Free NCAA Football Prediction: Michigan State vs. Penn State Odds
Looking for Michigan State Spartans vs. Penn State Nittany Lions free picks? College football betting sees the Spartans taking on the Nittany Lions on Saturday, November 26th, at Beaver Stadium in University Park, PA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football game predictions like this Spartans Nittany Lions free pick.
College Football Handicapping Analysis: Michigan State Spartans vs. Penn State Nittany Lions
Michigan State Spartans 5-6 vs. Penn State Nittany Lions 9-2
Date: Saturday, November 26th
Time: 4:00 PM ET
Venue: Beaver Stadium University Park
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: Spartans 18 / Nittany Lions -18 (Bet Now!)
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: Spartans 669 / Nittany Lions -1132
NCAA Betting Total Odds: Total O/U 52.5
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Michigan State Spartans
The Spartans head into this week’s game with an overall record of 5-6. However, they are 3-5 in Big Ten action.
The Spartans head into the game coming off a 39-31 loss vs Indiana. With the defeat, Michigan State also added an ATS loss to their resume.
The Spartans head into the game with the 102nd-ranked scoring offense at 25.18 points per game. Currently, they have scored a majority of their touchdowns through the air, with 22 receiving touchdowns compared to 15 rushing scores.
Heading into the game, the Spartans will hope for some improved play from their defense, as they are currently 72nd at 26.73 points per game allowed.
Through their last 10 matchups, Michigan State has gone 4-6-0 straight up and 4-6-0 vs the spread. Their last 10 over-under record comes in at 5-5-0. Michigan State has a negative scoring differential in these games, averaging 24.2 points per game and allowing 28.1.
In their last 5 games away from home, the Spartans have a straight-up record of 1-4-0 while going 2-3-0 vs the spread. The team averaged 15.6 points per game in this stretch.
Penn State Nittany Lions
This year, the Nittany Lions have an overall record of 9-2. In addition, they have also played well in the Big Ten, going 6-2.
In their previous game, the Nittany Lions picked up a 55-10 home win over Rutgers. This was an impressive victory as they were also the 19.0-point underdogs.
On offense, the Nittany Lions are averaging 35.91 points per game, good for 26th in the NCAA. So far, a majority of their touchdowns have come on the ground, as they have rushed for 25, while throwing for 22.
The Nittany Lions will look to once again play well defensively, as they are currently 14th in points allowed at 18.18 points per game allowed.
Penn State has gone 8-2-0 over their last 10 contests, including posting an ATS record 7-3-0. On offense, the team averaged 36.0 points per game while allowing 16.9. Their over-under mark (last 10) is 7-3-0.
Penn State has played well in their previous 5 home games, going 4-1-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 31.2 points per game while allowing 16.4. The team’s also performed well vs the spread at 3-2-0.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Spartans are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games overall.
- Spartans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games.
- Spartans are 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 games in September.
- Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
- Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
This season, Michigan State has struggled to move the ball through the air, averaging just 241.0 passing yards per game. This week, the Spartans will be facing a Penn State defense that is ranked 60th in pass yards allowed per game. So far, they are averaging 256.57 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50 in passing defense.
So far, the Nittany Lions are averaging 250.36 yards per game through the air, placing them 43rd in the country. This week, the Nittany Lions will be facing a Michigan State defense that is ranked 114th in pass yards allowed per game. This year, they are averaging 279.14 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50 in passing defense.
4* Michigan State vs. Penn State NCAA Betting Final Analysis:
Even though a late November Big 10 rivalry game usually means we are in for a tight game, Penn State is clearly the superior team in this matchup. Don’t be scared off by the large spread, and go ahead and grab Penn State to cover.
4* Michigan State Spartans vs. Penn State Nittany Lions NCAA Betting Pick: Penn State -18
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