Free NCAAF Pick: Broncos vs. Fighting Irish Odds
Looking for Boise State Broncos vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish Free NCAA Week 6 picks & NCAA odds? NCAAF betting sees the Broncos taking on the Fighting Irish on 10/4 at Notre Dame Stadium, in Notre Dame. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NCAA football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NCAAF predictions like this Broncos Fighting Irish free pick.
2025 NCAAF Handicapping – Boise State Broncos vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish
(3-1) Boise State Broncos vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (2-2)
Date: Oct 04, 2025
Time: 3:30 PM ET
Venue: Notre Dame Stadium in Notre Dame, IN
NCAAF Moneyline Odds: Broncos +744 | Fighting Irish -1266 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAF Spread Betting Odds: Broncos +20.5 | Fighting Irish -20.5
NCAAF Football Gambling Total: O/U: 63.5
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Broncos vs. Fighting Irish Gameday
The Boise State Broncos roll into South Bend on Saturday to take on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish at historic Notre Dame Stadium. Kickoff is set for 3:30 PM ET on NBC, where the Irish faithful will be hoping their team doesn’t stumble against a Mountain West visitor with some bite.
Boise State comes in at 3-1, riding a three-game win streak after torching Appalachian State 47-14. They’ve looked dangerous on both sides of the ball, though their lone road trip ended in a loss.
Notre Dame, meanwhile, is sitting at 2-2 and ranked No. 21 in both the AP and Coaches Polls. They’ve been up and down but just hammered Arkansas 56-13. At 1-1 at home, the Irish need this one to steady the ship.
Both squads bring momentum — Boise with three straight wins, Notre Dame with back-to-back blowouts. Something’s gotta give in South Bend.
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It’s Week 6, Boise State Broncos vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish, and the Irish better be careful — the Broncos are no cupcake.
Boise State Broncos vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish Odds & Last 5
Oddsmakers aren’t buying into Boise’s hot streak. Notre Dame is a massive -1292 favorite, with Boise at +775. The spread? Irish -20.5. That line says Vegas expects business as usual in South Bend.
Boise has piled up wins over Appalachian State, Air Force, and Eastern Washington after dropping their opener to South Florida. Notre Dame’s start was rocky with losses to Miami and Texas A&M, but they’ve righted the ship with wins over Purdue and Arkansas.
This week’s Boise State Broncos vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish game will show us all which version of the Irish is the real deal.
Fighting Irish Stats
Notre Dame’s offense has been humming, ranking 20th nationally with 176 points. They sit 32nd in passing and 72nd on the ground — not vintage Irish smashmouth, but effective.
Quarterback CJ Carr has delivered, throwing for 1,091 yards and nine touchdowns in four games. He’s been the steady hand this team needed.
Defensively, Notre Dame has allowed 111 points (77th) but has created havoc with four interceptions (5th) and seven sacks (14th). That bend-but-break unit has kept them afloat in close games.
Momentum is in their corner after smashing Purdue and Arkansas in back-to-back weeks. But those early-season losses still hang over them.
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Broncos Stats
Boise State isn’t just sneaking by — they’ve put up 154 points, ranking 30th nationally. They’ve balanced it out with 1,196 passing yards (38th) and 890 rushing yards (39th). That balance makes them a live dog even as 20-point underdogs.
The defense has allowed 99 points (66th) but thrives on turnovers — five interceptions (6th) and two fumble recoveries (5th). That ability to flip games has been key during their win streak.
Quarterback Maddux Madsen has thrown for 1,129 yards and nine touchdowns with just one interception. Dylan Riley has anchored the run game with 360 yards and five TDs, while Latrell Caples leads the receivers with 240 yards.
Bottom line: this team is cooking and will walk into South Bend with confidence.
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Broncos vs. Fighting Irish QB Matchup
CJ Carr is the real deal for Notre Dame. In four games, he’s put up 1,091 yards and nine touchdowns against only two picks. He looks the part of a future star.
Backup Kenny Minchey has seen limited snaps, throwing for 95 yards but hasn’t found the end zone yet.
Boise counters with Maddux Madsen, who has nearly identical production — 1,129 yards and nine touchdowns with just one interception. He’s been sharp and efficient. Max Cutforth has been more of a placeholder in mop-up duty.
This QB matchup is tighter than the odds suggest. Carr has the pedigree, but Madsen’s numbers are nearly a carbon copy. If the Broncos pull the upset, it’ll be because their QB outduels Notre Dame’s golden boy.
Boise State Broncos vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish Football Betting Trends
- Broncos are 16-2 straight up in their last 18 games after a win.
- Also, Broncos have gone over the total in their last 3 games as underdogs.
- Broncos are 12-6 against the spread in their last 18 games after a win.
- Fighting Irish are 24-5 straight up in their last 29 games as favorites.
- Additionally, Fighting Irish have gone over the total in their last 6 games as favorites.
- Fighting Irish are 9-1 against the spread in their last 10 games after a win.
Broncos vs Fighting Irish Prediction: Boise State +20.5
Boise State continues to prove they’re a tough out, especially after a win where they’ve gone 12-6 ATS in their last 18. Sitting at 3-1 this season, the Broncos are once again showing they can step up in big spots.
Even on the road, their consistency makes them a dangerous underdog.
Notre Dame has plenty of talent and usually thrives as a favorite, but their defense hasn’t been airtight. Allowing 111 points already this year, the Irish have shown cracks that Boise State could exploit. By contrast, Boise’s defense has been more disciplined, giving up just 99 points through four games.
With a spread this large, the door is wide open for the Broncos to hang around. They’ve got enough balance on both sides of the ball to frustrate Notre Dame and avoid a complete blowout.
Grabbing Boise State +20.5 looks sharp, as their defense and ATS track record suggest they can stay within the number.
Ultimately, Notre Dame may still win, but Boise State has the tools and betting trends to cover a spread that feels inflated. Taking the points with the Broncos is the smarter side here.
Today’s NCAAF Free Pick
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NCAAF Betting Tweet Of The Day
On the rise ↗️☘️
‘ Award
CJ Carr has been selected to the @daveyobrien Great 8️⃣ for Week 5 and is now a member of the award’s watch list.… pic.twitter.com/YHw1mIekK5
— Notre Dame Football (@NDFootball) September 29, 2025
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