Michigan Wolverines vs. Maryland Terrapins Free Pick & CFB Betting Prediction, 11/22/25

Free NCAAF Pick: Wolverines vs. Terrapins Odds

Looking for Michigan Wolverines vs. Maryland Terrapins Free NCAA Week 13 picks & NCAA odds? NCAAF betting sees the Wolverines taking on the Terrapins on 11/22 at SECU Stadium, in Maryland. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NCAA football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NCAAF predictions like this Wolverines Terrapins free pick.

2025 NCAAF Handicapping – Michigan Wolverines vs Maryland Terrapins

(8-2) Michigan Wolverines vs. Maryland Terrapins (4-6)
Date: Nov 22, 2025
Time: 4:00 PM ET
Venue: SECU Stadium in Maryland, MD
NCAAF Moneyline Odds: Wolverines -599 | Terrapins +425 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAF Spread Betting Odds: Wolverines -14.0 | Terrapins +14.0
NCAAF Football Gambling Total: O/U: 45.5

Here’s why I’m backing an OVER bet below in my Wolverines Terrapins free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.

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Wolverines vs. Terrapins Gameday

Michigan heads to College Park looking to tighten up their résumé before rivalry week hits, and Maryland is just trying to stop the bleeding after a brutal six-game slide.

This matchup feels less like a showdown and more like a pressure test — one team rising, one team scrambling to survive.

Michigan arrives with an 8-2 record and rankings of #18 in the AP Poll and #17 in the Coaches Poll. Their 3-2 road mark shows they’ve handled tough environments before, but they’ll want to lock in cleaner execution here.

Maryland sits at 4-6 overall with just one conference win, and the six-game losing streak has turned their season into a slog. They haven’t found a way to stabilize, and this matchup doesn’t offer much margin for error.

Michigan has won the last three meetings, including the 31-24 win at SECU Stadium in 2023. History leans their direction, but November tends to punish teams who assume anything.

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It’s Week 13, Michigan Wolverines vs. Maryland Terrapins — let’s see who shows up ready.

Michigan Wolverines vs. Maryland Terrapins Odds & Last 5

The books opened Michigan at -578 on the moneyline, with Maryland at +423 — the type of pricing that tells you who’s expected to dictate this game. The spread sits at Michigan -13.5, projecting a multi-score finish if the Wolverines stay sharp.

Michigan’s recent stretch includes a 24-22 win over Northwestern and a 21-16 victory against Purdue. Tight games, but steady responses from a team comfortable grinding through adversity.

Maryland’s recent form heads the other way. A 24-6 loss to Illinois highlighted the same issues that have defined their losing streak: inconsistent run game, too many stalled drives, and not enough defensive stops.

Terrapins Stats

Maryland’s offense sits at 234 total points, ranking 77th nationally, with 2,333 passing yards (65th). Their run game has struggled badly — just 1,122 yards, ranking 114th.

The defense has allowed 235 points (90th), though the pass rush is a legitimate weapon with 27 sacks, good for 9th nationally. Their 18 interceptions also show a secondary that can flip the field when it sees an opening.

The recent slide includes a 24-6 loss to Illinois, where Maryland threw for 238 yards but managed only 55 on the ground. The imbalance has made them predictable.

QB Malik Washington continues to lead the charge with 2,294 yards and 13 touchdowns. RB DeJuan Williams adds 409 rushing yards, while WR Shaleak Knotts has posted 496 yards and five scores.

Wolverines Stats

Michigan leans on a powerful run game, ranking 11th nationally with 2,266 yards. Their passing output sits at 1,951 yards (97th), but the efficiency complements their downhill identity.

Defensively, Michigan brings pressure with 25 sacks (11th) and ball skills with 11 interceptions (12th). The 177 points allowed rank them 61st and reflect a defense that rarely gives opponents extra possessions.

Recent wins over Northwestern and Purdue have kept momentum up, and the only recent setback was a 31-13 loss to USC.

Injuries remain a concern: C.J. Charleston and Justice Haynes are out, while Jordan Marshall’s status remains uncertain.

We want to hear from you below! Comments are welcome! Give us your picks for this Michigan Wolverines vs. Maryland Terrapins NCAAF matchup.

Wolverines vs. Terrapins QB Matchup

Malik Washington leads Maryland with 2,294 passing yards, 13 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions across 10 games. He remains their best chance to stay competitive offensively.

Khristian Martin has appeared in four games, totaling 39 yards with no touchdowns or interceptions.

Bryce Underwood leads Michigan with 1,951 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. His steady approach keeps the Wolverines’ offense balanced without forcing unnecessary risks.

Michigan Wolverines vs. Maryland Terrapins bottom line: Michigan’s defense and run game give them the cleaner path — Maryland only hangs if they steal possessions early.

Michigan Wolverines vs. Maryland Terrapins Football Betting Trends

• Wolverines are 29-1 straight up in their last 30 games as favorites.
• Wolverines are 25-5 straight up after a win in their last 30 games.
• Wolverines have gone 16-9 against the spread in their last 25 away games.
• Also, the Terrapins have a 13-5-1 over/under record at home in their last 19 games.
• Terrapins are 15-12 straight up in their last 27 home games.
• Additionally, the Terrapins have an 8-7 record against the spread as underdogs in their last 15 games.

Wolverines Terrapins Free Pick: Over 45.5

Here is my Wolverines Terrapins free pick. Maryland has been one of the most reliable home over teams in college football, posting a 13-5-1 mark to the over in their last 19 at SECU Stadium.

Their defensive inconsistencies often force them into track-meet style games, and that trend doesn’t disappear against better opponents. When the Terps play at home, points usually follow.

Michigan brings enough offensive firepower to contribute, ranking 54th in points scored and an impressive 11th in rushing yards. Their ground attack is built to punish defenses that struggle with gap discipline — exactly the kind of weakness Maryland has shown.

If Michigan controls the trenches, this total can get pushed upward quickly.

My system tells me both teams’ scoring profiles make this 45.5 total very beatable.

These matchups typically deliver points, too — the last meeting in College Park hit 55 — reinforcing the idea that this pairing naturally leans over. With Maryland’s home trends, Michigan’s rushing strength, and both defenses giving up chunks, the setup is ideal.

Over 45.5 is the pick.

Today’s NCAAF Free Pick

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NCAAF Betting Tweet Of The Day

.@CamRice4355 made the most of his time in College Park.

Be there Saturday as we honor our seniors one last time. pic.twitter.com/BDidOTiVVQ

— Maryland Football (@TerpsFootball) November 19, 2025

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About Matt Durnan

A (self-proclaimed) fantasy sports guru since 2004 and a journalist since 2007. He has been offering unsolicited sports gambling advice to his circle of friends for years and has now put himself at the mercy of online readers everywhere. "It's not whether you win or lose, it's how much fun you have"... His hockey coach told him that when he was 7. His team lost every game that year.

Filed Under: College Football