Free NCAA Pick: Kansas vs. UNLV Odds
Looking for Kansas Jayhawks vs. UNLV Rebels free NCAA 2023 Guaranteed Rate Bowl picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Jayhawks taking on the Rebels on Tuesday, December 26th at the Chase Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Kansas UNLV matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Guaranteed Rate Bowl
(8-4) Kansas Jayhawks vs. UNLV Rebels (9-4)
2023 Guaranteed Rate Bowl
Date: Tuesday, December 26th
Time: 9:00 ET
Venue: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Guaranteed Rate Bowl ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Kansas -11.5 | UNLV +11.5
Guaranteed Rate Bowl CFB Moneyline Odds: Kansas -483 | UNLV +342
College Football Betting Total: O/U 64.5
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Kansas and UNLV did not meet up last season.
The Guaranteed Rate Bowl is the third-ever meeting between Kansas and UNLV. They previously faced off in a home-and-home series during the 2002-03 seasons, with each team securing a victory on their home turf.
UNLV boasts a 3-1 bowl record, while Kansas is 6-7.
The Jayhawks’ last taste of bowl victory came in the 2008 Insight Bowl, where they dominated Minnesota with a 42-21 win.
Conversely, UNLV’s last winning bowl moment dates back to the 2000 Las Vegas Bowl when they convincingly defeated Arkansas 31-14.
This marks the Rebels’ return to the bowl scene after an absence since the 2013 season, marking only their fifth bowl appearance in total.
On the other hand, Kansas finds itself in the rare position of back-to-back bowl appearances, a feat achieved for just the second time in the program’s history.
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Kansas Jayhawks
Kansas is hoping to cruise to another easy win, as in their most recent game they took down Cincinnati by a score of 49-16.
Kansas’ average scoring differential for the season is +7.8 leading to an ATS mark of 7-4. The Jayhawks have been favored six times and the underdog in five games
So far this season, Kansas boasts an over/under record of 5-5-1.
On average, their matchups have resulted in a combined score of 59.3 points, while the average over/under line has been 59 points.
Kansas Jayhawks Stats
Kansas’ offense is averaging 33.6 points per game, which ranks them 30th in the NCAA. Through the air, they’re at 222.7 passing yards on average, putting them at 71st in the nation.
Their rushing attack is currently 11th in rushing yards, with an average of 458 rushing attempts per game this season.
As we head into this week’s game, the Kansas defense ranks 97th for points allowed, with an average of 25.8 points per game. Teams have been gaining 210.5 passing yards per game against them (67th nationally).
Against the run, they’ve given up 168.8 rushing yards, placing them 121st in college football.
In the passing game, the Jayhawks threw the ball 17 times for 250 and two scores against Cincinnati. On the ground, they averaged 9.2 yards per carry and finished with five rushing touchdowns
UNLV Rebels
In their most recent game, UNLV took on Boise State and lost by a score of 44-20. The Rebels trailed Boise State by -14 going into the 4th quarter.
UNLV has gone into six games as the favorite this season and six games as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 9-3.
UNLV has an over/under record of 8-4 so far this season.
On average their games have combined for 61.3 points with the average over/under line being 55.3 points.
UNLV Rebels Stats
UNLV’s offense is averaging 34.3 points per game, which ranks them 17th in the NCAA.
Through the air, they’re at 235.1 passing yards on average, putting them at 48th in the nation. Their rushing attack is currently 20th in rushing yards, with an average of 510 rushing attempts per game this season.
UNLV’s offense scored one times on the ground vs. Boise State and finished with 298 yards of offense. On third down, they went 6/15 and averaged 12.1 yards per completion on their 38 passing attempts.
UNLV’s defense enters the game ranked 91st in passing yards allowed per game. Opponents throw the ball an average of 28.5 times against the Rebels. They have given up 27 PPG, which ranks 122nd in college football.
In terms of rushing yards allowed, they stand at 114th in the NCAA.
Kansas Jayhawks vs. UNLV Rebels NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Jayhawks are 2-3 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Rebels are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Jayhawks are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Rebels have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Jayhawks’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Rebels’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Kansas vs. UNLV Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jayhawks | -450 | -483 | -12.5 | -11.5 |
Rebels | +350 | +342 | +12.5 | +11.5 |
4* Free 2023 Guaranteed Rate Bowl NCAA Betting Prediction: UNLV +11.5
Here’s the breakdown. UNLV has a 3-1 bowl record, KU is 6-7.
Kansas has been on a positive streak in recent bowl games. In the previous year, they were involved in an exciting match, making a remarkable comeback from a 25-point deficit in the Liberty Bowl.
However, they ultimately succumbed to Arkansas in a triple-overtime thriller, with a final score of 55-53. There’s enough returning players on the KU roster to see them pull this one out.
Even though I have Kansas winning this one straight-up, I’d stick to the moneyline. I think with the way bowl games are going this year though we need to look for this to be a closer game than expected with Kansas eventually pulling out a win over UNLV.
UNLV has been doing well, going 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games and 8-3 SU in 11 games. When underdogs, they’re 8-1 ATS. After a big home loss, they’re 3-0-1 ATS.
Meanwhile, Jayhawks struggle as 10.5+ point favorites, going 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games.
Turnovers in the passing game have been a concern for Kansas this season.
In this home underdog scenario, I like UNLV to cover the spread at +11.5.
Heading into this matchup, Kansas’ games have averaged 59.3 points per game. Given that the over/under line for this matchup is at 64.5, I’m taking the under.
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Kansas Jayhawks vs. UNLV Rebels NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Rebels Heading To Phoenix To Face Kansas In Guaranteed Rate Bowl
📰https://t.co/UkHwaXOEhE
🎟️https://t.co/pSEz4KOPbB pic.twitter.com/oVQtR8nF6O— UNLV Football (@unlvfootball) December 4, 2023
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