Free Week 13 Prediction: Fighting Illini vs. Wildcats Odds
Looking for Illinois Fighting Illini free picks? Week 13 betting sees the Fighting Illini taking on the Wildcats on Saturday November 24 at Ryan Field in Evanston, Illinois. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Illinois Northwestern free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 13
(4-7) Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Northwestern Wildcats (7-4)
Date: Saturday, November 24 2018
Time: 3:30 pm EST
Venue: Ryan Field, Evanston, Illinois
NCAA Football Spread: Wildcats -18
NCAA Betting Total: 58
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I suppose Illinois was not a disaster this season but it is hard to see how they get back to relevance in the Big Ten. The last time they had a winning season was 2011 but this is Lovie Smith’s best season so far.
Northwestern has nothing to play for in this spot. They have already clinched the West Division and a spot in the B10 title game for the first time. They play the winner of Michigan vs. Ohio State.
Closing the season on the road is never ideal but Illinois just lost 63-0 to Iowa at home so anything is preferable to that. They should be motivated to finish on a more positive note.
Illinois is actually 11th in the country in rushing. I am not surprised that Smith is old school in his approach but that is pretty good. Reggie Corbin is having a great junior season with other 1000 yards and almost 9 yards per carry. He is questionable though after last week.
When you give up 63 points it is often not all about the defense. Illinois had four turnovers last week, gave up one defensive score and a special teams touchdown. It was a total beatdown The defense has been dreadful all year though so cleaning everything up with one week to go is unlikely.
Per the Intro, Northwestern has been very good in conference play. They do not dominate but the only team they lost do during the regular season was Michigan, and that was by only three. This program is the epitome of just getting it done every week.
The strength of the offense is the passing game led by Clayton Thorson, who more and more looks like he will get a shot in the NFL. They only score 23ppg making their margins very slim.
The Wildcats were also very competitive with Notre Dame, losing by only 10. The defense is pretty salty, yielding just 22ppg – not more than 17 in any B10 game down the stretch as they locked up the division. You may not know how they do it but they do it.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- ILL are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.
- Under is 26-10 in ILL last 36 games on grass.
- NW are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
- NW are 7-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- NW are 22-5-1 ATS in their last 28 conference games.
Free Week 13 NCAA Football Pick
As they are not a big scoring team it is hard to get comfortable with so much chalk on Northwestern, especially where motivation could also be a factor.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Under 58
I rarely go under but like it here. Illinois should clean things up from last week which will make their opponent have to work a little harder scoring wise.
Northwestern will likely play this one pretty vanilla but they are also better than Illinois so a solid low scoring win but no cover.
Week 13 Free Score Prediction: Northwestern 27 – Illinois 17
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