Free Week 12 Prediction: Tigers vs Mustangs Odds
Looking for Memphis Tigers vs. SMU Mustangs free picks? Week 12 betting sees the Tigers taking on the Mustangs Friday November 16th at Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, Texas. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Memphis SMU free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 12
(6-4) Memphis Tigers vs. SMU Mustangs (5-5)
Date: Friday, November 16th 2018
Time: 9:00 pm EST
Venue: Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas, Texas
NCAA Football Spread: Memphis Tigers -9.5
NCAA Betting Total: 72.5
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This Friday night games features a crucial matchup between the Memphis Tigers and the SMU Mustangs. Both teams are still in the race for the American Athletic Conference title game, and a loss by either team will eliminate them.
Memphis has won the last four meetings with the Mustangs dating back to 2014. During this stretch the average margin of victory for the Tigers has been 41.5. They will look to dominate the Mustangs once again to keep their conference title hopes alive.
Memphis has had an up and down season with their overall record of 6-4. They nearly knocked off the undefeated Central Florida team a few weeks ago, but ended up losing at the very end of the game. They will be hoping they can win this game and get some help to try and get revenge on Central Florida in the conference championship game.
The Tigers have had a ton of offensive success this year, ranking 6th in total yards per game, 5th in rushing yards per game, and 6th in scoring offense. As it stands right now, their running back, Darrell Henderson is the second leading rusher in the country with his 1,446 yards. He has 20 total touchdowns, 17 rushing and 3 receiving. If the Tigers can get him involved early, they will run away with this game like they have done many times in the past.
The Tigers’ defense allows an average of 30.5 points per game. This has hurt them many times this season, but their offense should do well enough to take the pressure of the defense. Specifically they will need to focus on their pass defense as the Mustangs have a better passing offense compared to their rushing defense.
The Mustangs may only be .500 on the year, but with a 4-2 conference they still have a legitimate shot to play for the American Athletic championship. They must have a win against Memphis to remain in first place in the division based on their tiebreaker with Houston and Tulane.
The Mustangs do not have the highest scoring offense, but their last two games have resulted in them scoring 45 and 62 respectively so they seem to be on a roll at the moment when they have the ball. They will likely focus on throwing the ball, and they key to this game will be taking advantage of any turnovers Memphis may make.
On average the Mustangs allow an average of 36.8 points per game. This is very worrying because of the explosive offense that Memphis has. The Mustangs must hold the Tigers to under 40 if they are going to have a legitimate shot to win.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Over is 17-8 in MEM last 25 games overall.
Free Week 12 NCAA Football Pick
The Memphis rushing offense will take over in this contest and give the Tigers an important win.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Over 72.5
Memphis has a very high scoring offense, but their defense has allowed teams to stay in many of their games this year. Because of that stat, the total will go over in this game.
Week 12 Free Score Prediction: Memphis 48 – SMU 31
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