Free Week 11 Prediction: Rams vs Wolfpack Odds
Looking for Colorado State Rams vs. Nevada Wolfpack free picks? Week 11 betting sees the Colorado State Rams taking on the Nevada Wolfpack on Saturday, November 30 at Mackay Stadium in Reno, NV. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Colorado State Nevada free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 11
(3-6) Colorado State Rams vs. Nevada Wolfpack (5-4)
Date: Saturday, November 30, 2018
Time: 10:30 pm EST
Venue: Mackay Stadium, Reno, NV
NCAA Football Spread: Nevada -14
NCAA Betting Total: 65
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The Colorado State Rams and Nevada Wolfpack have had two weeks to prepare for their meeting at Mackay Stadium on Saturday night. As each team comes off their bye week, the quest to become bowl eligible is on the line for both squads.
The Colorado State Rams have the potential to go 6 – 6 and find their way to a bowl game, although it will take a perfect 3 – finish to the season to pull it off.
The Rams will face Utah State and Air Force after their encounter with Nevada, although they are listed as 2 TD underdogs this weekend on the road.
The Wolfpack have won their last two games, and could become bowl eligible with a win this weekend.
After a tough 4 point loss to Boise State left the Wolfpack facing a 3 – 4 record, wins over Hawaii and San Diego State have Nevada eyeing the post season.
Colorado State Rams
The Colorado State Rams were in a similar position to the Wolfpack just a few weekends ago. They too were 3 – 4, but two straight losses now have the Rams facing a 3 – 6 record coming into this weekend.
The issues for Colorado State start with the offense and end with the defense. It’s that simple, because they rank 124th running the ball, and 119th in points allowed on the other side of the ball.
The passing game has been the most consistent part of the offense this year, as the Rams rank 16th in the nation in passing yards per game (310.3).
It does appear, however, that the K.J Carta-Samuels project has come to an end, as Collin Hill has now assumed the starting QB role.
Hill put up decent numbers against Wyoming in the team’s last game two weekend ago. He ended up 35 for 54 with 333 yards, although he threw 2 picks and didn’t find the end zone once.
Wyoming came away with a 34 – 21 over the Rams, and jumped out to a 24 – 0 lead before the Rams responded.
Colorado State didn’t get on the board until the last minute of the 3rd quarter, although the offense had some success in the 4th quarter putting 14 points on the board.
It is yet to be seen if the bye week will hurt or help the little momentum the Wolfpack gained after winning their last two games. It is, in fact, the only two-game win streak the Pack have in 2018, although a bowl bid awaits should they get past the Rams at home this weekend.
Senior QB Ty Gangi might have put up better numbers as a junior than he will end up putting up in his final year with the Wolfpack. Gangi produced 25 passing touchdowns and added 4 scores in the ground game a season ago. This year, his completion percentage is down from a year ago, and he has a 16 / 7 TD / INT ratio.
Another strange stat comes when you look at Nevada’s leading receivers in 2018. Kaleb Fossum has caught a team-leading 55 balls this year, which is 21 more than McLane Mannix’s 34 grabs.
Mannix has found the end zone 6 times, while Fossum doesn’t even know what the end zone looks like. Fossum transferred over from Washington State, and has still never seen the end zone in his collegiate career, despite all the catches he’s made.
Elijah Cooks has found the end zone 5 times from Gangi as well, and he only has 19 catches on the season.
Freshmen Toa Taua wears #35 for the Wolfpack. He goes where the ball goes, or at least the ball finds him often enough. Watch for Taua to once again be involved in every aspect of the offense in this game. Dude is all over the field, and can run, throw, and catch anything that comes his way.
This total opened at 61, and in only two days has jumped 4 points to 65. Might that mean we could be expecting some points here?
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Rams are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
- Rams are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 conference games.
- Over is 4-1 in Rams last 5 conference games.
- Wolf Pack are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
- Under is 4-1 in Wolf Pack last 5 games overall.
- Under is 6-2 in Wolf Pack last 8 games following a bye week.
- Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Free Week 11 NCAA Football Pick
The bye-week for both sides gives them time to address what needs to be corrected, but the talent hasn’t changed. These are the teams we think they are, and no one should expect defense to be a thing.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: The Nevada Wolfpack are favored at -13.5, with a 65 showing on the total. Free ATS or O/U final score pick provided below!
The play indeed goes towards that rising total, because it could hit 68 and it wouldn’t scare me from offering it. let it float where ever it wants, but get it while you can. The Over 65 is your 4* play in Nevada.
Week 11 Free Score Prediction: Colorado State 31 -Nevada 42
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