Free Week 12 Prediction: Blue Raiders vs Wildcats Odds
Looking for Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Kentucky Wildcats free picks? Week 12 betting sees the Blue Raiders taking on the Wildcats on Saturday November 17 at Commonwealth Stadium in Lexington, Kentucky. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Middle Tennessee Kentucky free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 12
(7-3) Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Kentucky Wildcats (7-3)
Date: Saturday, November 17 2018
Time: 12:00 pm EST
Venue: Commonwealth Stadium, Lexington, Kentucky
NCAA Football Spread: Wildcats -16
NCAA Betting Total: 46.5
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Middle Tennessee takes a non conference break here. They are having a good season but might be looking past this game even though beating an SEC team would be a highlight. They have UAB at home next. .
For a brief moment it looked like Kentucky was really going to compete with the big boys in the SEC. They are not there they are still very good this season. I worry they might be too beat up though.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Taking on an SEC team is always a big one but the Blue Raiders are looking at a date in the conference title game if they win next week and FIU loses. That’s a couple of ifs but that is the setting for this one.
Brent Stockstill is an experienced hand at quarterback. He has had some monster games this season including last week where he threw for 352 yards with 4 TDs. He gives them a fighting chance in this one for sure.
When mid majors take on the Big Boys it is usually all about defense. They have to be able to hold up against bigger, faster players, generally. MTU’s defese is just OK. They gave up 35 and 49 to Vandy and Georgia.
It seemed obvious to me that last week was a bad spot for the Wildcats. They were coming off the loss to Georgia and on the road against a Tennessee team that was way more into it. This is a spot they have to rebound in if they want to be taken seriously though. .
MTU is going to know all about Bennie Snell Jr. The junior running back is the heart of the team this season – UK has won every game where he has had 100 yards or more on the ground. They have to get him going.
Similar to the above defensive comment I expect the UK defense to be able to push around MTU up front. If that happens they can be in control of this game from the get go. That group is actually really good.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Under is 7-1 in MTU last 8 games on grass.
- Under is 9-2 in MTU last 11 games as an underdog.
- Under is 8-2 in MTU last 10 vs. SEC.
- Over is 7-2 in UK last 9 games in November.
- Under is 6-2 in UK last 8 non-conference games.
- UK are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 home games.
Free Week 12 NCAA Football Pick
This one is tricky because of the correlation of spread an total. Essentially they are saying the Blue Raiders are not going to get much of anything. .
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Middle Tennessee +16
I think MTU can keep this one close by selling out to defend the run and just making a few plays when they have the ball. Just too big a number for me.
Kentucky is not going to lose but they essentially have nothing to play for in this one and I don’t like that part either.
Week 12 Free Score Prediction: Kentucky 24 – Middle Tennessee 21
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