Free NCAA Pick: Georgia State vs. Utah State Odds
Looking for Georgia State Panthers vs. Utah State Aggies free NCAA 2023 Famous Idaho Potato Bowl picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Panthers taking on the Aggies on Saturday, December 23rd at the Albertsons Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Bowl games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Georgia State Utah State matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
(6-6) Georgia State Panthers vs. Utah State Aggies (6-6)
2023 Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Date: Saturday, December 23rd
Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Georgia State -1 | Utah State +1
Idaho Bowl Moneyline Odds: Georgia State -110 | Utah State -111
College Football Betting Total: O/U 63
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I can hardly wait for this one…seriously. Previously known as the Humanitarian Bowl and MPC Computers Bowl, this game has undergone name changes over the years.
Let me provide you with the journey to Idaho. Utah State encountered six bowl teams this season, including #20 Iowa and Mountain West champion Boise State, and they performed admirably.
Their season is far from a write-off. On the other hand, the Panthers ignited their 2023/24 season with a strong start, going 6-1 before facing a setback in their final 5 games. It’s quite a contrast.
While they averaged over 32 PPG in their first 7 , their average dropped to 19 PPG in the latter part of the season, showcasing the tale of two seasons.
There wasn’t a head-to-head matchup between Georgia State and Utah State last season. In fact, these two have never played each other. It’s Utah State’s 5th appearance in this bowl game, for the Panthers it’s their first.
Sun Belt vs. Mountain West in the Idaho Potato Bowl in just under a week!
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Georgia State Panthers
It’s a good thing the Panthers have some depth, the transfer portal hasn’t been overly kind.
Marcus Carroll, Robert Lewis, and offensive tackle Montavious Cunningham are all gone.
Georgia State couldn’t hold on to their 7-0 first quarter lead against Old Dominion and ended up losing to the Monarchs by a score of 25-24.
Against the spread, Georgia State has gone 5-5-1 this season.
The Panthers have been favored five times compared to five games as the underdog.
This season, Georgia State has posted an over/under record of 4-7 through 12 games. On average their games have combined for 56.5 points.
Georgia State Panthers Stats
Georgia State comes into the game with an offense averaging 25.8, which places them at 65th in the NCAA rankings. Their passing game has them ranked 94th nationally, with an average of 201.2 passing yards.
In the rushing department, they’re 56th in the nation, with 463 rushing attempts per game for the season.
Looking at this week’s game, the Georgia State defense stands at 131st in points allowed, permitting 30.8 points on average per game. So far, opposing teams have managed 287.1 passing yards per game against them (176th).
On the ground, they’re conceding 145.2 rushing yards, ranking them 70th in college football.
Through the air, the Panthers’ attempted 36 passes against Old Dominion, gaining 203 yards and securing two scores. On the ground, they maintained an average of 2.4 yards per carry, resulting in one rushing touchdown.
Their best wins this season came against pretty good Sun Belt competition. They took down Coastal Carolina, Louisiana, and Marshall.
Utah State Aggies
Utah State is coming off a thrilling 44-41 win over New Mexico. The two teams needed overtime to settle the game, as they were all tied at 31-31 at the end of regulation.
Heading into this week’s matchup with Georgia State, the Aggies have been favored in two games and the underdog in seven.
Their ATS mark coming into the game is 4-5.
Heading into this week’s game, Utah State’s over/under record is 6-3. Their average margin against their over/under lines is currently +9.2 with their games averaging 67.9 points per game.
Utah State Aggies Stats
On offense, Utah State comes into the game averaging 34.1, which is 27th in the NCAA.
On average, they are averaging 259.8 passing yards (44th) compared to 34th in rushing yards. For the season, they are averaging 464 rushing attempts per contest.
The Aggies’ finished with 27 pass attempts vs. New Mexico, accumulating 198 yards and two scores.
In the rushing game, they averaged 6.0 yards per carry and notched four rushing touchdowns.
This season, the Aggies’ defense has yielded an average of 201.7 rushing yards, earning them a rank of 58th. Opponents have an average of 216.5 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks attaining a passer rating of 93.1 when facing Utah State.
They are currently 12th in points allowed in NCAA rankings.
Georgia State Panthers vs. Utah State Aggies NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Panthers are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Aggies are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Panthers are 6-3-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Aggies have gone 2-8 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Panthers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Aggies’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Georgia State vs. Utah State Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Panthers | -142 | -110 | -2.5 | -1 |
Aggies | +120 | -111 | +2.5 | +1 |
4* Free 2023 Famous Idaho Potato Bowl NCAA Betting Prediction: Georgia State -1
The way to go on the moneyline is to take Georgia State. I expect them not only to grab the win win against Utah State but also to cover the spread.
I’m picking Georgia State to cover the spread at -1. I’m expecting the Georgia State rushing attack to exploit the deficiencies in Utah State’s rush defense, which had trouble defending the run in their last game.
A few trends I’ve dug up. The Aggies are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games vs. Sun Belt teams, while Georgia State are 13-4 straight up in their last 17 games when they’re the favorite by the oddsmakers.
For this matchup, I like Georgia State at -1.
On the over/under, I have the best bet being to take the UNDER at 63.
This looks like a slam dunk bet for me, as my gut tells me the UNDER will hit as well as our model projecting a combined 59 points.
I’ve done some online research to find betting trends for Bowl games, and here’s what I found to make it easy for you. If you’re interested in over/under trends, here’s some valuable information to guide your betting decisions for this matchup.
Utah State games in December have often gone UNDER, with 12 out of their last 14 games hitting the UNDER mark. Similarly, Georgia State has seen the UNDER in 6 out of their last 9 games and 4 out of 5 games played on Saturdays.
2023 Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Handicapping
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Georgia State Panthers vs. Utah State Aggies NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
𝗕𝗢𝗪𝗟𝗜𝗡' 𝗜𝗡 𝗕𝗢𝗜𝗦𝗘! 🥔
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Georgia State vs. Utah State
December 23 | 3:30 PM ET
ESPN | Albertsons Stadium#LightItBlue | #BeatUtahState pic.twitter.com/5A0n2n0695— GSU Football (@GeorgiaStateFB) December 3, 2023
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