
Free NCAAF Pick: Wolverines vs. Spartans Odds
Looking for Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartans Free NCAA Week 9 picks & NCAA odds? NCAAF betting sees the Wolverines taking on the Spartans on 10/25 at Spartan Stadium (MI), in Michigan State. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NCAA football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NCAAF predictions like this Wolverines Spartans free pick.
2025 NCAAF Handicapping – Michigan Wolverines vs Michigan State Spartans
(5-2) Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartans (3-4)
Date: Oct 25, 2025
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Venue: Spartan Stadium (MI) in Michigan State, MI
NCAAF Moneyline Odds: Wolverines -631 | Spartans +439 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAF Spread Betting Odds: Wolverines -14.0 | Spartans +14.0
NCAAF Football Gambling Total: O/U: 48.5
Here’s why I’m backing the OVER bet below in my Wolverines Spartans free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Wolverines vs. Spartans Gameday
Week 9 of the 2025 college football season delivers one of the Big Ten’s fiercest rivalries — the Michigan Wolverines taking on the Michigan State Spartans under the lights at Spartan Stadium in East Lansing.
Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 PM on NBC, and you can bet emotions will be running high on both sidelines.
The Wolverines enter at 5-2 with a 3-1 conference record and sit #25 in the AP Poll.
They’ve been strong at home but inconsistent on the road at 1-2, leaving plenty to prove in a hostile environment.
Meanwhile, the Spartans are 3-4 overall and winless in conference play. Still, they’ve protected home turf well with a 3-1 record at Spartan Stadium. Michigan State is coming off a tough 38-13 loss to Indiana, while Michigan took down Washington 24-7.
Rivalry or not, these teams are heading in opposite directions right now.
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It’s Week 9 — Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartans — and you can toss the records out the window.
Rivalry games like this have a mind of their own.
Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartans Odds & Last 5
The odds heavily favor Michigan, who come in at -610 on the moneyline and as 14-point favorites. With back-to-back strong defensive performances, they’ll look to dominate the trenches once again.
Michigan State, listed at +439, hopes home field magic sparks an upset. They’ve struggled against ranked opponents this season, and a loss here could send them spiraling further down the Big Ten standings.
The Wolverines have owned this matchup lately, winning the last three meetings — including a 24-17 victory last season.
The total is set around 48.5 points, and with both offenses finding their rhythm, the over could be in play.
Spartans Stats
The Spartans’ offense has been middle-of-the-pack statistically. They rank 51st in total points (190), 83rd in passing (1,496 yards), and just 97th in rushing (868 yards).
Their inability to establish the run has been a recurring issue, putting pressure on quarterback Aidan Chiles to do too much.
Defensively, it’s been rough. They rank 121st in points allowed (229) but do flash some playmaking ability — 13 sacks and 3 interceptions show the front seven can cause problems when they get home.
Chiles has been a bright spot, throwing for 1,262 yards and 10 touchdowns with just three picks. However, the offense has been inconsistent drive to drive.
With players like Alante Brown and Kaden Schickel banged up, the Spartans will need their backups to step up to stay competitive.
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Wolverines Stats
Michigan continues to lean on its ground game. They’ve rushed for 1,500 yards this season, ranking 20th nationally, and running back Justice Haynes has been the heartbeat of that attack with 705 yards and 8 touchdowns.
His day-to-day injury status could be one to monitor.
Through the air, freshman QB Bryce Underwood has been steady if unspectacular — throwing for 1,440 yards (89th nationally) with 7 touchdowns and only 2 interceptions. He’s protected the ball well and kept drives alive with poise beyond his years.
Defensively, the Wolverines remain one of the most disciplined units in the conference. They’ve allowed only 119 total points (58th nationally) while racking up 18 sacks (11th) and 11 interceptions (12th). That pass rush and ball-hawking secondary are the backbone of this team’s success.
Michigan’s last two outings were a mixed bag — a dominant win over Washington and a tough 31-13 loss to USC.
Even so, their defense continues to travel well, which bodes well heading into East Lansing.
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Wolverines vs. Spartans QB Matchup
Aidan Chiles has been the one bright spot for Michigan State this year, throwing for 1,262 yards and 10 touchdowns while keeping turnovers low with only 3 interceptions.
He’s accurate, mobile, and will need his best game of the season to keep the Spartans close.
Backup Alessio Milivojevic has seen limited snaps but produced 221 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 pick across four games. If the offense sputters early, don’t be surprised if he gets a series or two.
For Michigan, Bryce Underwood remains the key. He’s totaled 1,440 yards with 7 touchdowns and just 2 interceptions in seven games, showing patience and command beyond his experience level.
His decision-making and composure under pressure are what separate him from most freshmen in the country.
Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartans bottom line: Rivalry games can get weird, but Michigan’s defense and running game give them a clear edge.
Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartans Football Betting Trends
- Wolverines have a strong record as favorites, winning 29 of their last 30 games SU.
- Wolverines are 25-5 straight up in their last 30 games after a win.
- Wolverines are 16-7 against the spread in their last 23 away games.
- Also, the Spartans have gone over the total in their last 7 games as underdogs.
- Spartans have covered the spread in their last 3 games as underdogs.
- Additionally, the Spartans have gone over the total in 10 of their last 13.
Wolverines Spartans Free Pick: Over 48.5
Here is my Spartans Wolverines free pick. Michigan State has been a reliable over team, especially when catching points, hitting the over in seven straight games as underdogs. That trend points toward another potential shootout in East Lansing.
On the other side, Michigan’s offense has been firing on all cylinders, ranking 20th in rushing yards nationally.
Their ground attack wears down defenses and creates explosive scoring opportunities late in games, which bodes well for the total.
Defensively, Michigan State simply hasn’t been able to stop anyone. Sitting at 121st in points allowed, their defense often forces their offense to play catch-up — a perfect recipe for high-scoring outcomes.
With Michigan’s offense rolling and Michigan State’s defense leaking points, this matchup screams over from start to finish.
Given their recent history and the trends favoring high totals, this one should deliver plenty of fireworks. Take the Over 48.5 and enjoy what should be a classic Big 10 scoring fest under the lights.
Today’s NCAAF Free Pick
Best Sportsbooks For Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartans NCAAF Gambling Today!
NCAAF Betting Tweet Of The Day
gonna be a B1G Saturday Night in EL pic.twitter.com/jHDbPzZPIY
— Michigan State Football (@MSU_Football) October 19, 2025
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