Free Week 8 Prediction: Blue Devils vs. Cavaliers Odds
Looking for Duke Blue Devils vs. Virginia Cavaliers free picks? Week 8 betting sees the Blue Devils taking on the Cavaliers on Saturday October 19th at Scott Stadium, Charlottesville, Virginia. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Duke Virginia Week 8 free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 8
(4-2) Duke Blue Devils vs. Virginia Cavaliers (4-2)
Date: Saturday, October 19th 2019
Time: 3:30 pm EST
Venue: Scott Stadium, Charlottesville, Virginia
NCAA Football Spread: Virginia -3
NCAA Betting Total: 45
Click here to view… CFB ATS Stats & NCAAF Betting Insight for this game!
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The market is down on UVA right now and deservedly so. They had a prime time game at Miami and they did not look good. That might be underselling it.
At the same time Duke has probably looked better than expected this season. They are not elite but crafty.
Still I see this as a buying opportunity on Virginia. Maybe they are not as good as their preseason hype but they are still really good.
Duke Blue Devils
The Blue Devils got their free space on the board in beating Georgia Tech last week. They have been mostly impressive only losing to Alabama and Pitt.
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With Daniel Jones in the NFL the offense is not that explosive this season but they are balanced. They get more out of their yards and convert opportunities better than most teams.
We never really think about Duke as a strong defensive program because we assume they are not getting the athletes of others in the ACC. That might be true but they are schematically strong and only give up 23ppg.
The key for Duke is Quentin Harris, who is a dual threat QB. The two games in which he three interceptions are the two games that Duke has lost this season. Might not have mattered against Bama but against Pitt, could have been the difference.
Duke is no pushover but they are not going to overwhelm opponents either. This could be a spot where they don’t actually have a coaching advantage.
Virginia Cavaliers
I was hot on UVA coming into the season. They are 2-1 in the conference and this is a big game because the Blue Devils are 2-1 too. Whoever wins will be in great shape.
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Virginia needs this one now to stop a two game losing streak and because they are hitting the road the next two weeks to take on North Carolina, another 2-1 team and Louisville (the Cards are next up).
Bryce Perkins is a great athlete but he is not having the great senior season many had hoped he would. He has already had three games with multiple interceptions. UVA is just not built to win that way.
Virginia lost CB Bryce Hall for the rest of the season and he is really, really good. They have been putting up great defensive numbers all year though and I expect that to continue.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- DUKE are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games.
- Under is 10-4 in DUKE last 14 games as an underdog.
- Under is 14-6 in DUKE last 20 games in October.
- Under is 8-2 in UVA last 10 games in October.
- Over is 19-8-1 in UVA last 28 games as a favorite.
- UVA are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 home games.
Free Week 8 NCAA Football Pick
I think this one is a huge buying opportunity on the home side. There is just too much recency bias being baked into that number. I would take UVA at home -3 against 90% of the nation.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Virginia -3
Duke is not going to roll over but I think it will be noticeable on the field the differences in terms if strength and speed. Harris can do a lot but I am not relying on him to outplay Perkins.
Perkins will not have to be great just stay within the gameplan and not make the big mistake. At home and off a couple of losses I think he can do just that.
Week 8 Free Score Prediction: Virginia 27 – Duke 17
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