Free NCAAF Pick: Tigers vs. Tar Heels Odds
Looking for Clemson Tigers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels Free NCAA Week 6 picks & NCAA odds? NCAAF betting sees the Tigers taking on the Tar Heels on 10/4 at Kenan Stadium, in North Carolina. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NCAA football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NCAAF predictions like this Tigers Tar Heels free pick.
2025 NCAAF Handicapping – Clemson Tigers vs North Carolina Tar Heels
(1-3) Clemson Tigers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels (2-2)
Date: Oct 04, 2025
Time: 12:00 PM ET
Venue: Kenan Stadium in North Carolina, NC
NCAAF Moneyline Odds: Tigers -601 | Tar Heels +426 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAF Spread Betting Odds: Tigers -14.0 | Tar Heels +14.0
NCAAF Football Gambling Total: O/U: 45.5
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Tigers vs. Tar Heels Gameday
This week Clemson heads to Chapel Hill looking for a reset. The Tigers sit at 1-3 overall and 0-2 in the ACC, dragging a two-game skid into Kenan Stadium. Saturday’s kickoff is locked in for noon on ESPN.
Meanwhile, North Carolina is sitting at 2-2 and still waiting for its first taste of conference play. The Tar Heels are trying to rebound after a lopsided loss to UCF. At home, they’ll want to show they’re sharper than what we saw last week.
Historically, Clemson has had the upper hand. They’ve taken the last two meetings against UNC, giving them confidence that this matchup can steady their season. However, both sides need this win to get moving in the ACC.
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It’s Week 6, Clemson Tigers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels — a noon showdown with pressure on both programs.
Clemson Tigers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels Odds & Last 5
First, let’s get to the odds. Clemson is favored at -607 on the moneyline, while UNC checks in at +436 as the underdog. The spread sits at Clemson -14, with a total of 42.
Recently, Clemson hasn’t found rhythm. They lost to Syracuse 34-21 and fell to Georgia Tech 24-21, with their lone win coming over Troy. On the flip side, UNC has looked equally inconsistent — hammered by UCF and TCU, but cruising past Richmond and Charlotte.
Therefore, the books see Clemson as the safer bet, but both sides have shown glaring weaknesses.
Tar Heels Stats
To begin, North Carolina’s offense has been below average. They’ve put up 84 points (77th nationally), with the passing game stuck at 600 yards (124th). That’s not the profile of a team built to trade scores.
Defensively, they’ve been better. They rank 17th in sacks (4) and 5th in interceptions (4). Those numbers give them a shot to swing momentum if Clemson gets sloppy.
In terms of results, UNC looked sharp in a 41-6 win over Richmond, then cratered against UCF with just nine points. Consistency remains their biggest hurdle.
Key players include Gio Lopez, who’s thrown for 430 yards, Demon June with 250 rushing yards, and Chas Nimrod as a reliable target. Still, injuries to Austin Blaske and questions around Pryce Yates and William Boone could thin their lineup.
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Tigers Stats
Similarly, Clemson hasn’t clicked on offense. They’ve scored 79 points (81st) but do have 996 passing yards (74th), thanks to Cade Klubnik airing it out.
Defensively, they’ve been their usual aggressive self. Ten sacks rank them 11th, while three interceptions put them 4th. That edge could be what keeps them competitive while the offense figures itself out.
Recently, it’s been a mixed bag — losses to Syracuse and Georgia Tech sandwiched around a win against Troy. For a program used to dominating the ACC, that’s not cutting it.
Finally, injuries are also a storyline. Armon Mason and Misun Kelley are question marks, which could thin both sides of the ball. Klubnik’s 996 yards and six touchdowns are solid, but the four interceptions show he’s pressing.
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Tigers vs. Tar Heels QB Matchup
For UNC, Gio Lopez has been serviceable, throwing for 430 yards with three touchdowns and three interceptions across four games. Backup Max Johnson has chipped in with 170 yards and two TDs, avoiding turnovers in limited work.
For Clemson, Cade Klubnik has been the focal point. Nearly 1,000 yards in four games is impressive, and six touchdowns show his ability to make plays. Yet four interceptions highlight his struggles with ball security.
Bottom line in this Clemson Tigers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels matchup: Klubnik gives Clemson more firepower, but UNC’s opportunistic defense could make this QB duel tighter than the odds suggest.
Clemson Tigers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels Football Betting Trends
- Clemson is 13-2 straight up after a loss in their last 15 games.
- Clemson is 8-4 against the spread after a loss in their last 12 games.
- Clemson is 19-9 straight up in away games in their last 28 games.
- Also, North Carolina is 15-9 straight up after a loss in their last 24 games.
- North Carolina is 2-1 against the spread in all games this year.
- Additionally, the total has gone over in 4 of Clemson’s last 6 games after a loss.
Tigers vs Tar Heels Prediction: North Carolina +14
Clemson has a reputation for bouncing back after losses, but this season has been anything but typical. At just 1-3 overall and still searching for their first road win, laying two touchdowns feels like too much to trust right now.
Meanwhile, North Carolina has covered in two of their three lined games this year, and playing at home gives them an edge in keeping things competitive.
The Tar Heels may not be perfect, but they’ve shown they can stay within the number, especially against opponents who have struggled to find consistency.
Clemson’s defense still has bite, yet the lack of offensive rhythm makes them tough to back as a heavy favorite.
All in all, grabbing North Carolina +14 looks like the smarter play. The Heels have the form and home advantage needed to stay within the spread.
Today’s NCAAF Free Pick
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NCAAF Betting Tweet Of The Day
Game 5️⃣
Kicking off ACC play at home!
🗓️: October 4
⌚️: 12:00 PM
📺: @espn pic.twitter.com/DvowQaaAzm— Carolina Football (@UNCFootball) September 29, 2025
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