Free NCAAF Pick: Hurricanes vs. Mustangs Odds
Looking for Miami Hurricanes vs. SMU Mustangs Free NCAA Week 10 picks & NCAA odds? NCAAF betting sees the Hurricanes taking on the Mustangs on 11/1 at Gerald J. Ford Stadium, in SMU. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NCAA football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NCAAF predictions like this Hurricanes Mustangs free pick.
2025 NCAAF Handicapping – Miami Hurricanes vs SMU Mustangs
(6-1) Miami Hurricanes vs. SMU Mustangs (5-3)
Date: Nov 01, 2025
Time: 12:00 PM ET
Venue: Gerald J. Ford Stadium in SMU, TX
NCAAF Moneyline Odds: Hurricanes -459 | Mustangs +338 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAF Spread Betting Odds: Hurricanes -12.5 | Mustangs +12.5
NCAAF Football Gambling Total: O/U: 50.5
Here’s why I’m backing an OVER bet below in my Hurricanes Mustangs free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Hurricanes vs. Mustangs Gameday
Week 10 opens with a fun one — the Miami Hurricanes traveling to face the SMU Mustangs at Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas. Kickoff is set for noon on November 1, 2025, with ESPN carrying the action live.
Miami comes in hot with a 6-1 record, ranked 10th in the AP poll and 9th in the Coaches Poll.
The Hurricanes are aiming to extend their one-game win streak and prove they’re legit road warriors.
Meanwhile, SMU sits at 5-3 after a narrow 13-12 loss to Wake Forest snapped their momentum. Still, they’ve been tough at home with a 3-1 record and will be eager to defend their turf.
This matchup carries plenty of weight within the ACC standings — both teams are chasing positioning for bowl season.
And since this is their first-ever meeting, there’s a little mystery mixed in with all that motivation.
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It’s Week 10: Miami Hurricanes vs. SMU Mustangs. The question is, which team makes the stronger statement under the Texas sun?
Miami Hurricanes vs. SMU Mustangs Odds & Last 5
Miami opens as the clear favorite with a moneyline of -460 and a 12.5-point spread.
The total sits at 50.5, suggesting the books expect a mix of offense and some defensive pushback.
The Hurricanes recently rolled Stanford 42-7, a performance that showed off their depth and balance. In contrast, SMU dropped that heartbreaker to Wake Forest, missing a chance to extend their win streak. Both teams have looked strong at home, but Miami’s experience in tight road games could matter here.
Earlier in the season, Miami edged Florida State 28-22 on the road, while SMU’s highlight was a 35-24 win over Clemson.
It’s a clash between two programs that know how to put points up when it counts.
Mustangs Stats
SMU’s offense has been humming this year, ranking 23rd nationally in passing with 2,128 yards. Quarterback Kevin Jennings has been the catalyst, throwing for 2,119 yards and 17 touchdowns.
Defensively, the Mustangs bring pressure and take the ball away. They rank 13th in interceptions (12), 3rd in fumble recoveries (8), and 6th in sacks (25).
This is a defense that thrives on chaos — blitzing, stripping, and disrupting rhythm.
Their recent stretch has been up and down — wins over Clemson and Stanford balanced by the tough Wake Forest loss. Injuries could be an issue, though, with defenders Aakil Washington and Jonathan Jefferson both questionable.
If they’re out, the pass rush could take a noticeable hit.
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Hurricanes Stats
Miami’s offense continues to find rhythm, putting up 238 total points (42nd nationally). The Hurricanes have passed for 1,797 yards (63rd) and rushed for 1,076 (85th).
That balance keeps defenses guessing.
Their defense, though, has been the real star — allowing just 99 points, ranking 45th overall. They’ve also piled up 15 sacks (16th), 7 interceptions (8th), and 4 fumble recoveries (7th). This is a group that gets after it.
Miami’s last few outings tell the story: a blowout win over Stanford, a 24-21 loss to Louisville, and a gritty win against Florida State. The potential is there — they just need to avoid those late-game lulls.
Injuries could play a role with Akheem Mesidor and Jack Nickel both listed as questionable.
Their absence would sting, especially in the trenches.
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Hurricanes vs. Mustangs QB Matchup
Kevin Jennings has been electric for SMU, ranking 13th nationally in passing yards with 2,119 and 16th in touchdowns with 17.
The downside?
He’s been picked off 8 times, which could be dangerous against Miami’s opportunistic secondary.
Backup Ty Hawkins has barely seen the field, totaling just 9 yards through two games. If Jennings stays upright, this offense can hang with almost anyone.
Miami counters with Carson Beck, who’s quietly having a solid year. Through seven games, he’s thrown for 1,673 yards and 12 touchdowns, though 7 interceptions show some risk-taking. Beck’s arm talent gives Miami a clear edge if he protects the ball.
Emory Williams has contributed in spot duty with 124 yards but remains a depth option. Expect Beck to handle the full load again in Dallas.
Miami Hurricanes vs. SMU Mustangs bottom line: SMU can keep it interesting early, but the Hurricanes’ defense and passing game give them too many ways to win.
Miami Hurricanes vs. SMU Mustangs Football Betting Trends
- The Hurricanes are 15-2 straight up in their last 17 games when the total is 50 or more.
- In the last 19 games as favorites, the Hurricanes have a 16-3 straight-up record.
- Also, the Hurricanes are 13-3 straight up in their last 16 games after a win.
- The Mustangs are 9-0 straight up in their last 9 games after a loss.
- Additionally, the Mustangs have gone 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games as underdogs.
- The Mustangs are 3-1 over/under in their last 4 games as underdogs.
Hurricanes Mustangs Free Pick: Over 50.5
Here is my Hurricanes Mustangs free pick. To begin, the Hurricanes thrive in high-total matchups, going an impressive 15-2 straight up when the number hits 50 or more.
That trend tells you they don’t shy away from track meets and have the offensive firepower to keep the scoreboard moving.
Meanwhile, the Mustangs have been automatic when bouncing back from defeat, winning nine straight following a loss.
With an offense ranked 36th in points scored, SMU has no problem matching opponents score-for-score when the tempo quickens.
Additionally, both teams bring balance and speed on offense, which should stretch the field early and often. Miami’s defense, ranked 45th in points allowed, could give the Mustangs enough room to create chunk plays through the air and on the ground.
Given that SMU has gone 3-1 to the Over in their last four as an underdog, this one shapes up to be another shootout.
The combination of two efficient offenses and exploitable defenses makes the Over 50.5 the play here—expect fireworks and a fast pace from kickoff to the final whistle.
Today’s NCAAF Free Pick
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NCAAF Betting Tweet Of The Day
Homecoming game week ‼️ pic.twitter.com/zhIVWIyGvz
— SMU Football (@SMUFB) October 27, 2025
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