Free NCAAF Pick: Seminoles vs. Cardinal Odds
Looking for Florida State Seminoles vs. Stanford Cardinal Free NCAA Week 8 picks & NCAA odds? NCAAF betting sees the Seminoles taking on the Cardinal on 10/18 at Stanford Stadium, in Stanford. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NCAA football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NCAAF predictions like this Seminoles Cardinal free pick.
2025 NCAAF Handicapping – Florida State Seminoles vs Stanford Cardinal
(3-3) Florida State Seminoles vs. Stanford Cardinal (2-4)
Date: Oct 18, 2025
Time: 10:30 PM ET
Venue: Stanford Stadium in Stanford, CA
NCAAF Moneyline Odds: Seminoles -935 | Cardinal +595 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAF Spread Betting Odds: Seminoles -18.0 | Cardinal +18.0
NCAAF Football Gambling Total: O/U: 53.5
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Seminoles vs. Cardinal Gameday
Week 8 wraps up under the lights at Stanford Stadium as the Florida State Seminoles travel west to face the Stanford Cardinal. Kickoff is set for 10:30 PM ET on ESPN, and both programs will be looking to turn their seasons around after recent stumbles.
Florida State enters the matchup at 3-3 overall, still searching for its first conference win (0-3). The Seminoles have dropped three straight, including close losses to Pittsburgh and Miami.
Despite their struggles, their offensive production remains among the nation’s best.
Meanwhile, Stanford sits at 2-4, with a 1-2 record in conference play. The Cardinal have been far better at home — winning both games at Stanford Stadium — but are coming off a tough 34-10 loss to SMU.
They’ll need another strong home effort to pull off the upset.
This marks a rare non-conference clash between ACC powerhouse talent and a rebuilding Pac-12 program.
Both teams are hungry for a win — one to stop a skid, the other to climb back toward respectability.
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Florida State Seminoles vs. Stanford Cardinal Odds & Last 5
Oddsmakers have Florida State as a heavy favorite at -922 on the moneyline, while Stanford sits at +606. The spread leans firmly toward the Seminoles, showing confidence in their high-powered offense despite recent losses.
Florida State’s last three outings have all been competitive but frustrating. They dropped games to Virginia (27-21), Miami (37-31), and Pittsburgh (34-31).
Their attack continues to pile up yards — it just hasn’t translated into wins lately.
Stanford, meanwhile, continues to show flashes of progress. They squeaked out a 30-29 win over San Jose State but followed that up with a flat performance in a 34-10 loss to SMU.
Their home-field edge could help them stay competitive against a more athletic Seminoles squad.
Cardinal Stats
Stanford’s offense has been streaky this season. The Cardinal have scored 113 total points (82nd nationally) while ranking 58th in passing with 1,445 yards. Their rushing game has lagged behind, ranking 120th with just 569 yards.
Defensively, Stanford has allowed 181 points (108th), but there are positives. They’ve recorded 12 sacks (14th) and recovered 4 fumbles (5th), showing their ability to generate turnovers. Their pass rush remains one of their more consistent strengths.
QB Ben Gulbranson has thrown for 1,445 yards with 6 touchdowns and 4 interceptions.
RB Micah Ford has led the ground game with 400 yards, while WR CJ Williams has been reliable through the air, hauling in 412 receiving yards.
Seminoles Stats
Florida State’s offense remains a powerhouse despite recent losses. The Seminoles rank 5th nationally in both total points (265) and rushing yards (1,655).
Their passing attack adds another 1,572 yards, putting them 39th overall — a balanced, explosive combination when firing on all cylinders.
QB Tommy Castellanos has been the offensive catalyst. Through six games, he’s thrown for 1,365 yards with 9 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. His mobility adds an extra element that keeps defenses guessing, though turnovers have occasionally stalled drives.
On defense, Florida State ranks 82nd in points allowed (138) but has been dangerous in creating pressure and takeaways. They’ve tallied 16 sacks (10th) and 8 interceptions (also 10th), proving they can flip momentum quickly. However, they’ve yet to recover a fumble this season.
The Seminoles’ biggest issue? Finishing games.
Despite outgaining opponents in multiple losses, lapses in late-game execution have turned potential wins into frustrating defeats.
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Seminoles vs. Cardinal QB Matchup
Ben Gulbranson has been a steady presence for Stanford. In six games, he’s thrown for 1,445 yards with 6 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. His arm strength gives the Cardinal some explosive potential, but inconsistency has kept the offense from sustaining drives.
Florida State’s Tommy Castellanos brings a more dynamic style. He’s passed for 1,365 yards and 9 touchdowns but also tossed 5 interceptions.
Castellanos’ athleticism often bails out the offense, but he’ll need to tighten up decision-making against a Stanford defense that’s been opportunistic at home.
Florida State Seminoles vs. Stanford Cardinal bottom line: The Seminoles’ speed and offensive balance should eventually overwhelm Stanford, even on the road.
Florida State Seminoles vs. Stanford Cardinal Football Betting Trends
- Florida State is 24-6 straight up as a favorite in their last 30 games.
- FSU has gone over the total in 5 of their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Florida State is 4-1 over/under after a loss in their last 5 games.
- Also, Stanford is 3-0 straight up in their last 3 home games.
- Stanford has gone over the total in 5 of their last 7 games after a loss.
- Additionally, Stanford is 2-1 over/under as an underdog in their last 3 games.
Seminoles vs Cardinal Prediction: Florida State -17.5
Here is my Seminoles Cardinal free pick. The Florida State Seminoles continue to dominate when listed as favorites, winning 24 of their last 30 in that role.
They’ve also been money for bettors lately, hitting the over in five straight as favorites — a sign that their offense rarely takes its foot off the gas, even in lopsided matchups.
Stanford, meanwhile, has shown some life at home with three straight wins, but their inconsistencies remain glaring. Sitting at just 2-4 overall and struggling on the road, the Cardinal’s defense has been a major issue, giving up 181 total points — one of the weaker marks nationally.
Florida State’s offense has been on another level this season, ranking fifth in the country in both points scored and rushing yards.
Their explosive backfield and balanced attack should overwhelm a Stanford defense that’s had trouble containing power-running teams.
With Florida State’s elite offense and Stanford’s defensive issues, laying the -17.5 looks like the clear play.
The Seminoles’ combination of speed, balance, and depth makes them dangerous in every phase of the game. Given their strong track record as favorites and ability to pile up points quickly, Florida State is well-positioned to cover comfortably in Palo Alto.
Today’s NCAAF Free Pick
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NCAAF Betting Tweet Of The Day
Back on The Farm for game seven 🌲
🆚 Florida State
📅 Saturday, Oct. 18
📍Stanford Stadium
⏰ 7:30 PM
📺 @ESPN pic.twitter.com/9DwOpE9Hne— Stanford Football (@StanfordFball) October 13, 2025
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