Free Week 12 Prediction: Vandals vs Gators Odds
Looking for Idaho Vandals vs. Florida Gators free picks? Week 12 betting sees the Vandals taking on the Gators on Saturday, November 17, 2018 at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, Florida. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Idaho Vandals Florida Gators free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 12
(4-6) Idaho Vandals vs. Florida Gators (7-3)
Date: Saturday, November 17th 2018
Time: 12:00 pm EST
Venue: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, Florida
NCAA Football Spread: Florida -40
NCAA Betting Total: OFF
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Florida opens as 40-point favorites against Idaho. Obviously, we’re not going to shock you with an upset pick straight up, but there’s a legitimate question here as to whether or not Florida has been good enough to cover. The Vandals have had a couple nice scoring outbursts this season—albeit, against far inferior competition—so there’s potential for Idaho to put their stamp on this game, even if it ends up looking like a blowout.
Idaho began its season with a disastrous 79-13 loss to Fresno State but managed to turn things around winning two of its next three. Since then, however, the team has gone just 2-4 and is coming off a 46-27 loss to the Montana Grizzlies —a game that saw them enter the second half down 36-6.
That right there is what the Vandals need to avoid against Florida. Getting down early is a very real-world scenario that Idaho will be facing, but it’s also what’s going to be their ultimate downfall…if it comes to fruition.
In order to avoid such a fate, the Vandals must run the football in a physical, uphill manner. It’s not going to be easy, but it will do two things: open up the passing game, and drain the clock.
Simply put: The Vandals need to play a bit of keep away in this one. Otherwise, that 30-point halftime deficit against Montana will look like nothing.
Oppositely, the Gators should look to put their feet on the gas and on the throats of Idaho from the get go. A team like Idaho, despite hardly being on anyone’s national radar, is actually capable of putting points on the board. But that strategy of theirs to run out the clock? It goes out the window once they’re down two scores (three if it’s early still) and it forces them to take risks—something this Vandals squad can’t afford to do against a Florida defense giving up just 22.1 points per contest.
Florida also needs to take care of the football. As tempting as it’ll be to take risks against Idaho—and let’s be real here; we’ll probably see some—controlling the ball has to be priority No. 1.
There’s a huge mental aspect to being both a favorite and an underdog. If the favorite starts giving the dog opportunities to put cheap points on the board off extra possessions, the pendulum can switch without warning.
Free Week 12 NCAA Football Pick
The Gators will win this one big. Their defense will keep the Vandals under control. They themselves should also be able to keep the turnovers under control.
But as the Gators get out to a big first-half lead, their willingness to tone it down and settle into their advantage will become clear.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Idaho ATS
Florida gets the win straight up, but the Vandals get the W ATS.
Week 12 Free Score Prediction: Florida Gators 47 – Idaho Vandals 14
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