Free Cheez-It Bowl Prediction: Bears vs Horned Frogs Odds
Looking for California Bears vs. TCU Horned Frogs free picks? Cheez-It Bowl sees the Bears taking on the Horned Frogs Wednesday December 26th at Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this California TCU Cheez-It Bowl free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Cheez-It Bowl
(7-5) California Bears vs. TCU Horned Frogs (6-6)
Date: Wednesday, December 26th 2018
Time: 9:00 pm EST
Venue: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
NCAA Football Spread: PK
NCAA Betting Total: 40.5
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The Cheez-It bowl is expected to be anything but cheesy as oddsmakers are calling this game a toss-up spread wise. Two big name programs are in action the day after Christmas when Cal and TCU travel to Phoeni. Is this going to be Spring Break 2.0 for Cal or a business meeting for TCU?
The reason neither of these teams are participating in a more prominent bowl is due to lack of consistency. Cal went 4-5 to finish the year and TCU 3-4 in their last 7. Both teams have defense as their calling card this season which is why the O/U is very low for a bowl game at 40.5.
Cal is no longer known for their offense as that side of the ball sputtered basically from week 5 on. In a true testament to their defense the Golden Bears actually won games when they scored 12 and 15 points over the last 5 weeks of the season. Other than that Cal put up 17 points or less in 6 of the last 8 games of the year and ranked 109th in the country in scoring.
Is TCU afraid of anybody in this California offense? The Horned Frogs have the 27th best defense in the country in terms of yards allowed. Freshman QB Chase Garbers hasn’t completed more than 58% of his passes in four games and top RB Patrick Laird hasn’t average better than 3.9 ypc in more than one of the last five games.
Of course the reason why TCU isn’t a huge favorite in this game is because of the Cal defense. This is an elite unit that is top 25 in the nation in total yards allowed, passing yards, and points surrendered. Cal held each of their last six opponents to under 23 points and TCU has scored more than that number just once in the last month.
TCU Horned Frogs
This bowl game could be a snoozer when you couple Cal’s offense with that of TCU’s. The Horned Frogs have won 3 of their 6 games this season while scoring 17 points or less. TCU has scored 17 points or less in 3 games over the last month of the season but has somehow won two of those.
Texas Christian does come into the Cheez-It Bowl on a high note however after beating Oklahoma State 31-24 as +5.5 underdogs. The team had 45 carries for 243 yards in that game helped largely by Jalen Reagor’s 83 yd TD run. Reagor, a WR is one of the few TCU threats as he has gone over 85 yards receiving in five straight and has a TD in 7 in a row.
If the TCU offense can get a big play or two it might be enough for the impressive TCU defense. TCU held Oklahoma State’s top 10 offense to just 280 total yards in the season finale and held Baylor to 164 yards in the air before that. How much credit do we give West Virginia’s 535 yard output vs. TCU in week 11?
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS their last 6 overall
- Golden Bears are 1-5 ATS their last 6 neutral site games
- Horned Frogs are 2-8 ATS their last 10 vs. teams with a winning record
- Horned Frogs are 2-7 ATS their last 9 bowl games
Free Cheez-It Bowl NCAA Football Pick TCU PK
It’s going to be tough for Cal to produce any offense in this game, although TCU’s hiccup vs. West Virginia in the last month of the regular season has to give them a little hope. Grayson Muehlstein could give the Horned Frogs an edge after stepping in for the transferring Shawn Robinson. Muehlstein has 3TD and 0INT in two starts for TCU – most importantly two wins.
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Is this one of those bowl games that are expected to be low scoring but end up 43-41? Both teams have great defenses but you have to give the offenses a bit more credit with a month to prepare. TCU has the edge in playmakers and their defense should offer just enough to give them the edge.
Cheez-It Bowl Free Score Prediction: TCU 31 – CAL 28
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