Free NCAA Football Prediction: Maryland vs. NC State Odds
Looking for Maryland Terrapins vs. NC State Wolfpack free picks? College football betting sees the Terrapins taking on the Wolfpack on Friday, December 30th, at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football game predictions like this Terrapins Wolfpack free pick.
College Football Handicapping Analysis: Maryland Terrapins vs. NC State Wolfpack
2022 Duke’s Mayo Bowl
Maryland Terrapins (7-5) vs. NC State Wolfpack (8-4)
Date: Friday, December 30th, 2022
Time: 12:00 PM ET
Venue: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: Terrapins -1 / Wolfpack +1 (Bet Now!)
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: Terrapins -116 / Wolfpack -103
NCAA Betting Total Odds: Total O/U 47.5
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The Duke’s Mayo Bowl sees the Big Ten and ACC face off for postseason bragging rights.
Maryland Terrapins
Tagovailoa actually took a step back this year, regressing both in passing yards and touchdowns, but threw less interceptions and improved upon Maryland’s winning percentage. Their offensive PPA mark sat just 60th though and failed to deliver a signature win.
The Terps ranked just 50th in yards/play, even though they shaded the pass. Senior WR Dontay Demus missed most of the year though which left Maryland without their top pass catching option. Overall, they don’t profile with much explosiveness and really struggle to move the chains in passing downs situations (120th).
Maryland has at times relied on their run game, and RB Roman Hemby nearly passed 1000 rushing yards this season. He recently ran for 3 scores against Rutgers in the final week of the season. NC State has been excellent against the run this season though.
The Terps offense was razed for 142.7 rush yards/game this season which doesn’t bode well against NC State, though they rank 27th in opponent yards/play. NC State doesn’t threaten with an explosive offense so this will likely be a grinding affair. Maryland much better limited teams through the air and ranks 5th in pass explosiveness allowed.
NC State Wolfpack
The Wolfpack offense without Leary this season has been iffy at best and they’ll likely go with Ben Finley who delivered a 2OT win in Chapel Hill on Thanksgiving Weekend. Finley completed 27 of 40 passes for 271 yards and two scores.
NC State ran only 25 times in their game against Carolina, with Michael Allen outsnapping Jordan Houston. The NC State ground attack shows no explosiveness, but they haven’t been highly successful to counter that fact.
The passing attack under Finley looked much more dynamic and I would assume we see that again. Devin Carter produced 6 catches for 130 yards and score, including two explosive plays of 26 and 52 yards. Though Maryland has defending explosiveness well, they rank poorly in success rate allowed, meaning NC State should possess the ball and get it into scoring range.
The Wolfpack defense has been excellent all season long. They rank 27th in defensive PPA, 9th in defensive line yards, 4th in stuff rate and 28th in havoc. Maryland struggles badly in passing downs situations and NC State forces that situation at the 4th highest rate. This should be a grind of a game.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- NC State is 5-6-1 to the over, failing to cover by an average of 3.8 points
- Maryland is 5-7 to the over, failing to cover by an average of 6.6 points
- Maryland is 1-1 ATS as a road favorite, covering by 0.5 point on average
- NC State is 1-3 ATS as a road underdog failing to cover by an average of 4.3 points
4* Duke’s Mayo Bowl NCAA Betting Final Analysis:
Given how these teams profile and the betting trends, I’m siding with the under.
It remains to be seen how long the cold weather will impact the nation, but any weather effects would compliment our decision here. Maryland and State both effectively limit explosiveness and the Wolfpack offense is very lumbering and methodical. It makes sense to go with the under here.
4* Maryland Terrapins vs. NC State Wolfpack NCAA Betting Pick: u47.5
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