Ray “The Razor” Monohan – Last Updated on January 31, 2024 7:36 pm
Free NCAA Pick: Miami (OH) vs. Appalachian State Odds
Looking for Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers free NCAA 2023 Cure Bowl picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the RedHawks taking on the Mountaineers on Saturday, December 16th at the FBC Mortgage Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Bowl games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Miami (OH) Appalachian State matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Avocados From Mexico Cure Bowl
(11-2) Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers (8-5)
Date: Saturday, December 16th
Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: FBC Mortgage Stadium, Orlando, FL
Avocados From Mexico Cure Bowl ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Miami (OH) +5 | Appalachian State -5
Cure Bowl CFB Moneyline Odds: Miami (OH) +169 | Appalachian State -215
College Football Betting Total: O/U 47
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I tried hard, but I could not find any prior matchups between these two schools on the web. If you know of one, hit me back!
Miami (Ohio) boasts an impressive 11-2 record, with a remarkable 7-1 standing in the Mid-American Conference. They are gearing up for their 15th bowl appearance. The last time they won 11 games in a season? Ben Roethlisberger was the QB.
In contrast, Appalachian State, with an 8-5 overall record and a solid 6-2 performance in the Sun Belt, is heading to their eighth bowl game.
While Appalachian State secured the Sun Belt East Division title with a 6-2 league record, they faced a setback in the Sun Belt Championship, losing 49-23 to Troy on December 2nd.
Conversely, Miami (Ohio) celebrated victory in the MAC Championship Game, triumphing 23-14 over the 23rd-ranked Toledo on the same date.
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Miami (OH) RedHawks
Miami (OH) is coming off a 23-14 win over Toledo. The RedHawks set the tone early in the game, leading by a score of 10-0 after the first quarter.
Miami (OH) has gone into eight games as the favorite this season and four games as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 9-3.
This season, Miami (OH) has an over/under record of 4-8. Their games have, on average, produced a combined total of 43.1 points, with the typical over/under line being 42.9 points.
Miami (OH) RedHawks Stats
On the ground, the RedHawks are 44th in college football at 440 attempts per game. This has led to an average of 158.3 (57th). So far, they have turned to the passing game 21.8 and have a per game average of 174.8.
Overall, they are 49th in points (26.9 PPG).
The Miami (OH) defense, going into this week’s game, holds 55th place for points allowed, allowing 16.2 points per game. Opponents have been gaining an average of 197.2 passing yards each game against them (46th in the country).
On the ground, they’re yielding 129.5 rushing yards, ranking them 48th in college football.
In terms of rushing, the RedHawks’ offense managed two rushing touchdowns against Toledo and covered 199 yards on 42 attempts. However, their passing game didn’t yield a touchdown, producing 109 yards with 16 passes attempted.
Appalachian State Mountaineers
Appalachian State is coming of a 49-23 loss to Troy. The Mountaineers were never able to recover from falling behind early, trailing 14-7 at the half.
Appalachian State’s average scoring differential for the season is +6.4 leading to an ATS mark of 4-5-1.
The Mountaineers have been favored seven times and the underdog in three games
So far this season, Appalachian State boasts an over/under record of 5-5. On average, their matchups have resulted in a combined score of 63.2 points, while the average over/under line has been 55.4 points.
Appalachian State Mountaineers Stats
The Mountaineers come into their matchup vs. Miami (OH) 18th in college football at 489 rushing attempts per game. This has translated to an average of 174.2 rushing yards per game, placing them 30th nationally.
Additionally, they’ve been airing it out 33.8 times each game, accumulating an average of 278.4 passing yards. In terms of scoring, they stand 16th, with 34.8 points per game.
Appalachian State’s offense scored two times on the ground vs. Troy and finished with 383 yards of offense.
On third down, they went 7/16 and averaged 9.8 yards per completion on their 39 passing attempts.
So far this season, the Mountaineers’ defense has given up 177.8 rushing yards per game against the run (83rd). Opponents are averaging 213.1 passing yards and opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 77.8 against Appalachian State.
In terms of points allowed, they are 23rd in the NCAA.
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The RedHawks are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Mountaineers are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the RedHawks are 8-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Mountaineers have gone 3-6-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the RedHawks’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Mountaineers’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Miami (OH) vs. Appalachian State Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
RedHawks | +165 | +169 | +4.5 | +5 |
Mountaineers | -200 | -215 | -4.5 | -5 |
4* Free 2023 Avocados From Mexico Cure Bowl NCAA Betting Prediction: Appalachian State -5
When it comes to a straight moneyline pick, we’re favoring Appalachian State for the win. However, it’s worth noting that the payout currently sits at -215.
You could also consider placing a bet on Appalachian State with the spread or incorporating it into a parlay to boost your potential earnings.
I found some interesting stats about this week’s College football bowl game from my reliable sources online. Appalachian State has performed well in recent seasons, going 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games and winning 5 out of their last 6 games.
They also have a strong record, winning 4 out of their last 5 games against opponents in the Mid-American conference.
Appalachian State’s offense has done a good job extending drives by converting third downs. I expect them to have another good offensive performance vs. Miami (OH).
My pick is Appalachian State at -5 even though the RedHawks are appearing in a bowl game for the seventh time in their last 8 years. I really like this APP State team.
On the over/under, I have the best bet being to take the over at 47. This looks like a slam dunk bet for me, as my gut tells me the over will hit as well as our model projecting a combined 48 points.
Now, let’s talk about the Over/Under trends for this bowl game. Miami-OH’s games have seen the total go UNDER in 5 out of their last 6 matches.
Additionally, Appalachian State’s games played on a Saturday away from home or at a neutral site have seen the total go UNDER in 4 out of their last 6.
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Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
𝗧𝗼𝗽 𝗕𝗼𝘄𝗹 𝗠𝗼𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁𝘀 🎥
7️⃣ Shutout For All To See 👀
2017 Dollar General Bowl | @TheyLove_Duck #GoApp pic.twitter.com/Qjzl6cAsUJ
— App State Football (@AppState_FB) December 8, 2023
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