Free Week 11 Prediction: Bulldogs vs Broncos Odds
Looking for Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Boise State Broncos free picks? Week 11 betting sees the Bulldogs taking on the Broncos Friday November 9th at Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Fresno State Boise State free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 11
(8-1) Fresno State Broncos vs. Boise State Broncos (7-2)
Date: Friday, November 9th, 2018
Time: 10:15 pm EST
Venue: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, Idaho
NCAA Football Spread: Fresno State Bulldogs -3
NCAA Betting Total: 54
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This Friday night matchup features a pair of Mountain West foes. The Fresno State Bulldogs play in the Mountain division, while the Boise State Broncos play in the West division. This could certainly be a preview of the Mountain West championship game in early December.
Because these teams are in separate divisions, they do not play each other all that much. Their last matchup came in the 2017 Mountain West title game. The Broncos ended up winning the game 17-14, so the Bulldogs will be seeking revenge and will look to continue their unbeaten record in conference play.
Fresno State Bulldogs
Fresno State have won 7 games in a row after starting the season 1-1. They have yet to lose a game in conference play and with a win over the Broncos they will be one step closer to the title game
This season the Bulldogs have had a very high scoring offense. They average 40.4 points per game, which ranks at 13th in the country. More specifically, the Bulldogs lean towards their passing offense over their rushing offense. Their quarterback, Marcus McMaryion, has thrown for 2416 yards, 20 touchdowns and only 3 interceptions.
Believe it or not, the Bulldogs have the 2nd best defense in the country when it comes to points allowed per game. They are only allowing 12.3, which sits right behind Michigan. Ranking wise, their pass defense is 15th and their rush defense is 30th. Boise State is a pass first team, so expect the Fresno State secondary to be tested all game long.
Boise State Broncos
The Broncos are in must win mode considering they already lost one conference game earlier this season. They are trying to catch Utah State, who are undefeated in conference play, so they can try and defend their Mountain West title. If the Broncos can pull the upset, they will have the chance to win the division later this season when they face off with Utah State.
The Broncos have lit up opponents’ secondary this year and are averaging 318.9 passing yards per game. They rank as the 11th team in the country in passing offense. Led by quarterback, Brett Rypien, the Broncos will need their offense firing on all cylinders if they are going to score on the stout Fresno State defense.
Defensively, the Broncos have played well this year, but they will need to step it up a notch against a high powered offense. They allow an average of 23.7 points per game which only ranks 41st, but if they can hold the Bulldogs to score in the mid 20’s they will have a shot to pull the upset and keep their Mountain West title hopes alive.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- FRES are 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 road games.
- FRES are 25-4-1 ATS in their last 30 games overall.
- Under is 8-0 in FRES last 8 games in November.
- Under is 17-7 in BSU last 24 home games.
- BSU are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 home games.
Free Week 11 NCAA Football Pick
Fresno State is on a roll right now and they pick up a much needed win to stay undefeated in the Mountain West conference.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Fresno State Bulldogs -3
Both defenses have played very well this season, which is why this game will be relatively low scoring and the Bulldogs will be able to cover on the blue turf.
Week 11 Free Score Prediction: Fresno State 28 – Boise State 24
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