Free Week 5 Prediction: Gators vs Bulldogs Odds
Looking for Florida Gators vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs free picks? Week 5 betting sees the Gators taking on the Bulldogs Saturday September 29th at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field in Mississippi State, Mississippi. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Tennessee Georgia free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 5
(3-1) Florida Gators vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-1)
Date: Saturday, September 29th 2018
Time: 6:00 pm EST
Venue: Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field, Mississippi State, Mississippi
NCAA Football Spread: Mississippi State -7.5
NCAA Betting Total: 50
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The Florida Gators got the job done in their last outing as the forced the Tennessee Volunteers to turn the ball over six times en route to a 47-21 victory.
The Mississippi State Bulldogs will be looking to rebound after a 7-28 stunner to the hands of the Kentucky Wildcats.
Mississippi State opened up as 8 point favorites while the line is currently sitting between 7.5 and 8.5 points with about 57% of the public backing Florida.
The total opened up at 52.5 points and has since dropped to 50 total points.
Florida’s offense benefited from the plethora of turnovers and made the most of it totaling 387 yards, 201 yards of which came on the ground as they averaged 5.9 YPC.
QB Feleipe Franks completed 9 of his 18 passes for 172 yards and three touchdowns.
RBs Jordan Scarlett and Dameon Pierce led the rushing attack combining for 140 yards and two touchdowns.
WRs Freddie Swain and Tyrie Cleveland led the aerial assault combining for 131 yards and two touchdowns on four receptions.
On the defensive side they gave up 364 total yards, while their secondary was greedy only allowing Tennessee to complete 10 of their 25 passes for 208 yards while also adding two interceptions.
They also added one sack and nine tackles for a loss.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Mississippi’s offense was blindsided was an underrated Kentucky defense as they could only produce 201 yards and 11 first downs.
They couldn’t get much from QB Nick Fitzgerald who completed 16 of 32 passes for 145 yards and one interception.
The rushing attack was nonexistent as their leading rusher was RB Aeris Williams who rushed for 22 yards on eight carries.
WR Osirus Mitchell led the all wide receivers with six receptions for 65 yards.
On the defensive side, Mississippi State gave up 300 total yards, 229 yards of which came on the ground.
They did a solid job on third downs only allowing Kentucky to convert 3 of their 11 attempts, while they also added three sacks and 10 tackles for a loss.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
Over is 13-6 in FLA last 19 games in September.
MSST are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games.
Under is 7-3 in MSST last 10 home games.
MSST are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Free Week 5 NCAA Football Pick
Mississippi State goes full throttle from start to finish to take down Florida.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Mississippi State -7.5 & UNDER 50
Mississippi State is coming off a loss they are probably still fuming about, and that is bad new for a Florida team that has gone 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on the road while also going 1-4-1 ATS in their last six against Mississippi State.
Florida should stay in this one for most of the game, but Franks isn’t to be trusted on the road until he proves otherwise.
Another edge factor that plays in Mississippi State’s favor is they get a chance to take down their ex-head coach.
Back the home team who and lay the points in this one, while this contest flaunts solid defenses so the under is at play as well.
Week 5 Free Score Prediction: Mississippi State 27 – Florida 17
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