Free NCAA Pick: Georgia Tech vs. UCF Odds
Looking for Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. UCF Knights free NCAA 2023 Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Yellow Jackets taking on the Knights on Friday, December 22nd at the Raymond James Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Bowl games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Georgia Tech UCF matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl
(6-6) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. UCF Knights (6-6)
Date: Friday, December 22nd
Time: 6:30 ET
Venue: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Georgia Tech +5 | UCF -5
Gasparilla Bowl Moneyline Odds: Georgia Tech +157 | UCF -194
College Football Betting Total: O/U 64.5
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This game signifies the inaugural appearance of a Big 12 team in the Gasparilla Bowl, and this is another of the ESPN owned bowl games.
UCF secured its eighth consecutive bowl game appearance with a 27-13 win against Houston. They wrapped up the season at 6-6, posting a 3-6 record in their inaugural Big 12 campaign.
The 2023 Gasparilla Bowl marks the Yellow Jackets’ 46th bowl appearance, with 25 victories. Georgia Tech concluded the 2023 season at 6-6 overall and 5-3 in the ACC conference.
UCF currently holds the bragging rights over Georgia Tech as in their most recent head to head matchup, they won 27-10. In the game, UCF threw for 49 yards while averaging 6.1 yards per completion.
Georgia Tech ran for 138 compared to 284 for UCF.
Georgia Tech holds a 3-2 all-time record against UCF, but UCF secured wins in the last two meetings in 2020 and 2022.
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Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
After trailing by -11 at halftime, Georgia Tech could not make a comeback and lost their most recent game 31-23 to Georgia.
So far, Georgia Tech has been favored three times and the underdog in eight games. This has led to an ATS record of 7-4 and an average scoring differential of +0.7.
Through 12 games, the average over/under line in Georgia Tech’s games is 56.5 points.
Their games have averaged a combined 61.7 points leading to an OU record of 8-3.
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Stats
Georgia Tech’s offense is averaging 31.2 points per game, which ranks them 42nd in the NCAA.
Through the air, they’re at 235.5 passing yards on average, putting them at 61st in the nation. Their rushing attack is currently 18th in rushing yards, with an average of 436 rushing attempts per game this season.
On defense, Georgia Tech comes into the game ranked 140th in passing yards per game.
Opponents are throwing the ball an average of 27.9 times per contest vs. the Yellow Jackets. Overall, they are giving up 30.5 points per game, which is 130th in college football.
Against the run, they are 171st in the NCAA in rushing yards allowed.
In terms of rushing, the Yellow Jackets’ offense managed two rushing touchdowns against Georgia and covered 205 yards on 44 attempts. However, their passing game didn’t yield a touchdown, producing 158 yards with 20 passes attempted.
Their last Bowl win? 2016’s TaxSlayer Bowl, a 33-18 win over UK. The last bowl game for the Yellow Jackets was the 2018 Quick Lane Bowl. A 34-10 win for the Minnesota Golden Gophers. They have a 25–22–0 (.532) bowl record.
UCF Knights
The Knights’ last played against Houston, with the game ending in a 27-13 win.
Against the spread, UCF has gone 4-7 this season. The Knights have been favored seven times compared to four games as the underdog.
Across 12 games, the average over/under line in UCF’s matchups is 59.8 points. These games have seen an average combined score of 57.9 points, resulting in an OU record of 5-6.
UCF Knights Stats
UCF enters the game on offense with an average of 32.5, ranking them 34th in the NCAA. Their passing game has them at 45th in the nation, with an average of 259.2 passing yards per game.
On the ground, they’re at 7th in rushing yards, with an average of 494 rushing attempts per game this season.
The Knights’ ended with 27 pass attempts vs Houston, racking up 253 yards and one score.
In the rushing department, they averaged 5.2 yards per carry, resulting in three rushing touchdowns.
On defense, UCF comes into the game ranked 150th in passing yards per game. Opponents are throwing the ball an average of 29.5 times per contest vs. the Knights. Overall, they are giving up 25.4 points per game, which is 94th in college football.
Against the run, they are 149th in the NCAA in rushing yards allowed.
FACT: This is the 3rd time in 5 years UCF will play in the Gasparilla Bowl.
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. UCF Knights NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Yellow Jackets are 4-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Knights are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Yellow Jackets are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Knights have gone 3-7 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Yellow Jackets’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Knights’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
Georgia Tech vs. UCF Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yellow Jackets | +176 | +157 | +5.5 | +5 |
Knights | -215 | -194 | -5.5 | -5 |
4* Free 2023 Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl NCAA Betting Prediction: Georgia Tech +5
This year we get UCF favored by 4.5 points against Georgia Tech in the 2023 Gasparilla Bowl, with the total set at 63.5 points for both teams. UCF’s moneyline odds are -188, while Georgia Tech is at +155 to win outright.
The 2022 Gasparilla Bowl was the highest-rated pre-Christmas Bowl game. Wake Forest’s 27-17 win over Missouri attracted a huge audience. This year it’s the only bowl game on in this time slot.
While I have UCF to come out on top, I’d recommend going with the moneyline. This game could turn out to be closer than anticipated, but I do see UCF securing the win against Georgia Tech.
Georgia Tech had an impressive performance in their last game, particularly in the ground game against Houston. I anticipate them to replicate that success, which is why I’m backing Georgia Tech before kickoff.
If you want to know about the betting trends for the Gasparilla Bowl matchup, I’ve got you covered. Georgia Tech has been performing well, with a 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 games. They’ve also excelled as underdogs, going 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in that role.
On the other hand, UCF has struggled, winning only 3 out of their last 9 games and going 1-5 ATS against ACC opponents.
I’m going with Georgia Tech to cover as 5-point underdogs in this matchup, but this one’s going to be close!
With the over/under line at 64.5, our prediction is that this game will go over, concluding with a combined total of 68 points.
My handicapping models predict a high-scoring game with plenty of back-and-forth action. Both offenses are in the top third of the country for EPA/Play, while both defenses rank in the bottom third, indicating a favorable setup for both teams.
Now, if you’re interested in the over/under trends for this game, here’s some info for you. The total score has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia Tech’s last 6 games, and this trend continues when they are favorites, with the over hitting in their last 5 games in that situation.
Additionally, when they are underdogs by 3.5 to 10 points in neutral site games, the over has hit in their last 4 matchups.
2023 Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl Handicapping
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Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. UCF Knights NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Staying in the Sunshine State 🌴⚔️ pic.twitter.com/WTWbgL2Vn4
— UCF Football (@UCF_Football) December 3, 2023
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