Free NCAA Football Prediction: Cincinnati vs. Louisville Odds
Looking for Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Louisville Cardinals free picks? College football betting sees the Bearcats taking on the Cardinals on Saturday, December 17th, at Fenway Park in Boston, MA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football game predictions like this Bearcats Cardinals free pick for the 2022 Wasabi Fenway Bowl.
College Football Handicapping Analysis: Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Louisville Cardinals
2022 Wasabi Fenway Bowl
Cincinnati Bearcats 9-3 vs. Louisville Cardinals 7-5
Date: Saturday, December 17th
Time: 11:00 PM ET
Venue: Fenway Park Boston
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: Bearcats 2.5 / Cardinals -2.5 (Bet Now!)
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: Bearcats 110 / Cardinals -133
NCAA Betting Total Odds: Total O/U 44.5
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Cincinnati Bearcats
So far, the Bearcats not only had a strong overall record (9-3), but they also played well in American Athletic play, going 6-2.
The Bearcats dropped their last game to Tulane by a score of 27-24. Cincinnati entered the action as 1.0 point underdogs at home.
The Bearcats head into the game with the 54th-ranked scoring offense at 31.08 points per game. Currently, they have scored a majority of their touchdowns through the air, with 21 receiving touchdowns compared to 19 rushing scores.
The Bearcats will look to once again play well defensively, as they are currently 23rd in points allowed at 20.33 points per game allowed.
Over the Bearcats’ last 10 games, they have a strong record of 8-2-0 while also going 2-7-1 against the spread. The team’s average scoring differential was 8.3, as they averaged 28.6 points per game. Defensively, they allowed an average of 20.3. Their last 10 over-under record is 4-6-0.
Across their last 5 road contests, Cincinnati has been good against the spread posting a mark of 1-3-1. Their overall mark in these games was 4-1-0 while averaging 28.4 points per game.
Louisville Cardinals
The Cardinals are coming into the game with a 4-4 record in Atlantic Coast play. Their overall record is 7-5.
Louisville is coming off a 13-point loss to Kentucky by a score of 26-13. The Cardinals entered the game as 3.5-point home underdogs, making this an ATS loss.
On offense, the Cardinals are averaging 27.17 points per game, good for 88th in the NCAA. So far, a majority of their touchdowns have come on the ground, as they have rushed for 23, while throwing for 12.
The Cardinals will look to once again play well defensively, as they are currently 19th in points allowed at 20.17 points per game allowed.
Against the spread, the Cardinals have gone 6-4-0 over their last 10 games. Straight up, they have a record of 6-4-0. They maintained a positive scoring differential in these games by averaging 29.9 per game and allowing 19.7. Their last 10 over-under record is 4-6-0.
When looking at their past 5 home matchups, Louisville has an ATS record of 5-0-0 while averaging 34.4 per game. The team went 5-0-0 overall in these games.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Bearcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
- Bearcats are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games in December.
- Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
- Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
So far, the Bearcats are averaging 256.0 yards per game through the air, placing them 44th in the country. This week, the Bearcats will be facing a Louisville defense that is ranked 52nd in pass yards allowed per game. So far, they are averaging 270.0 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50 in passing defense.
This season, the Cardinals have struggled to move the ball through the air, averaging just 211.67 passing yards per game. This week, the Cardinals will be facing a Cincinnati defense ranked 37th in pass yards allowed per game. So far, they have averaged 197.5 yards per game when facing top 25 pass defenses.
4* 2022 Wasabi Fenway Bowl Cincinnati vs. Louisville NCAA Betting Final Analysis:
In this Fenway Bowl matchup, the Louisville Cardinals are the slight favorite on the spread. On offense, these two teams play different styles, with Louisville preferring to move the ball on the ground, while Cincinnati isn’t afraid to air it out. Based on the matchups against their opposing defenses, I see Louisville coming away with the win and covering the spread. For the Fenway Bowl, I will be locking in the Cardinals at -2.5.
4* Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Louisville Cardinals NCAA Betting Pick: Louisville ATS
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