
Free NCAAF Pick: Cougars vs. Bearcats Odds
Looking for BYU Cougars vs. Cincinnati Bearcats Free NCAA Week 13 picks & NCAA odds? NCAAF betting sees the Cougars taking on the Bearcats on 11/22 at Nippert Stadium, in Cincinnati. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NCAA football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NCAAF predictions like this Cougars Bearcats free pick.
2025 NCAAF Handicapping – BYU Cougars vs Cincinnati Bearcats
(9-1) BYU Cougars vs. Cincinnati Bearcats (7-3)
Date: Nov 22, 2025
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Nippert Stadium in Cincinnati, MO
NCAAF Moneyline Odds: Cougars -134 | Bearcats +111 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAF Spread Betting Odds: Cougars -2.5 | Bearcats +2.5
NCAAF Football Gambling Total: O/U: 54.5
Here’s why I’m backing a BYU ATS bet below in my Cougars Bearcats free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Cougars vs. Bearcats Gameday
Week 13 brings BYU Cougars on the road to face the Cincinnati Bearcats at Nippert Stadium in a prime-time Big 12 showdown on FOX at 8:00 PM, November 22, 2025. Fans in Cincinnati get a cool night under the lights and a legit conference stakes game on tap.
This matchup feels like a classic November separator — one team trying to lock in a statement season, the other fighting to stay in the conversation.
BYU arrives with a 9-1 record and a #11 ranking in both the AP and Coaches Polls. They are coming off a convincing 44-point performance against TCU and sit at 6-1 in Big 12 play, very much in the mix at the top of the conference.
Cincinnati enters at 7-3 with a strong 5-2 home record but rides a two-game losing skid. Their latest outing was a 30-24 home loss to Arizona that raised more questions than answers about their closing form.
These two met in 2023 at LaVell Edwards Stadium, where BYU won 35-27 and covered the spread. Now the scene shifts to Nippert, and with both teams in the Big 12 hunt, this one carries serious standings implications.
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It’s Week 13, BYU Cougars vs. Cincinnati Bearcats — let’s see who handles the moment.
BYU Cougars vs. Cincinnati Bearcats Odds & Last 5
The market leans slightly toward BYU, with the Cougars listed at -134 on the moneyline and laying -2.5 on the spread. Cincinnati sits at +112, getting +2.5 at home in what oddsmakers view as a tight contest.
Recent form for BYU includes that 44-13 demolition of TCU, where the offense clicked and the defense tightened the screws. Still, the 29-7 loss to Texas Tech shows they’re not immune to flat spots when things snowball early.
Cincinnati has stumbled with back-to-back losses, including the 30-24 home defeat to Arizona and a setback against Utah. However, earlier wins over Baylor and Oklahoma State proved they can punch with quality teams when they’re locked in.
Bearcats Stats
Cincinnati’s offense has produced 344 points this season, ranking 23rd nationally. Their ground game has been a real strength with 1,969 rushing yards, good for 25th and providing a physical identity.
Defensively, they’ve allowed 227 points (84th), but they’ve been disruptive up front with 21 sacks and seven fumbles recovered. The low interception total — just two on the year — has limited their ability to flip games through the air.
Their recent stretch includes losses to Arizona and Utah, along with convincing wins over Baylor and Oklahoma State. The inconsistency shows up week to week more than the raw numbers suggest.
QB Brendan Sorsby has thrown for 2,204 yards and 21 touchdowns, leading the offense with efficient play. RB Tawee Walker’s 652 rushing yards and WR Cyrus Allen’s 558 receiving yards and nine touchdowns round out a balanced attack.
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Cougars Stats
BYU has leaned on a strong, balanced offense, posting 341 points (25th) and 1,966 rushing yards (26th). They’ve controlled tempo and worn down defenses with their ground game all season.
Their defense has been a real factor, racking up 25 sacks (11th) and 14 interceptions (15th). Those numbers speak to a unit that wins at the line of scrimmage and punishes mistakes in the secondary.
Recent games have shown both ends of the spectrum — a dominant 44-13 win over TCU and a frustrating 29-7 loss to Texas Tech. When they’re dialed in, they look like a complete team; when they’re not, the offense can stall.
QB Bear Bachmeier has thrown for 2,177 yards and 13 touchdowns, giving BYU steady production under center. RB LJ Martin has been a key weapon on the ground with 912 rushing yards and six touchdowns.
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Cougars vs. Bearcats QB Matchup
Brendan Sorsby has been the driving force for Cincinnati’s offense with 2,204 passing yards, 21 touchdowns, and only four interceptions across 10 games. His ability to protect the ball while still attacking downfield gives the Bearcats a real shot in any game.
Samaj Jones Jr. has appeared in one game, throwing for 53 yards and one touchdown with no interceptions. His limited action hints at potential, but the sample size is still small.
Bear Bachmeier leads BYU with 2,177 passing yards and 13 touchdowns, matching Sorsby’s four interceptions. His calm presence and willingness to take what the defense gives him have kept BYU’s offense on schedule most weeks.
McCae Hillstead has seen action in four games, totaling 33 passing yards with no touchdowns or picks. His role remains more insurance than centerpiece at this stage.
BYU Cougars vs. Cincinnati Bearcats bottom line: BYU’s defense and run game give them the cleaner path, but Cincinnati’s home field and Sorsby’s efficiency keep the door open for a late-November upset script.
BYU Cougars vs. Cincinnati Bearcats Football Betting Trends
- BYU is 18-1 straight up in their last 19 games as favorites.
- BYU is 16-2 straight up in their last 18 games after a win.
- Additionally, BYU is 12-6 against the spread in their last 18 games after a win.
- Cincinnati is 5-1 straight up in their last 6 home games.
- Also, Cincinnati is 6-3 over/under in their last 9 games with totals of 50 or more.
- Cincinnati is 2-1 against the spread in their last 3 games as underdogs.
Cougars Bearcats Free Pick: BYU -2.5
Here is my Cougars Bearcats free pick. BYU has been one of the most reliable favorites in college football, winning 18 of their last 19 in that role and maintaining that momentum with a 16-2 straight-up record after a win.
They rarely slip when they’re expected to handle business, and that level of consistency becomes even more valuable this late in the season.
Cincinnati has been tough at Nippert Stadium, winning five of their last six at home, but BYU’s ATS profile after a win — 12-6 — gives them the clear edge here. The Cougars have also shown they can step up on the road this year, matching their strong overall 9-1 record with disciplined play on both sides of the ball.
Their offense and defense rankings both point toward a team capable of controlling game flow start to finish.
My system tells me BYU’s consistency as favorites and Cincinnati’s current slide make -2.5 the right side.
Cincinnati’s recent underdog flashes are worth noting, but BYU’s overall form, depth, and ability to perform under pressure outweigh them. With the Bearcats on a losing streak and BYU surging, this matchup favors the Cougars even on the road.
BYU -2.5 is the pick.
Today’s NCAAF Free Pick
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NCAAF Betting Tweet Of The Day
The last time we were in Cincy @markingramII destroyed @TheCincyBearcat then hit the worm 💀💀💀 pic.twitter.com/ZSSeYdopoF
— Big Noon Kickoff (@BNKonFOX) November 17, 2025
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