Free Week 12 Prediction: Flames vs Tigers Odds
Looking for Liberty Flames vs. Auburn Tigers free picks? Week 12 betting sees the Flames taking on the Tigers on Saturday November 17, 2018 at Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn, Alabama. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Liberty Flames vs. Auburn Tigers free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 12
(4-5) Liberty Flames vs. Auburn Tigers (6-4)
Date: Saturday, November 17th 2018
Time: 4:00 pm EST
Venue: Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, Alabama
NCAA Football Spread: Georgia Southern -28
NCAA Betting Total: 62
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The Auburn Tigers get a much-needed cupcake on Saturday, which will be a welcomed rest from legitimate competition. The SEC isn’t exactly known for scheduling strong non-conference opponents and it takes a lot of criticism for it, but this late-season contest will be a breath of fresh air for the 6-4 Tigers—especially with Alabama around the corner next week.
The question here isn’t whether or not Auburn gets the win—which it should—but whether or not it can cover a big 28-point spread.
The Liberty Flames have been able to move the ball this season without much problem. They are 22nd in the nation in yards per game, totaling an average of 464 per contest.
When breaking it down to ground vs. air, Liberty has a distinct advantage in the latter. When passing the football, the Flamers are collecting 304.4 points per contest, which is good enough for 17th in the country. On the ground, this group is 78th, posting 159.2 yards per game.
All of this has resulted in Liberty scoring 35.4 points per outing. That number is good enough for 28th in FBS.
Unfortunately for the Flames, their defense hasn’t been nearly as productive. In total, the team is 124th in the nation in points per game allowed to opponents. The team is 121st and 116th in run defense and pass defense, respectively.
So far this season, the Tigers are posting just 26.5 points per game. That number is only good enough for 88th in the nation.
In total, Auburn is collecting 367 yards per contest, which puts them down at 99th in the country. On the ground, Auburn is 87th, collecting 149.9 yards on average. Through the air, the team is 84th, nabbing 217 yards per game.
Defensively is where Auburn has made a name for itself this season. On the year, the Tigers are giving up just 18.3 points per game. That number is good enough for 14th in FBS.
When defending the pass, Auburn is just 56th, allowing opponents to collect 221.3 yards per game. On the ground, the Tigers find themselves right around the same ranking. On the year, they’re giving up just 151 yards per contest—good enough for 53rd.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- LIB are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 road games.
- LIB are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- LIB are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games overall.
- Under is 11-3 in AUB last 14 games overall.
- AUB are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- AUB are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
Free Week 12 NCAA Football Pick
The Auburn Tigers aren’t scoring juggernauts, but they have a real chance at putting up big-time points against Liberty’s struggling defense. The only way Liberty has a shot at keeping this one close is if they can establish a surprising ground game early to open up their potent passing attack.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Liberty ATS
Auburn will likely blow this one open late, but the Flames should do enough enough to get them a win against the spread.
Week 12 Free Score Prediction: Auburn Tigers 40 – Liberty Flames 20
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