raiders’ offense has averaged 28.0 points per game while allowing an average of 30.6. Middle Tennessee posted an overall record of 3-2-0 while going 2-3-0 ATS.
San Diego State Aztecs
This season, the Aztecs will hope to continue their strong play against Mountain West opponents, as they went in 5-3 in 2021. Their overall record was 7-5.
San Diego State is coming off a 10 loss to Air Force by a score of 13-3. The Aztecs entered the game as 2.0-point road underdogs, making this an ATS loss.
The Aztecs head into the game with the 128th-ranked scoring offense at 21.33 points per game. Currently, they have scored a majority of their touchdowns through the air, with 13 receiving touchdowns compared to 11 rushing scores.
The Aztecs will look to once again play well defensively, as they are currently 20th in points allowed at 20.17 points per game allowed.
Through their last 10 matchups, San Diego State has gone 6-4-0 straight up and 5-5-0 vs the spread. The team’s average scoring differential was 0.1, as they averaged 19.8 points per game. Defensively, they allowed an average of 19.7. Their last 10 over-under record is 4-6-0.
In their last 5 home games, San Diego State has averaged 18.6 points per game while allowing 15.6. The team’s record in this stretch was 4-1-0 while going 2-3-0.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Blue Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
- Blue Raiders are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss.
- Blue Raiders are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win.
- Aztecs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in December.
- Aztecs are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS loss.
So far, the Blue Raiders are averaging 267.17 yards per game through the air, placing them 31st in the country. This week, the Blue Raiders will be facing a San Diego State defense ranked 45th in pass yards allowed per game. So far, they are averaging 231.0 yards per game when facing top 25 pass defenses.
This season, the Aztecs have struggled to move the ball through the air, averaging just 170.92 passing yards per game. This week, the Aztecs will be facing a Middle Tennessee defense that is ranked 195th in pass yards allowed per game. This year, they are averaging 172.29 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50 in passing defense.
4* Easypost Hawai’i Bowl NCAA Betting Final Analysis:
In this Easypost Hawai’i Bowl matchup, I recommend taking the points with Middle Tennessee State, as their strong passing attack gives them a chance to keep things close or pull off the upset. Before game time, I will be getting a bet down on the Blue Raiders at +7.
4* Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. San Diego State Aztecs NCAA Betting Pick: Middle Tennessee ATS
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